1599 N Norma St #43 · Ridgecrest, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! All-age community mobile home park. This fully remodeled 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath manufactured unit is ultimately inviting, clean and turn-key ready. Featuring updated good sized windows for lots of natural sun light and new plumbing fixtures. Included with the unit is a stove, microwave and refrigerator. Cozy up with elegant lighting throughout while enjoying new remote-controlled heating and air conditioning mini splits for your comfort. Enjoy the modern finishes, a stylish kitchen inviting you to cook, and fresh bright bathrooms. The spacious shed offers a washer, dryer, ceiling fan, and room for a work area. Outside features covered padecking with a sliding gate and multiple parking. Conveniently just minutes from the Navy base and all local amenities. A charming, low-maintenance property ready for its new owner! Lenders; Santiago & 21st Mortgage - Schedule your appointment for a showing.
Key facts
- Fully remodeled
- Modern finishes
- Built 1968
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $54k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 4.0% in Ridgecrest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#243 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, cost of living D+.
- Sierra Sands Unified (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #294 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $54k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 4→10/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.94%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $32,000
- List price
- $54,000
- Delta
- 68.75%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 N Norma St #42 | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 840 (0%) | 13mo | $30,000 | $36 | 76 |
| 1400 Wayne St #33 | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (0%) | 2mo | $32,000 | $38 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $28,031
- Equity at exit
- $8,052
- IRR
- 49.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.88×
- Total profit
- $73,820
- Equity at exit
- $4,669
Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93555
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,189 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$283
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$68 /mo · $810/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $566
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $604 | -5% $585 | +0% $566 | +5% $548 | +10% $529 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $472 | -5% $519 | +0% $566 | +5% $613 | +10% $660 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $593 | -0.5pp $580 | base $566 | +0.5pp $552 | +1.0pp $538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,500
- Closing costs
- $1,620
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604 W Perdew Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 616 W Graaf Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 625 W Perdew Ave Apt A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 637 W Perdew Ave Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1605 N Norma St Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1067 | $1,475 | $1.38 | 11d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 702 W Atkins Ave Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $775 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1332 N Norma St Ridgecrest, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $950 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1330 N Norma St Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $950 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 537 W Ward Ave Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 920 W Alene Ave Apt B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 940 W Graaf Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 940 W Graaf Ave Apt C Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1005 W Alene Ave Apt B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1013 W Atkins Ave Unit C Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $975 | $1.07 | 11d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1016 W Atkins Ave Unit C Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1332 N El Prado St Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $950 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 539 Sydnor Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1617 N Erwin St Apt B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1311 N El Prado St Unit Elpr-1311 C-PK Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 919 N Heritage Dr Ridgecrest, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,050 | $3.15 | 3d | 2 | 0.76mi |
| 201 Drummond Ave Unit 217 Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 201 Drummond Ave Unit 239 Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 833 N Sanders St Apt A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $925 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 718 N Sanders St Unit F Ridgecrest, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $950 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-01-26price $62,000 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Welcome home! All-age community mobile home park. This fully remodeled 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath manufactured unit is ultimately inviting, clean and turn-key ready. Featuring updated good sized windows for lots of natural sun light and new plumbing fixtures. Included with the unit is a stove, microwave and refrigerator. Cozy up with elegant lighting throughout while enjoying new remote-controlled heating and air conditioning mini splits for your comfort. Enjoy the modern finishes, a stylish kitchen inviting you to cook, and fresh bright bathrooms. The spacious shed offers a washer, dryer, ceiling fan, and room for a work area. Outside features covered padecking with a sliding gate and multiple parking. Conveniently just minutes from the Navy base and all local amenities. A charming, low-maintenance property ready for its new owner! Lenders; Santiago & 21st Mortgage - Schedule your appointment for a showing.
-
2025-11-10$65,000 Active 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Welcome home! All-age community mobile home park. This fully remodeled 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath manufactured unit is ultimately inviting, clean and turn-key ready. Featuring updated good sized windows for lots of natural sun light and new plumbing fixtures. Included with the unit is a stove, microwave and refrigerator. Cozy up with elegant lighting throughout while enjoying new remote-controlled heating and air conditioning mini splits for your comfort. Enjoy the modern finishes, a stylish kitchen inviting you to cook, and fresh bright bathrooms. The spacious shed offers a washer, dryer, ceiling fan, and room for a work area. Outside features covered padecking with a sliding gate and multiple parking. Conveniently just minutes from the Navy base and all local amenities. A charming, low-maintenance property ready for its new owner! Lenders; Santiago & 21st Mortgage - Schedule your appointment for a showing.
-
2024-09-12price $60,000
-
2024-06-25price $67,000
-
2024-06-14$86,000 Active
-
2024-01-16soldstatus $24,000 Closed
-
2023-12-18status Pending
-
2023-09-14$27,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥105°F today · 10 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,025
- − Property taxes
- −$810
- − Insurance
- −$270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,142
- − Management
- −$1,142
- − Depreciation
- −$1,571
- Taxable income
- $6,311
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,515
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,280/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This fully remodeled 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath manufactured home is in excellent condition and ready for immediate occupancy. Minor updates to the exterior and landscaping would further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace sliding gate — Improves security and functionality
- Both Upgrade landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace sliding gate — Improves security and functionality ↑
- Both Upgrade landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sierra Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636800
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,937
- Composite
- 28.66/100
- National rank
- #6699
- State rank
- #294 of 517 in CA
Livability — Ridgecrest
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #8014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridgecrest, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 33,845
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,845
- Household income
- $86,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 975.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.17%
- Current HPI
- 380.5208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+129.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $62,000 SSMLS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $65,000 SSMLS
- 2024-09-12 Price Changed $60,000 SSMLS
- 2024-06-25 Price Changed $67,000 SSMLS
- 2024-06-14 Listed $86,000 SSMLS
- 2024-01-16 Sold (MLS) $24,000 AVMLS
- 2023-12-18 Pending — AVMLS
- 2023-09-14 Listed $27,000 AVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…