2395 Durango Rd SW · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful well maintained ranch home great family home, has a separate living room and den/family room, kitchen has dining area and enclosed deck for additional living space the master bedroom has an en-suite private bathroom, nice size secondary bedrooms, 2 car garage large backyard, just minutes to Campcreek marketplace, I-285, downtown Atlanta and the the airport. Please schedule showings through Showingtime
Key facts
- Enclosed deck
- Large backyard
- Dining area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 483 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.30%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,304
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -14.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4628 Tucson Trl SW | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-1%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $118 | 86 |
| 4554 Saint Andrews Dr | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (-1%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $115 | 71 |
| 2236 Fairway Cir SW | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+1%) | 20mo | $330,000 | $206 | 68 |
| 2494 Fairway Cir SW | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-14%) | 0mo | $234,999 | $172 | 66 |
| 2409 Colorado Trl SW | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,690 (+7%) | 21mo | $325,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 2356 County Line Rd SW | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (-14%) | 10mo | $112,551 | $83 | 57 |
| 2392 Ozark Trl SW | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,356 (-14%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $125 | 51 |
| 4415 Greenleaf Cir SW | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-5%) | 22mo | $318,000 | $212 | 44 |
| 2521 County Line Rd SW | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-14%) | 22mo | $269,999 | $197 | 43 |
| 4726 Carson Pass | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,806 (+14%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $127 | 42 |
| 4324 Wallace Ave SW | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (-13%) | 22mo | $247,000 | $179 | 41 |
| 2293 Palmetto Ave SW | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,772 (+12%) | 18mo | $267,000 | $151 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-10,933
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $13,897
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30331
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 483
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,856 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $810/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $431 | -5% $377 | +0% $323 | +5% $270 | +10% $216 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $250 | +0% $323 | +5% $397 | +10% $470 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $419 | -0.5pp $372 | base $323 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $224 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2356 County Line Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4515 Doral Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4522 Doral Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $1,990 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4407 Kimball Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $2,040 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4545 Sahara Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,665 | $1.55 | 6d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4596 Sahara Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1475 | $1,200 | $0.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4596 Sahara Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1375 | $1,500 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4211 Campbellton Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,050 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2243 Butner Rd Unit NA Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1518 | $2,350 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4058 Blanton Ave SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2211 Butner Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,875 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4720 Edwina Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,873 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4037 Braxton Pl SW Unit 4037 Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1397 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4043 Avalon Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1434 | $2,300 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4610 Greenbriar Trl SW Unit 204 Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2111 Sandtree Ct SW Unit 2 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2100 Southwood Blvd SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $1,537 | $1.63 | 2d | 15 | 1.06mi |
| 1960 W Kimberly Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1852 | $2,105 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3901 Campbellton Rd SW Unit 3909-M06 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1093 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3901 Campbellton Rd SW Unit 3909-K01 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1093 | $1,199 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3901 Campbellton Rd SW Unit 3901-L04 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1093 | $1,140 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1928 Grant Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,823 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2164 Camp Ground Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,595 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4970 Promenade Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $2,575 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Back On Market 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Beautiful well maintained ranch home great family home, has a separate living room and den/family room, kitchen has dining area and enclosed deck for additional living space the master bedroom has an en-suite private bathroom, nice size secondary bedrooms, 2 car garage large backyard, just minutes to Campcreek marketplace, I-285, downtown Atlanta and the the airport. Please schedule showings through Showingtime
-
2026-04-30historical Active Under Contract 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Beautiful well maintained ranch home great family home, has a separate living room and den/family room, kitchen has dining area and enclosed deck for additional living space the master bedroom has an en-suite private bathroom, nice size secondary bedrooms, 2 car garage large backyard, just minutes to Campcreek marketplace, I-285, downtown Atlanta and the the airport. Please schedule showings through Showingtime
-
2026-04-25status Back On Market 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Beautiful well maintained ranch home great family home, has a separate living room and den/family room, kitchen has dining area and enclosed deck for additional living space the master bedroom has an en-suite private bathroom, nice size secondary bedrooms, 2 car garage large backyard, just minutes to Campcreek marketplace, I-285, downtown Atlanta and the the airport. Please schedule showings through Showingtime
-
2026-04-17historical Active Under Contract 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Beautiful well maintained ranch home great family home, has a separate living room and den/family room, kitchen has dining area and enclosed deck for additional living space the master bedroom has an en-suite private bathroom, nice size secondary bedrooms, 2 car garage large backyard, just minutes to Campcreek marketplace, I-285, downtown Atlanta and the the airport. Please schedule showings through Showingtime
-
2026-03-31$189,900 New 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Beautiful well maintained ranch home great family home, has a separate living room and den/family room, kitchen has dining area and enclosed deck for additional living space the master bedroom has an en-suite private bathroom, nice size secondary bedrooms, 2 car garage large backyard, just minutes to Campcreek marketplace, I-285, downtown Atlanta and the the airport. Please schedule showings through Showingtime
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $810 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,747 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$937/yr (+$78/mo · 115.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,268
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$810
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,781
- − Management
- −$1,781
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$188
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,567
- Household income
- $62,623
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3748.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.38%
- Current HPI
- 204.5402
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $189,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $810 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…