607 Way St · Valdosta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed/1 bath handyman special! The home needs work, but would make a great project.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 32.1% vs local median 4.3% in Valdosta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#392 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Valdosta City (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #149 of 174 in GA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 92.34%
- DSCR
- 5.11
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,428
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -59.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Way St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,151 (0%) | 1mo | $32,000 | $28 | 100 |
| 517 Hudson St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 16mo | $62,000 | $60 | 67 |
| 3 Wesley Ln | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,175 (+2%) | 4mo | $68,750 | $59 | 65 |
| 214 Wisenbaker Ln | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,074 (-7%) | 8mo | $57,000 | $53 | 64 |
| 730 S Troup St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,159 (+1%) | 21mo | $29,000 | $25 | 62 |
| 413 S Lee St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,019 (-12%) | 6mo | $8,800 | $9 | 54 |
| 6 Sharper Cir | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (-4%) | 15mo | $143,800 | $130 | 52 |
| 716 E Magnolia St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+11%) | 15mo | $38,000 | $30 | 43 |
| 720 E Magnolia St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-12%) | 18mo | $77,000 | $76 | 39 |
| 304 Martin Ave | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+12%) | 20mo | $82,000 | $64 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 98.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.98×
- Total profit
- $41,714
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.66×
- Total profit
- $114,322
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31601
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,046 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $155/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $644
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 825 Bethune Dr Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $895 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 808 Penny Pl Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1205 Bethune St Unit B Valdosta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1205 Bethune St Unit A Valdosta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 522 Green St Valdosta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $900 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 704 Conoley Ave Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1342 Partridge Pl Unit A Valdosta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $895 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 743 E Brookwood Dr Valdosta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $895 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1010 N Toombs St Valdosta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 21d | 3 | 1.42mi |
| 1005 N Oak St Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1087 | $795 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1004 N Oak St Valdosta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $750 | $0.87 | 21d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 803 Lausanne Dr Valdosta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,095 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1029 Johnson St Valdosta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $900 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active 83-char remark
-
2026-05-13status Active 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
3 bed/1 bath handyman special! The home needs work, but would make a great project.
-
2026-05-07status Pending 83-char remark
-
2026-05-06status Pending 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
3 bed/1 bath handyman special! The home needs work, but would make a great project.
-
2026-04-29$29,900 Active 83-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
3 bed/1 bath handyman special! The home needs work, but would make a great project.
-
2026-04-29$29,900 Active 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
3 bed/1 bath handyman special! The home needs work, but would make a great project.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $155 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $275 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- +$120/yr (+$10/mo · 77.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$155
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,004
- − Management
- −$1,004
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $7,695
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,847
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valdosta City
- NCES district ID
- 1305310
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,634
- Composite
- 14.79/100
- National rank
- #9388
- State rank
- #149 of 174 in GA
Livability — Valdosta
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #19544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Valdosta, GA
- County
- Lowndes County · 107,801 people
- City population
- 91,859
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,302
- Household income
- $36,111
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2016.0
Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,348 people
- By 2030
- 123,469 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 128,482 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 131,907 · +9.6%
- By 2075
- 139,080 · +15.6%
- By 2100
- 133,649 · +11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.12%
- Current HPI
- 121.5948
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.34%
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+7.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $32,000 SGMLS
- 2026-05-20 Pending — SGMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — SGMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — SGMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $29,900 SGMLS
Property tax history
+297.3%/yrLatest (2025): $155 · +12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…