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7800 Maple Hill Rd Unit b11
B- Composite 69.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

7800 Maple Hill Rd Unit b11 · Corcoran, MN 55340
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 951 sqft · SingleFamily · 164 Days on market
Built 1996 Fair condition 1,219 sqft lot $680/mo HOA · 26% of rent ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious Mobile home in Maple Hill Estates – Great Potential! This mobile home in the Maple Hill community offers a ra re opportunity to customize a home to your taste.With 3 bedrooms, 2 f ull bathrooms.Inside, you’ll find an eat-in kitche n, and an adjacent laundry/utility area for added convenience. The primary s uite features an ensuite bath.Conveniently located near Corcoran’s amenities, this home is a fantastic opportunity for a buyer se eking affordability. Lot rent inclu des city sewer, well water distribution system, and trash/recycle containers

Key facts

  • Laundry utility area
  • Primary suite
  • Ensuite bath

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENLAUNDRY UTILITY AREAPRIMARY SUITEENSUITE BATHCITY SEWERWELL WATER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $890 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 2.2% in Corcoran — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#629 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #88 of 301 in MN (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.71%
Cap rate
21.55%
Cash-on-cash
54.50%
DSCR
3.43
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$45,814
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
58.3%
Equity multiple
6.86×
Total profit
$114,762
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55340

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$680
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$546
Net cashflow
$890

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,473
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7148 Brockton Ln N Maple Grove, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1139 $2,600 $2.28 1d 8 0.92mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$680 · $8,160/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrash

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 163 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 162 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 161 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    price $70,000 Active 155 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,800 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,800 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,800 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $74,800 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,800 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,800 Active 148 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,800 Active 147 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,800 Active 146 DOM
  15. 2026-03-25
    price $74,800 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Spacious Mobile home in Maple Hill Estates – Great Potential! This mobile home in the Maple Hill community offers a ra re opportunity to customize a home to your taste.With 3 bedrooms, 2 f ull bathrooms.Inside, you’ll find an eat-in kitche n, and an adjacent laundry/utility area for added convenience. The primary s uite features an ensuite bath.Conveniently located near Corcoran’s amenities, this home is a fantastic opportunity for a buyer se eking affordability. Lot rent inclu des city sewer, well water distribution system, and trash/recycle containers

  16. 2026-01-05
    listed $85,000 Active 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Spacious Mobile home in Maple Hill Estates – Great Potential! This mobile home in the Maple Hill community offers a ra re opportunity to customize a home to your taste.With 3 bedrooms, 2 f ull bathrooms.Inside, you’ll find an eat-in kitche n, and an adjacent laundry/utility area for added convenience. The primary s uite features an ensuite bath.Conveniently located near Corcoran’s amenities, this home is a fantastic opportunity for a buyer se eking affordability. Lot rent inclu des city sewer, well water distribution system, and trash/recycle containers

  17. 2026-01-03
    historical
  18. 2025-11-20
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,200
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,496
− Management
−$2,496
− HOA
−$8,160
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$10,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,566
After-tax cash flow
$8,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen, bathrooms, and flooring, but has a good foundation and structure. The home has good curb appeal and is located in a desirable area.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate flooring — dated and in need of replacement

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint can make a significant difference in appearance
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets can greatly improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetics
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures can make the bathrooms more functional and appealing
  • Both replace flooring — new flooring can make the home more appealing and functional

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
flooring · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint can make a significant difference in appearance
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets can greatly improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetics
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures can make the bathrooms more functional and appealing
  • Both replace flooring — new flooring can make the home more appealing and functional

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford Public School District
NCES district ID
2732070
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$77,286
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2641
State rank
#88 of 301 in MN

Livability — Corcoran

Score
63/100
State rank
#629
US rank
#15042

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corcoran, MN
City population
9,776
Population (ZIP)
9,776

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Asian 15% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.05%
Current HPI
242.407
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $74,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-03 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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