4250 Adams St · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom 1 bath home with refinished hardwood floors, a large kitchen, front and back porch, and a private backyard!
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Front and back porch
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $100k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.27%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,026
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 17.49%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4221 Adams St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-8%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $52 | 82 |
| 4312 Old Macon Rd #54 | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 1,004 (-4%) | 2mo | $76,500 | $76 | 73 |
| 1918 Watkins Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,053 (+1%) | 5mo | $139,900 | $133 | 68 |
| 4312 Old Macon Rd #46 | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 1,120 (+7%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $54 | 67 |
| 4135 Forrest Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 912 (-13%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $132 | 60 |
| 1618 Forestside Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,006 (-4%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $144 | 55 |
| 4232 Old Macon Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,166 (+12%) | 8mo | $159,000 | $136 | 52 |
| 4630 Gardiner Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 975 (-7%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $103 | 50 |
| 3903 Forestside Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 946 (-10%) | 4mo | $154,000 | $163 | 50 |
| 4418 Gardiner Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+11%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 1813 Celia Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 959 (-8%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $156 | 46 |
| 1618 Edgechester Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 998 (-5%) | 7mo | $87,500 | $88 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,659
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $32,868
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31907
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $884/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $291 | +0% $263 | +5% $234 | +10% $206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $218 | +0% $263 | +5% $308 | +10% $353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $313 | -0.5pp $288 | base $263 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $210 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4265 Adams St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $995 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4135 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,375 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4254 Fort St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 961 | $900 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4312 Old Macon Rd #42 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4414 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,195 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2353 Agnes Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1917 Watkins Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1537 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $975 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1507 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1719 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2316 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1047 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1519 Baker St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3931 Dexter Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $850 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4970 Gardiner Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,400 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4832 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1722 Emerson Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3111 Avon Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,100 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3930 Fairview Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1400 Boxwood Blvd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,255 | $0.99 | 14d | 6 | 1.24mi |
| 5038 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3625 Arkansas Dr Unit A2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3625 Arkansas Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1711 Floyd Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,300 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1423 Hagan Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5530 Hunter Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4707 Marino St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $995 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3828 Anglin Ct Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-03-05status Active 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
2 bedroom 1 bath home with refinished hardwood floors, a large kitchen, front and back porch, and a private backyard!
-
2026-02-15status Pending 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
2 bedroom 1 bath home with refinished hardwood floors, a large kitchen, front and back porch, and a private backyard!
-
2026-01-07price $99,900 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
2 bedroom 1 bath home with refinished hardwood floors, a large kitchen, front and back porch, and a private backyard!
-
2025-11-22historical $975
-
2025-11-18$109,900 Active 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
2 bedroom 1 bath home with refinished hardwood floors, a large kitchen, front and back porch, and a private backyard!
-
2025-11-08price $975
-
2025-08-18$980
-
2008-01-22soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $884 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $919 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$35/yr (+$3/mo · 4.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$884
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,096
- − Management
- −$1,096
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,622
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$389
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,110
- Household income
- $54,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2138.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.88%
- Current HPI
- 151.74
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+149.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — CBOR
- 2026-02-15 Pending — CBOR
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $99,900 CBOR
- 2025-11-22 Rental Removed $975 PROPERTYWARE
- 2025-11-18 Listed $109,900 CBOR
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $975 PROPERTYWARE
- 2025-08-18 Listed for Rent $980 PROPERTYWARE
- 2008-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $884 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…