2925 Bowie Ave · Camden, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Let us show you this 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home located on the south edge of Camden, AR. This home is located close to schools and shopping.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 5.2% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.72%
- DSCR
- 3.30
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,693
- List price
- $57,000
- Delta
- -44.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 580 Club Road Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,705 (-2%) | 22mo | $188,500 | $111 | 50 |
| 305 Fairview Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,905 (+10%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $81 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $34,598
- Equity at exit
- $8,499
- IRR
- 55.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.43×
- Total profit
- $86,628
- Equity at exit
- $4,928
Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71701
- Home prices YoY
- -20.5%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,369 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$299
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$71 /mo · $855/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $688
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $727 | -5% $708 | +0% $688 | +5% $668 | +10% $649 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $580 | -5% $634 | +0% $688 | +5% $742 | +10% $796 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $717 | -0.5pp $702 | base $688 | +0.5pp $673 | +1.0pp $658 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,250
- Closing costs
- $1,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-17status $57,000 Under Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $57,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $57,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $57,000 Price Change 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $57,000 Price Change 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,000 Price Change 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricestatus $57,000 Price Change 49 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $60,000 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Let us show you this 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home located on the south edge of Camden, AR. This home is located close to schools and shopping.
-
2026-04-02$95,000 New Listing 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Let us show you this 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home located on the south edge of Camden, AR. This home is located close to schools and shopping.
-
2025-07-11soldstatus $79,721
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,433
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,193
- − Property taxes
- −$855
- − Insurance
- −$285
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,315
- − Management
- −$1,315
- − Depreciation
- −$1,658
- Taxable income
- $7,812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden Fairview School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506060
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,854
- Composite
- 9.43/100
- National rank
- #9853
- State rank
- #229 of 238 in AR
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #22245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, AR
- City population
- 17,883
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,883
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,485 people
- By 2030
- 19,947 · -7.2%
- By 2040
- 16,990 · -20.9%
- By 2050
- 14,431 · -32.8%
- By 2075
- 10,003 · -53.4%
- By 2100
- 7,418 · -65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.1) · D 39.5% · R 58.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+10.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.0106
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-24.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $60,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $95,000 CARMLS
- 2025-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $79,721 Public Records
Property tax history
-20.4%/yrLatest (2025): $19 · -84.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…