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76 Vernon Pl Multi-family
C+ Composite 64.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$288,000

76 Vernon Pl · Buffalo, NY 14214
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,380 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1920 3,600 sqft lot $121/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors and owner-occupants! Welcome to this well-maintained double on a quiet residential street adjacent to Parkside—just over a half-mile walk to Delaware Park, the Buffalo Zoo, JAM Parkside, and the Parkside Meadow. Both the upper and lower units feature a porch, 3 bedrooms, and a full bath. Additional highlights include a driveway, forced-air heat (making it easy to add central air), and a complete tear-off roof installed in 2016 with 30-year architectural shingles.

Key facts

  • Porch
  • Driveway
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

WELL MAINTAINED DOUBLEQUIET RESIDENTIAL STREETHALF-MILE WALK TO BUFFALO ZOOHALF-MILE WALK TO JAM PARKSIDEPORCHDRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $288k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $288k).
  • Recommended offer: $271k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,270/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $176k; list at $288k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $270,720 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.90%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$630,918
List price
$288,000
Delta
-54.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
172 Rodney Ave 0.37mi 6/2.5 2,430 (+2%) 7mo $222,499 $92 71
1681 Amherst St 0.06mi 6/2.0 2,728 (+15%) 10mo $335,000 $123 64
168 Rodney Ave 0.36mi 6/2.0 2,199 (-8%) 7mo $175,000 $80 64
356 Woodward Ave 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,544 (+7%) 9mo $390,000 $153 64
258 Leroy Ave 0.52mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-8%) 6mo $220,000 $100 59
2006 Fillmore Ave 0.75mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,390 (+0%) 3mo $84,800 $35 57
92 Wakefield Ave 0.44mi 6/2.0 2,046 (-14%) 8mo $190,000 $93 50
2032 Fillmore Ave 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,226 (-6%) 10mo $150,000 $67 49
25 Sterling Ave 0.69mi 6/2.0 2,244 (-6%) 12mo $430,000 $192 48
752 Tacoma Ave 0.75mi 6/2.0 2,652 (+11%) 10mo $490,000 $185 37
32 Sterling Ave 0.73mi 6/3.0 2,662 (+12%) 7mo $470,300 $177 36
114 Manhattan Ave 0.72mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,052 (-14%) 16mo $158,000 $77 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$17,941
Equity at exit
$42,942
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$127,567
Equity at exit
$24,901

Cash invested: $80,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14214

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,270 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,510
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,031/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$687
Net cashflow
$867

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,172
Max offer price $288,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,030 -5% $949 +0% $867 +5% $786 +10% $704
Rent -10% $609 -5% $738 +0% $867 +5% $996 +10% $1,125
Rate -1.0pp $1,012 -0.5pp $940 base $867 +0.5pp $792 +1.0pp $717

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,270

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,000
Closing costs
$8,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 Custer St Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 15d 1 1.03mi
145 Minnesota Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 2551 $4,900 $1.92 15d 1 1.05mi
85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2193 $3,750 $1.71 15d 1 1.11mi
175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 15d 1 1.16mi
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 44d 1 1.16mi
133 Merrimac St Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 2327 $4,450 $1.91 15d 1 1.21mi
196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 2560 $2,000 $0.78 2d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    price $288,000 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Attention investors and owner-occupants! Welcome to this well-maintained double on a quiet residential street adjacent to Parkside—just over a half-mile walk to Delaware Park, the Buffalo Zoo, JAM Parkside, and the Parkside Meadow. Both the upper and lower units feature a porch, 3 bedrooms, and a full bath. Additional highlights include a driveway, forced-air heat (making it easy to add central air), and a complete tear-off roof installed in 2016 with 30-year architectural shingles.

  2. 2026-03-25
    listed $298,000 Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Attention investors and owner-occupants! Welcome to this well-maintained double on a quiet residential street adjacent to Parkside—just over a half-mile walk to Delaware Park, the Buffalo Zoo, JAM Parkside, and the Parkside Meadow. Both the upper and lower units feature a porch, 3 bedrooms, and a full bath. Additional highlights include a driveway, forced-air heat (making it easy to add central air), and a complete tear-off roof installed in 2016 with 30-year architectural shingles.

  3. 2026-01-10
    historical $1,440
  4. 2025-11-15
    listed $1,440
  5. 2017-10-18
    soldstatus $176,500 Closed Sale or Rented 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    3/3 double with approx. 1200sq ft each unit is ready to be owner occupied and/or investor money maker. New tear off roof with 30yr architectural shingles. New copper & pex plumbing, circuit breakers, replacement windows, refinished hardwoods, fresh paint, furnaces 2005, hot water tanks 2015, and basement glass block windows. The upper has a brand new kitchen w appliances and a brand new bathroom. Upper & Lower porches and driveway parking complete this property in a great location. Delaware Park & The Buffalo Zoo are 3 blocks away. 2 Rapid Transit stations are in walking distance ( Humboldt & Amherst ).

  6. 2017-10-18
    soldstatus $176,500
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    3/3 double with approx. 1200sq ft each unit is ready to be owner occupied and/or investor money maker. New tear off roof with 30yr architectural shingles. New copper & pex plumbing, circuit breakers, replacement windows, refinished hardwoods, fresh paint, furnaces 2005, hot water tanks 2015, and basement glass block windows. The upper has a brand new kitchen w appliances and a brand new bathroom. Upper & Lower porches and driveway parking complete this property in a great location. Delaware Park & The Buffalo Zoo are 3 blocks away. 2 Rapid Transit stations are in walking distance ( Humboldt & Amherst ).

  7. 2017-07-17
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    3/3 double with approx. 1200sq ft each unit is ready to be owner occupied and/or investor money maker. New tear off roof with 30yr architectural shingles. New copper & pex plumbing, circuit breakers, replacement windows, refinished hardwoods, fresh paint, furnaces 2005, hot water tanks 2015, and basement glass block windows. The upper has a brand new kitchen w appliances and a brand new bathroom. Upper & Lower porches and driveway parking complete this property in a great location. Delaware Park & The Buffalo Zoo are 3 blocks away. 2 Rapid Transit stations are in walking distance ( Humboldt & Amherst ).

  8. 2017-07-10
    listed $169,900 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    3/3 double with approx. 1200sq ft each unit is ready to be owner occupied and/or investor money maker. New tear off roof with 30yr architectural shingles. New copper & pex plumbing, circuit breakers, replacement windows, refinished hardwoods, fresh paint, furnaces 2005, hot water tanks 2015, and basement glass block windows. The upper has a brand new kitchen w appliances and a brand new bathroom. Upper & Lower porches and driveway parking complete this property in a great location. Delaware Park & The Buffalo Zoo are 3 blocks away. 2 Rapid Transit stations are in walking distance ( Humboldt & Amherst ).

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,031 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,949 · $246/mo
Expected delta
+$1,918/yr (+$160/mo · 186.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,240
− Mortgage interest
−$16,132
− Property taxes
−$1,031
− Insurance
−$1,440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,139
− Management
−$3,139
− Depreciation
−$8,378
Taxable income
$5,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,435
After-tax cash flow
$8,970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,314
Household income
$58,228
Rent vs Own
57.7% rent · 42.3% own
Severe rent burden
1820.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -282.52%
Current HPI
373.377
Rent YoY
▲ 5.81%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+69.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $288,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $298,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-10 Rental Removed $1,440 LISTANZA
  • 2025-11-15 Listed for Rent $1,440 LISTANZA
  • 2017-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $176,500 Public Records
  • 2017-10-18 Sold (MLS) $176,500 WNYREIS
  • 2017-07-17 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-07-10 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,031 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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