Fourplex
122 Austin St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
Key facts
- Modern flooring
- Updated finishes
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Four total units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit
- Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water (rental arrangements indicate trash collection and water are included); Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($59k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,729/mo this rent would consume 233% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $103k; list at $200k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 105.74%
- DSCR
- 5.70
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $397,918
- List price
- $199,999
- Delta
- -49.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.76×
- Total profit
- $322,708
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.56×
- Total profit
- $871,554
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,729 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $471/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,623
- Net cashflow
- $4,935
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 6 | 4 | $7,728 |
| #1 | 6 | 4 | $1,932 |
| #2 | 6 | 4 | $1,932 |
| #3 | 6 | 4 | $1,932 |
| #4 | 6 | 4 | $1,932 |
| Total (4 units) | $7,729 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-18days on market $199,999 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,999 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,999 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,999 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,999 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,999 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $199,999 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,999 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,999 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $199,999 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $224,999 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $224,999 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $224,999 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $224,999 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-08$224,999 Active 1800-char remark
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2025-01-19historical $900
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2025-01-08price $900
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2024-12-18price $950
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2024-10-30price $1,000
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2024-10-19$1,050
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2024-09-21historical $1,000
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2024-09-04$1,000
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2021-10-06soldstatus $103,000
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2021-09-16soldstatus $108,000 Closed Sale or Rented 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
-
2021-08-24historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
-
2021-07-02status Pending Sale 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
-
2021-06-28status Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
-
2021-06-11price $100,000 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
-
2021-06-07status Under Contract- Do Not Show 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
-
2021-05-31$139,000 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This four unit home has a tremendous amount of potential! Take this opportunity to live in one unit and rent the other! All this beauty needs is a bit of TLC to make it "home!"
-
2003-08-05soldstatus $61,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $471 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,925 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,455/yr (+$121/mo · 309.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $92,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$471
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,420
- − Management
- −$7,420
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $59,417
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$14,260
- After-tax cash flow
- $44,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+225.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $199,999 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $224,999 WNYREIS
- 2025-01-19 Rental Removed $900 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-01-08 Price Changed $900 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-12-18 Price Changed $950 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-10-30 Price Changed $1,000 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-10-19 Listed for Rent $1,050 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-09-21 Rental Removed $1,000 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-09-04 Listed for Rent $1,000 SHOWMOJO
- 2021-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-16 Sold (MLS) $108,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-08-24 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2021-07-02 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-06-28 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2021-06-11 Price Changed $100,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-06-07 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-05-31 Listed $139,000 WNYREIS
- 2003-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $471 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…