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6912 Night Owl Ln
D- Composite 39.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$397,990

6912 Night Owl Ln · Fort Worth, TX 76036
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,602 sqft · Other · 117 Days on market
Built 2026 6,900 sqft lot $153/sqft · 5% below area Est $419k · 5% under $46/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Lakewood plan is a unique 2-story home with 5 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and an open-concept living, kitchen, and dining area. This floorplan features a covered patio, an oversized pantry, a dedicated breakfast room, a large family room, a dedicated laundry room, and a 2.5-car garage. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet with ample space connected to a private bathroom.

Key facts

  • Large island
  • Granite countertops
  • White cabinetry

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTION HOMELARGE ISLANDWHITE CABINETRYGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSECLUDED OWNER'S SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $398k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $382k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (26.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bess Race El (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,500 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 665 students, 77% FRL); H F Stevens Middle (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 747 students, 84% FRL); Crowley H S (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 2,351 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 52% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1036 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($362k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $291,236 (26.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$419,065
List price
$397,990
Delta
-5.03%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-72,353
Equity at exit
$59,342
10-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-79,397
Equity at exit
$34,411

Cash invested: $111,437 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76036

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
1036
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,912 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,087
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,075/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$46
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$612
Net cashflow
$-88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,023
Max offer price $382,490
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $138 -5% $25 +0% $-88 +5% $-200 +10% $-313
Rent -10% $-318 -5% $-203 +0% $-88 +5% $27 +10% $142
Rate -1.0pp $113 -0.5pp $13 base $-88 +0.5pp $-191 +1.0pp $-296

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,498
Closing costs
$11,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6732 Denim Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 3.0 2187 $3,100 $1.42 45d 1 0.40mi
8433 High Garden St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1996 $2,499 $1.25 0d 1 0.98mi
8345 High Garden St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 3.0 2320 $2,425 $1.05 7d 1 1.06mi
6128 Fall Creek Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2004 $2,399 $1.20 45d 1 1.09mi
5609 Cookstown Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.5 2095 $2,455 $1.17 26d 1 1.35mi
5601 Portlaw Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.5 2338 $2,575 $1.10 26d 1 1.35mi
10356 Holycross Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,400 $1.31 0d 1 1.40mi
9720 Buffalo Ridge Rd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,400 $1.31 26d 1 1.49mi
9724 Buffalo Ridge Rd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 2004 $2,125 $1.06 45d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$46 · $552/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $397,990 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $397,990 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $397,990 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $397,990 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $397,990 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $397,990 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $397,990 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $397,990 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $397,990 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $397,990 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $397,990 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $397,990 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $397,990 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $397,990 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $397,990 Active 96 DOM
  16. 2026-05-02
    price $397,990 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    The Lakewood plan is a unique 2-story home with 5 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and an open-concept living, kitchen, and dining area. This floorplan features a covered patio, an oversized pantry, a dedicated breakfast room, a large family room, a dedicated laundry room, and a 2.5-car garage. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet with ample space connected to a private bathroom.

  17. 2026-04-28
    price $397,990 1281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1281 chars)

    Welcome home to Rocky Creek Crossing, Legend’s newest community in Fort Worth, TX. The Lakewood is a spacious, 1.5-story new construction home designed to offer comfort, flexibility, and room to gather. With 5 bedrooms (4 down, 1 up), 4 bathrooms, a game room, formal dining room, and a 2.5-car garage, the layout provides space for both everyday living and special occasions. Vinyl plank flooring runs through the common areas, creating a cohesive and low-maintenance living space. At the heart of the home, the kitchen features a large island that opens to the family and dining rooms—making it easy to stay connected during meals and get-togethers. White 42-inch cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances offer a clean, timeless look built for everyday use. The secluded Owner’s Suite provides a peaceful retreat with granite countertops, a separate tub and shower, spacious walk-in closet, and a tray ceiling that adds subtle character without overwhelming the space. Outside, a covered patio offering a comfortable place to relax or unwind. Located in the Rocky Creek Crossing community, this affordable new home blends thoughtful design, modern finishes, and low-maintenance living—an inviting place to settle in and feel at home.

  18. 2026-04-19
    price $419,990 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    The Lakewood plan is a unique 2-story home with 5 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and an open-concept living, kitchen, and dining area. This floorplan features a covered patio, an oversized pantry, a dedicated breakfast room, a large family room, a dedicated laundry room, and a 2.5-car garage. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet with ample space connected to a private bathroom.

  19. 2026-04-18
    listed $406,990 Active 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    The Lakewood plan is a unique 2-story home with 5 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and an open-concept living, kitchen, and dining area. This floorplan features a covered patio, an oversized pantry, a dedicated breakfast room, a large family room, a dedicated laundry room, and a 2.5-car garage. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet with ample space connected to a private bathroom.

  20. 2026-04-17
    price $419,990 1281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1281 chars)

    Welcome home to Rocky Creek Crossing, Legend’s newest community in Fort Worth, TX. The Lakewood is a spacious, 1.5-story new construction home designed to offer comfort, flexibility, and room to gather. With 5 bedrooms (4 down, 1 up), 4 bathrooms, a game room, formal dining room, and a 2.5-car garage, the layout provides space for both everyday living and special occasions. Vinyl plank flooring runs through the common areas, creating a cohesive and low-maintenance living space. At the heart of the home, the kitchen features a large island that opens to the family and dining rooms—making it easy to stay connected during meals and get-togethers. White 42-inch cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances offer a clean, timeless look built for everyday use. The secluded Owner’s Suite provides a peaceful retreat with granite countertops, a separate tub and shower, spacious walk-in closet, and a tray ceiling that adds subtle character without overwhelming the space. Outside, a covered patio offering a comfortable place to relax or unwind. Located in the Rocky Creek Crossing community, this affordable new home blends thoughtful design, modern finishes, and low-maintenance living—an inviting place to settle in and feel at home.

  21. 2026-02-24
    listed $406,990 Active 1281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1281 chars)

    Welcome home to Rocky Creek Crossing, Legend’s newest community in Fort Worth, TX. The Lakewood is a spacious, 1.5-story new construction home designed to offer comfort, flexibility, and room to gather. With 5 bedrooms (4 down, 1 up), 4 bathrooms, a game room, formal dining room, and a 2.5-car garage, the layout provides space for both everyday living and special occasions. Vinyl plank flooring runs through the common areas, creating a cohesive and low-maintenance living space. At the heart of the home, the kitchen features a large island that opens to the family and dining rooms—making it easy to stay connected during meals and get-togethers. White 42-inch cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances offer a clean, timeless look built for everyday use. The secluded Owner’s Suite provides a peaceful retreat with granite countertops, a separate tub and shower, spacious walk-in closet, and a tray ceiling that adds subtle character without overwhelming the space. Outside, a covered patio offering a comfortable place to relax or unwind. Located in the Rocky Creek Crossing community, this affordable new home blends thoughtful design, modern finishes, and low-maintenance living—an inviting place to settle in and feel at home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,075 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,283 · $607/mo
Expected delta
+$6,208/yr (+$517/mo · 577.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,948
− Mortgage interest
−$22,294
− Property taxes
−$1,075
− Insurance
−$1,990
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,796
− Management
−$2,796
− HOA
−$552
− Depreciation
−$11,578
Taxable loss
−$8,132
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,952
After-tax cash flow
$899/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley ISD
NCES district ID
4815910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,810
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7549
State rank
#643 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,044
Household income
$97,973
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.45%
Current HPI
238.6365
Rent YoY
▲ 2.28%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $397,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $397,990 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $419,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $406,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $419,990 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $406,990 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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