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4393 County Road 470
B Composite 70.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

4393 County Road 470 · Meridian, MS 39301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 210 Days on market
Built 1940 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling All Investors! This charming country cottage is a perfect opportunity for your next project! Nestled on a quaint 1+/- acre hilltop in Enterprise, this home offers ample space for renovation and expansion. Key Features: -3 Oversized Bedrooms: Plenty of room for family and guests. -2 Potential Bathrooms: Customize the layout to fit your vision. -Original Hardwood Details: Features include shiplap walls, solid beadboard panels, and heart pine and oak floors, adding character and charm. -Solid Panel Doors: A touch of classic style throughout. This property is a blank canvas waiting for your creative touch. Embrace the adventure and make this cottage your own! Note: Home is being sold AS IS. Don't miss out on this unique investment opportunity! Seller will consider selling home as a package deal with MLS# 4132067, 112 CR 662, Quitman, MS. 39355

Key facts

  • 1 acre hilltop
  • Country cottage
  • Solid panel doors

Tags

COUNTRY COTTAGE1 ACRE HILLTOPORIGINAL HARDWOOD DETAILSSOLID PANEL DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $668 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Enterprise School District (rural): math 58% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #5 of 130 in MS (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency.
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clarke County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $70k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
17.75%
Cash-on-cash
40.93%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$31,258
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
44.0%
Equity multiple
5.19×
Total profit
$82,143
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39301

Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,464 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,103/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$668

Break-even live

Break-even rent $618
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $708 -5% $688 +0% $668 +5% $649 +10% $629
Rent -10% $553 -5% $611 +0% $668 +5% $726 +10% $784
Rate -1.0pp $704 -0.5pp $686 base $668 +0.5pp $650 +1.0pp $632

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 210 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 209 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 208 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 207 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 206 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 204 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 203 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 195 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 194 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 193 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 192 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 191 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 190 DOM
  17. 2025-11-21
    listed $70,000 Active 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    Calling All Investors! This charming country cottage is a perfect opportunity for your next project! Nestled on a quaint 1+/- acre hilltop in Enterprise, this home offers ample space for renovation and expansion. Key Features: -3 Oversized Bedrooms: Plenty of room for family and guests. -2 Potential Bathrooms: Customize the layout to fit your vision. -Original Hardwood Details: Features include shiplap walls, solid beadboard panels, and heart pine and oak floors, adding character and charm. -Solid Panel Doors: A touch of classic style throughout. This property is a blank canvas waiting for your creative touch. Embrace the adventure and make this cottage your own! Note: Home is being sold AS IS. Don't miss out on this unique investment opportunity! Seller will consider selling home as a package deal with MLS# 4132067, 112 CR 662, Quitman, MS. 39355

  18. 2025-06-06
    historical
  19. 2025-06-02
    price $70,000
  20. 2025-02-24
    price $68,000
  21. 2024-10-24
    listed $75,000 Active
  22. 2023-08-23
    soldstatus $39,500
  23. 1999-07-15
    soldstatus $39,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,103 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,103 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,569
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,103
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,406
− Management
−$1,406
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$7,348
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,763
After-tax cash flow
$6,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Enterprise School District
NCES district ID
2801440
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$46,972
Composite
45.85/100
National rank
#2553
State rank
#5 of 130 in MS

Livability — Meridian

Score
64/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#14839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lauderdale County · 42,445 people
City population
42,445
Metro
Meridian, MS
Population (ZIP)
20,807
Household income
$41,766
Rent vs Own
39.6% rent · 60.4% own
Severe rent burden
566.0

Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,792 people
By 2030
14,085 · -4.8%
By 2040
12,619 · -14.7%
By 2050
11,225 · -24.1%
By 2075
8,511 · -42.5%
By 2100
6,820 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (56%)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 40% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clarke

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.2) · D 32.1% · R 67.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.1pp · 2024: -35.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.2 2020: R+30.9 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+25.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.11%
Current HPI
116.4831
Rent YoY
Metro
Meridian, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+77.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $70,000 MLSU
  • 2025-06-06 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-06-02 Price Changed $70,000 MLSU
  • 2025-02-24 Price Changed $68,000 MLSU
  • 2024-10-24 Listed $75,000 MLSU
  • 2023-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
  • 1999-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,103 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…