626 David Cv · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bed, 2-bath property, located at McCluer Road Estates, offers a livable space of approximately 1,107 square feet, situated on a 0.3-acre lot. The single-story home features a fireplace, an attached carport, and updated flooring. With easy access to local amenities like schools and shops, this property presents a good opportunity for peaceful living without losing convenience.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Updated flooring
- Fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.56%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,115
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -23.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 628 David Cv | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,153 (+4%) | 13mo | $139,900 | $121 | 82 |
| 611 Chelsea Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,118 (+1%) | 1mo | $26,900 | $24 | 73 |
| 631 Edward Cv | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+4%) | 19mo | $96,000 | $83 | 68 |
| 625 David Cv | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+8%) | 17mo | $120,000 | $100 | 65 |
| 786 Hunter Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,271 (+15%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $102 | 59 |
| 513 Mccluer Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+7%) | 18mo | $159,900 | $136 | 58 |
| 623 Edward Cv | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (+13%) | 23mo | $131,900 | $106 | 56 |
| 637 Chelsea Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (+11%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $49 | 50 |
| 645 Upper Darby Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+10%) | 24mo | $24,900 | $21 | 45 |
| 3655 Rainey Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,247 (+13%) | 18mo | $19,800 | $16 | 43 |
| 508 Forest Lake Cir | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,256 (+14%) | 19mo | $115,000 | $92 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $11,820
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $48,905
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,113/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 156 McCluer Rd Apt A Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 270 Wildwood Ct Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $900 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1132 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,426 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,225 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,150 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,306 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 422 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $1,426 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 140 Neatherwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,297 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 230 Savanna St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $795 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $95,000 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
This 3-bed, 2-bath property, located at McCluer Road Estates, offers a livable space of approximately 1,107 square feet, situated on a 0.3-acre lot. The single-story home features a fireplace, an attached carport, and updated flooring. With easy access to local amenities like schools and shops, this property presents a good opportunity for peaceful living without losing convenience.
-
2026-03-17$100,000 Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
This 3-bed, 2-bath property, located at McCluer Road Estates, offers a livable space of approximately 1,107 square feet, situated on a 0.3-acre lot. The single-story home features a fireplace, an attached carport, and updated flooring. With easy access to local amenities like schools and shops, this property presents a good opportunity for peaceful living without losing convenience.
-
2021-05-07soldstatus 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Excellent starter home located in very quiet neighborhood in South Jackson. New floors, new appliances, fresh paint, new light fixtures.
-
2021-05-07soldstatus
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Excellent starter home located in very quiet neighborhood in South Jackson. New floors, new appliances, fresh paint, new light fixtures.
-
2020-11-22$89,850 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Excellent starter home located in very quiet neighborhood in South Jackson. New floors, new appliances, fresh paint, new light fixtures.
-
2020-09-11soldstatus
-
2020-09-10soldstatus
-
2020-07-01$49,000
-
1999-04-30soldstatus
-
1993-10-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,113 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,113 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,113
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,205
- − Management
- −$1,205
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $3,435
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$824
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+93.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $95,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-17 Listed $100,000 MLSU
- 2021-05-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-05-07 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2020-11-22 Listed $89,850 MLSU
- 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2020-09-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-07-01 Listed $49,000 MLSU
- 1999-04-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-10-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,113 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…