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8437 Logia Cir 🌊 Lakefront
D- Composite 39.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0

$335,000

8437 Logia Cir · Greenacres, FL 33472
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,497 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 2001 4,251 sqft lot $652/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DROP DEAD GORGEOUS W/ ONE OF A KIND VIEW--UPGRADES AND TASTE!CORNER VILLA W/ TRIPLE SIZED SCREENED PATIO OVERLOOKING LAKE. NEUTRAL TONES &TILE THROUGHOUT AND MORE!

Key facts

  • Lakefront
  • Tranquil lake views
  • Screened lanai

Tags

LAKEFRONTSCREENED LANAITRANQUIL LAKE VIEWSLARGE KITCHENDINING AREANEWLY RENOVATED CLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed (breed restrictions and possible pet restrictions); Part of a senior community; Community contains multiple units
  • HOA & community: Community association with amenities including clubhouse, fitness center, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis and pickleball courts, billiard and game rooms, business center, café/restaurant, community room, library, jogging path, recreation facilities; gated community features; HOA fee paid monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Driveway (covered spaces: 1, total parking for 2)
  • Security: Gated community with guard; Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available
  • Home design: Villa; Single-story; Resale property; Faces south
  • Construction: CBS construction; Barrel roof; Built as a single-story structure
  • Exterior features: Screened patio; Patio; Waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cathedral and vaulted ceilings; Split bedroom layout; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-413 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (21.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $322k (3.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $262k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sunset Palms Elementary School (math 80% / reading 79%, grade A, #116 of 2,144 statewide, top 6%, 920 students, 13% FRL); Park Vista Community High School (math 43% / reading 64%, grade C-, #146 of 667 statewide, top 22%, 3,191 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 52% district-wide (31 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $664 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $290k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $261,985 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
4.81%
Cash-on-cash
-5.29%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-32,550
Equity at exit
$100,605
10-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-12,928
Equity at exit
$123,623

Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33472

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,218 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax from tax record
$408 /mo · $4,890/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$652
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$676
Net cashflow
$-413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,742
Max offer price $261,985
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-224 -5% $-319 +0% $-413 +5% $-508 +10% $-603
Rent -10% $-668 -5% $-540 +0% $-413 +5% $-286 +10% $-159
Rate -1.0pp $-245 -0.5pp $-328 base $-413 +0.5pp $-500 +1.0pp $-588

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,750
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8063 Dolomtian Way Boynton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $3,100 $2.19 0d 1 0.18mi
8481 Siciliano St Unit 8481 Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1774 $3,650 $2.06 26d 1 0.38mi
8451 Siciliano St Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1627 $3,200 $1.97 14d 1 0.39mi
7975 Rockford Rd Boynton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1720 $3,700 $2.15 26d 1 0.87mi
7430 Lyons Rd Wellington, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1006 $3,190 $3.17 0d 8 0.89mi
7936 Rockford Rd Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1871 $9,000 $4.81 23d 1 0.92mi
7273 Burgess Dr Lake Worth, FL 3.0 2.0 1385 $2,630 $1.90 9d 1 0.96mi
7600 Edisto Dr Lake Worth, FL 3.0 2.5 1764 $2,700 $1.53 22d 1 0.96mi
7832 Rockford Rd Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1598 $3,800 $2.38 23d 1 1.12mi
7218 Michigan Isle Rd Lake Worth, FL 3.0 2.0 1656 $3,500 $2.11 16d 1 1.25mi
7218 Michigan Isle Rd Lake Worth, FL 3.0 2.0 1656 $3,500 $2.11 15d 1 1.25mi
9664 Porta Leona Ln Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1570 $2,800 $1.78 26d 1 1.33mi
9663 Lago Dr Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1570 $2,680 $1.71 26d 1 1.33mi
9680 Lago Dr Unit 9680 Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1570 $2,750 $1.75 26d 1 1.35mi
9772 Porta Leona Ln Boynton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1502 $2,750 $1.83 26d 1 1.40mi
9798 Casa Mar Dr Lake Worth, FL 3.0 2.0 1856 $4,500 $2.42 26d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$652 · $7,824/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-12
    listed $335,000 Active
  4. 2004-11-16
    soldstatus $290,000
  5. 2003-09-10
    soldstatus $212,500
  6. 2003-06-27
    soldstatus $212,500 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    DROP DEAD GORGEOUS W/ ONE OF A KIND VIEW--UPGRADES AND TASTE!CORNER VILLA W/ TRIPLE SIZED SCREENED PATIO OVERLOOKING LAKE. NEUTRAL TONES &TILE THROUGHOUT AND MORE!

  7. 2003-05-01
    historical 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    DROP DEAD GORGEOUS W/ ONE OF A KIND VIEW--UPGRADES AND TASTE!CORNER VILLA W/ TRIPLE SIZED SCREENED PATIO OVERLOOKING LAKE. NEUTRAL TONES &TILE THROUGHOUT AND MORE!

  8. 2003-03-05
    listed $215,000 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    DROP DEAD GORGEOUS W/ ONE OF A KIND VIEW--UPGRADES AND TASTE!CORNER VILLA W/ TRIPLE SIZED SCREENED PATIO OVERLOOKING LAKE. NEUTRAL TONES &TILE THROUGHOUT AND MORE!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,890 · $408/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,890 · $408/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,621
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$4,890
− Insurance
−$1,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,090
− Management
−$3,090
− HOA
−$7,824
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable loss
−$10,458
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,510
After-tax cash flow
$-2,450/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Greenacres

Score
69/100
State rank
#490
US rank
#9008

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
65,478
Population (ZIP)
18,689

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.20%
Current HPI
268.1142
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $335,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2004-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $212,500 Public Records
  • 2003-06-27 Sold (MLS) $212,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-05-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2003-03-05 Listed $215,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,890 · -15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…