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2925 Bowie Ave
B Composite 73.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$57,000

2925 Bowie Ave · Camden, AR 71701
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,733 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1975 0.34 ac lot $33/sqft · 44% below area Est $103k · 44% under ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Let us show you this 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home located on the south edge of Camden, AR. This home is located close to schools and shopping.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1975

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $57k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 5.2% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,290 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
20.78%
Cash-on-cash
51.72%
DSCR
3.30
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,693
List price
$57,000
Delta
-44.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
580 Club Road Rd 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,705 (-2%) 22mo $188,500 $111 50
305 Fairview Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,905 (+10%) 5mo $155,000 $81 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$34,598
Equity at exit
$8,499
10-year hold
IRR
55.1%
Equity multiple
6.43×
Total profit
$86,628
Equity at exit
$4,928

Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71701

Home prices YoY
-20.5%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,369 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$299
Tax est. 1.5%
$71 /mo · $855/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$688

Break-even live

Break-even rent $499
Max offer price $57,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $727 -5% $708 +0% $688 +5% $668 +10% $649
Rent -10% $580 -5% $634 +0% $688 +5% $742 +10% $796
Rate -1.0pp $717 -0.5pp $702 base $688 +0.5pp $673 +1.0pp $658

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,250
Closing costs
$1,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $57,000 Under Contract 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $57,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $57,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $57,000 Price Change 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $57,000 Price Change 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $57,000 Price Change 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricestatus $57,000 Price Change 49 DOM
  8. 2026-05-02
    price $60,000 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Let us show you this 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home located on the south edge of Camden, AR. This home is located close to schools and shopping.

  9. 2026-04-02
    listed $95,000 New Listing 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Let us show you this 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home located on the south edge of Camden, AR. This home is located close to schools and shopping.

  10. 2025-07-11
    soldstatus $79,721

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,433
− Mortgage interest
−$3,193
− Property taxes
−$855
− Insurance
−$285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,315
− Management
−$1,315
− Depreciation
−$1,658
Taxable income
$7,812
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,875
After-tax cash flow
$6,380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden Fairview School District
NCES district ID
0506060
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$30,854
Composite
9.43/100
National rank
#9853
State rank
#229 of 238 in AR

Livability — Camden

Score
57/100
State rank
#364
US rank
#22245

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, AR
City population
17,883
Population (ZIP)
17,883

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,485 people
By 2030
19,947 · -7.2%
By 2040
16,990 · -20.9%
By 2050
14,431 · -32.8%
By 2075
10,003 · -53.4%
By 2100
7,418 · -65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
R (+19.1) · D 39.5% · R 58.6% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -19.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.1 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+10.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.10%
Current HPI
171.0106
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $60,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $95,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $79,721 Public Records

Property tax history

-20.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $19 · -84.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…