223 S 1st Ave · Canton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Two-bedroom ranch home with open kitchen/dining area. Enclosed back porch area could be used for a den or 3rd bedroom. Newer windows in bedrooms. Fenced area on South side of home. Alley access in back. In an estate, "Sold as Is".
Key facts
- Alley access
- Enclosed back porch
- Fenced area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 37 x 180
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1911
- Construction: Rubber roof
- Exterior features: Replacement windows; Level lot; Paved road access; Alley access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet throughout main living areas mentioned
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater; Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Partial, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Basement laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($841 rent vs $47k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 7.9% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.95%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $47,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454 S 3rd Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,024 (+9%) | 0mo | $9,000 | $9 | 69 |
| 143 E Spruce St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 998 (+6%) | 2mo | $49,900 | $50 | 66 |
| 148 Robinson Ct | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-6%) | 3mo | $42,000 | $48 | 64 |
| 324 W Spruce St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (+3%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $41 | 64 |
| 17 N 5th Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+4%) | 6mo | $18,000 | $18 | 61 |
| 906 E Locust St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+2%) | 7mo | $43,500 | $45 | 58 |
| 36 E Olive St | 0.63mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 906 (-4%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $77 | 57 |
| 658 E Maple St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,068 (+14%) | 9mo | $37,500 | $35 | 49 |
| 944 E Walnut Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,030 (+10%) | 2mo | $82,000 | $80 | 47 |
| 714 E Ash St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-12%) | 0mo | $84,000 | $102 | 46 |
| 320 N 5th Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 809 (-14%) | 10mo | $52,500 | $65 | 42 |
| 437 N Avenue B | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,058 (+13%) | 10mo | $69,900 | $66 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $14,016
- Equity at exit
- $7,008
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $40,096
- Equity at exit
- $4,064
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61520
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $841 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$59 /mo · $705/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $372 | -5% $356 | +0% $339 | +5% $323 | +10% $307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $273 | -5% $306 | +0% $339 | +5% $373 | +10% $406 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $363 | -0.5pp $351 | base $339 | +0.5pp $327 | +1.0pp $315 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 W Locust St Unit 6 Canton, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $650 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 437 N 8th Ave Canton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,200 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $47,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $47,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $47,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $47,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $47,000 Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,000 Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,000 Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,000 Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $47,000 Under Contract 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,000 Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,000 Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,000 Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,000 Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical Under Contract
-
2026-05-16$47,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$705
- − Insurance
- −$235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$807
- − Management
- −$807
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $3,536
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$849
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton Union SD 66
- NCES district ID
- 1708280
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,657
- Composite
- 18.03/100
- National rank
- #8980
- State rank
- #417 of 620 in IL
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #6313
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,356 people
- By 2030
- 32,144 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 29,518 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 26,775 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 19,972 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 13,580 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.00%
- Current HPI
- 123.8086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-16 Listed $47,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-21.9%/yrLatest (2022): $52 · -95.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…