56563 Golden Bee · Yucca Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$410,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Incredible opportunity in the highly desirable Storey Park neighborhood of Yucca Valley! This spacious 2,700+ sq ft home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living, entertaining, or multi-generational needs. Step inside to find a warm and inviting layout, highlighted by a cozy wood stove that adds charm and comfort. The expansive floor plan flows effortlessly, offering both functionality and flexibility for modern living. The primary bedroom serves as a private retreat, complete with its own deck—ideal for morning coffee or taking in the peaceful desert views. Outside, the property continues to impress with a large fenced backyard—perfec
Key facts
- Cozy wood stove
- Circular driveway
- 0.69 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property has sewer and special assessments
- HOA & community: Rural community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Four garage spaces; Circular driveway; Total of 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Septic tank; Public/District water; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Two-story house; Entry at main level; No accessory dwelling unit
- Construction: Concrete slab foundation
- Exterior features: House structure; Covered patio, open patio and deck; Shed on the property; Chain link fencing; Property faces north; Has a view; Lot listed in assessor data as 20,000–39,999 sqft
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom; Bathrooms include bathtub and separate shower; shower-in-tub in at least one bath
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating; Natural gas heating; Wood stove
- Interior features: Two levels; Main-level entry; Main level has 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms; Primary bedroom and primary bathroom included; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room located inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $410k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-387 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $342k (16.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (31.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $280k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, crime D-, amenities D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: La Contenta Middle (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #426 of 498 statewide, top 86%, 650 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 56% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,802/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1132% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($398k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $410k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.05%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $489,365
- List price
- $410,000
- Delta
- -16.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56772 Kismet Rd | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 | 2,628 (+2%) | 10mo | $499,000 | $190 | 67 |
| 8668 Monument View Dr | 0.53mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,527 (-2%) | 1mo | $575,000 | $228 | 62 |
| 8726 Amador Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,636 (+2%) | 14mo | $505,000 | $192 | 59 |
| 56849 Hidden Gold Dr | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,663 (+3%) | 19mo | $425,000 | $160 | 53 |
| 8443 Bannock | 0.69mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,702 (+5%) | 2mo | $555,000 | $205 | 51 |
| 56526 Desert Gold Dr | 0.24mi | 4/3.0 | 2,240 (-13%) | 20mo | $485,000 | $217 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-87,998
- Equity at exit
- $61,132
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-95,376
- Equity at exit
- $35,449
Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92284
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 563
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,802 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,150
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,359/yr
- Insurance
- −$171
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $-387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,500
- Closing costs
- $12,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56923 Ivanhoe Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2802 | $2,995 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 57019 Selecta Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2027 | $2,950 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 56769 Joshua Dr Unit Main Home Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8419 Elk Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2011 | $2,900 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7448 Del Rio Vis Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1770 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $410,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $410,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $410,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $410,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $410,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $410,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $410,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $410,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $410,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $410,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $410,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $410,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $410,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $410,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$410,000 Active 998-char remark
-
2023-06-09historical
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2023-03-08$599,900 Active
-
2019-09-18historical
-
2008-12-31historical
-
2008-09-02historical
-
2008-05-04
-
2008-02-22$384,900
-
2008-01-06historical
-
2007-07-24historical
-
2007-04-11price
-
2007-01-08
-
2007-01-05$378,900
-
2007-01-05
-
1995-12-01soldstatus $135,000
-
1985-03-20soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,359 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,359 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,627
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,966
- − Property taxes
- −$3,359
- − Insurance
- −$2,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,690
- − Management
- −$2,690
- − Depreciation
- −$11,927
- Taxable loss
- −$12,056
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,893
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,751/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yucca Valley
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #566
- US rank
- #18584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yucca Valley, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 25,415
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,415
- Household income
- $58,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.13%
- Current HPI
- 486.7185
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+2242.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $410,000 CRMLS
- 2023-06-09 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2023-03-08 Listed $599,900 GPSMLS
- 2019-09-18 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2008-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-09-02 Delisted — PALM
- 2008-05-04 Listed — PALM
- 2008-02-22 Listed $384,900 CRMLS
- 2008-01-06 Delisted — PALM
- 2007-07-24 Delisted — PALM
- 2007-04-11 Price Changed — PALM
- 2007-01-08 Listed — PALM
- 2007-01-05 Listed — PALM
- 2007-01-05 Listed $378,900 GPSMLS
- 1995-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 1985-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,359 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…