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294 Autumn Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 60.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$750,000

294 Autumn Ave · New York, NY 11208
6 bd · 6.0 ba · 1,408 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1910 2,000 sqft lot Est $917k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

New pricing creates exceptional value in today's market! Discover this inviting two- family home in the heart of Cypress Hills, Brooklyn. Presenting a perfect investment opportunity. This well maintained property features a spacious 2 bedroom, 1 bath unit situated above a large 1 bedroom, 1 bath unit. Both units are bathed in natural light due to their beautiful large bay windows. This home is an excellent choice for investors while also offering a comfortable and welcoming environment for first time home buyers. The first floor can be easily restore to a duplex layout that connects to the lower level, provides ample space and privacy, making it an ideal setting to create a 2 bedroom duple

Key facts

  • 2,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 78 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No carport; No designated parking features
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available; Cable available
  • Home design: Duplex; 1516 total building area (per public records); Condition listed as actual
  • Construction: Wood frame construction
  • Exterior features: Front and back yard fencing; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; ENERGY STAR qualified cooling equipment
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Bay windows; Deck
  • Laundry & utility: Basement (full) available for utilities/storage; Crawl attic

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $856 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $428/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $691k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $691k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,910/mo this rent would consume 134% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 7574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($705k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $79k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $399k; list at $750k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $691,000 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.89%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$916,608
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
93-09 76th St 0.36mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,468 (+4%) 12mo $790,000 $538 46
9134 81st St 0.57mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,520 (+8%) 6mo $990,000 $651 38
125 Crystal St 0.54mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (-13%) 1mo $650,000 $531 32
296 Arlington Ave 0.72mi 6/2.0 1,560 (+11%) 1mo $1,035,000 $663 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-44,718
Equity at exit
$111,827
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$128,837
Equity at exit
$64,846

Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11208

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
18.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,910 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,933
Tax from tax record
$357 /mo · $4,282/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,451
Net cashflow
$856

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,826
Max offer price $750,000
Occupancy floor 83%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,910

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,500
Closing costs
$22,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $750,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $750,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $750,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $750,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $750,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $750,000 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $750,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $799,000 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $799,000 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $799,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $799,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-04-28
    price $799,000
  13. 2026-04-01
    listed $829,000 Active
  14. 2026-03-20
    historical $829,000
  15. 2026-01-12
    historical
  16. 2025-04-23
    listed $835,000 Active
  17. 2025-04-10
    historical
  18. 2005-12-14
    soldstatus $399,000
  19. 2005-04-26
    soldstatus $248,040

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,282 · $357/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,478 · $707/mo
Expected delta
+$4,197/yr (+$350/mo · 98.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$82,920
− Mortgage interest
−$42,012
− Property taxes
−$4,282
− Insurance
−$3,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,634
− Management
−$6,634
− Depreciation
−$21,818
Taxable loss
−$2,209
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$530
After-tax cash flow
$10,808/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
105,428
Household income
$62,077
Rent vs Own
75.1% rent · 24.9% own
Severe rent burden
7574.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 39% Asian 10% Two or more races 8% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 16%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada, China, Mexico
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -546.38%
Current HPI
376.1489
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+222.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $829,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $829,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-12 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-23 Listed $835,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-10 Coming Soon OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $399,000 Public Records
  • 2005-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $248,040 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,282 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…