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223 S 1st Ave
B- Composite 67.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,000

223 S 1st Ave · Canton, IL 61520
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 940 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1911 6,660 sqft lot Est $47k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Two-bedroom ranch home with open kitchen/dining area. Enclosed back porch area could be used for a den or 3rd bedroom. Newer windows in bedrooms. Fenced area on South side of home. Alley access in back. In an estate, "Sold as Is".

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • Enclosed back porch
  • Fenced area

Tags

OPEN KITCHEN DINING AREAENCLOSED BACK PORCHFENCED AREAALLEY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 37 x 180
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1911
  • Construction: Rubber roof
  • Exterior features: Replacement windows; Level lot; Paved road access; Alley access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet throughout main living areas mentioned
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas water heater; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Partial, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Basement laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($841 rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 7.9% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,295 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.96%
Cash-on-cash
30.95%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$47,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
454 S 3rd Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,024 (+9%) 0mo $9,000 $9 69
143 E Spruce St 0.47mi 2/1.0 998 (+6%) 2mo $49,900 $50 66
148 Robinson Ct 0.50mi 2/1.0 880 (-6%) 3mo $42,000 $48 64
324 W Spruce St 0.65mi 2/1.0 968 (+3%) 1mo $40,000 $41 64
17 N 5th Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (+4%) 6mo $18,000 $18 61
906 E Locust St 0.70mi 2/1.0 960 (+2%) 7mo $43,500 $45 58
36 E Olive St 0.63mi 1/1.0 (-1) 906 (-4%) 2mo $69,900 $77 57
658 E Maple St 0.43mi 2/1.0 1,068 (+14%) 9mo $37,500 $35 49
944 E Walnut Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,030 (+10%) 2mo $82,000 $80 47
714 E Ash St 0.71mi 2/1.0 825 (-12%) 0mo $84,000 $102 46
320 N 5th Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 809 (-14%) 10mo $52,500 $65 42
437 N Avenue B 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,058 (+13%) 10mo $69,900 $66 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$14,016
Equity at exit
$7,008
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$40,096
Equity at exit
$4,064

Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$841 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax est. 1.5%
$59 /mo · $705/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $411
Max offer price $47,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $372 -5% $356 +0% $339 +5% $323 +10% $307
Rent -10% $273 -5% $306 +0% $339 +5% $373 +10% $406
Rate -1.0pp $363 -0.5pp $351 base $339 +0.5pp $327 +1.0pp $315

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,750
Closing costs
$1,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
143 W Locust St Unit 6 Canton, IL 1.0 1.0 780 $650 $0.83 44d 1 0.46mi
437 N 8th Ave Canton, IL 2.0 1.0 690 $1,200 $1.74 14d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $47,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,000 Under Contract 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    historical Under Contract
  17. 2026-05-16
    listed $47,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,090
− Mortgage interest
−$2,633
− Property taxes
−$705
− Insurance
−$235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$807
− Management
−$807
− Depreciation
−$1,367
Taxable income
$3,536
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$849
After-tax cash flow
$3,225/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $47,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-21.9%/yr

Latest (2022): $52 · -95.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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