962 S 20 Ave · Yuma, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Seller willing to carry financing with $25,000 down payment. 3 bedroom one 3/4 bathroom and one 1/2 bathroom centrally located, with 7,500 sq ft. Lot.
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (mobile home)
- Exterior features: Shed(s); 7,500 sq ft lot; Located in the Lynch Addition subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Electric range; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.9% in Yuma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
- Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.20%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $74,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1074 S Dora Ave | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 840 (+7%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $80 | 72 |
| 1108 S Jewel Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+7%) | 6mo | $67,500 | $80 | 67 |
| 1188 S 20 Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+7%) | 2mo | $87,500 | $104 | 66 |
| 1044 S 20 Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 684 (-13%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $95 | 64 |
| 1953 W 10 St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 728 (-7%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $69 | 63 |
| 1123 S Franklin Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 684 (-13%) | 1mo | $37,000 | $54 | 62 |
| 1074 S Jewel Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 721 (-8%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 1148 W Myrtle Ave | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 736 (-6%) | 15mo | $39,000 | $53 | 59 |
| 1012 S 20 Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 672 (-14%) | 12mo | $169,000 | $251 | 58 |
| 1139 S Dora Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 728 (-7%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $103 | 57 |
| 1129 S Franklin Ave | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 854 (+9%) | 14mo | $88,800 | $104 | 57 |
| 1172 S Franklin Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (+14%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $78 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-7,827
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,782
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85364
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $243 | +0% $202 | +5% $160 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $99 | -5% $150 | +0% $202 | +5% $253 | +10% $305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $262 | -0.5pp $232 | base $202 | +0.5pp $171 | +1.0pp $139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 W 12th St Yuma, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 779 | $1,400 | $1.80 | 14d | 32 | 0.38mi |
| 750 S 15th Ave Yuma, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 14d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 1334 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 888 | $1,295 | $1.46 | 14d | 24 | 0.51mi |
| 486 S 15th Ave Yuma, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 253 S 17th Ave Unit B105 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,250 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1700 S Crowder Ave #16 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 145 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 14d | 3 | 1.05mi |
| 136 N 21st Ave Apt 4 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1850 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,625 | $1.55 | 14d | 7 | 1.16mi |
| 1101 South Avenue C Apt C Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 266 S 6th Ave Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,050 | $1.62 | 14d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 179 W 12th St Unit B Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1910 S Avenue A Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $970 | $1.79 | 14d | 5 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $542
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$130
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires moderate renovations, including exterior cleaning, landscaping, and interior painting, to improve its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — dirtied and unkempt
- Major landscaping — overgrown yard
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard improves curb appeal and property value
- Both exterior siding — Clean siding improves property appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · dirtied and unkempt | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown yard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both exterior siding — Clean siding improves property appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuma Union High School District (4507)
- NCES district ID
- 0409630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,512
- Composite
- 12.86/100
- National rank
- #9592
- State rank
- #212 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Yuma
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Yuma County · 149,809 people
- City population
- 149,809
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,960
- Household income
- $57,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2195.0
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 29% White 24% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 50% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.00%
- Current HPI
- 220.8058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $120,000 YAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…