CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9241 SE 155th Pl
D- Composite 39.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

9241 SE 155th Pl · The Villages, FL 34491
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,511 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 121 Days on market
Built 2023 0.25 ac lot Est $263k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. MOVE-IN READY HOME AVAILABLE! Located in the family-friendly neighborhood of Orange Blossom Hills this 3BR/2BA home is within arm-lengths of The Villages, Ocala, shopping, dining, schools, and much more. Situated on a OVERSIZED . 25 acre CORNER lot this home offers you the freedom you have been wanting with NO HOA nor DEED RESTRICTIONS. Newly(2023) constructed of stucco and block you can rest assured you’ll have years of enjoyment without the headache of maintenance and cost. Featuring 1,514+/- sqft under air this 3BR/2BA home consists of an open floor plan that features a BONUS Florida room, tray/vaulted ceilings, tile/carpet flooring, a WHOLE

Key facts

  • Oversized corner lot
  • Newly constructed
  • Irrigation system

Tags

OVERSIZED CORNER LOTNO HOANO DEED RESTRICTIONSNEWLY CONSTRUCTEDWHOLE HOUSE SECURITY SYSTEMIRRIGATION SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot roughly 0.25 acre (about 81 x 133); Public records list living area as 1,511 and total building area as 2,031; Unfurnished; Zoned R1

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; South-facing entry
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block and slab foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Tray ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-822/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 705 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 12682% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,213 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$262,914
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9270 SE 157th Pl 0.25mi 3/3.0 1,630 (+8%) 1mo $282,999 $174 70
9085 SE 156th St 0.18mi 3/3.0 1,609 (+6%) 20mo $236,000 $147 60
9319 SE 157th St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,710 (+13%) 13mo $295,000 $173 58
8995 SE 156th St 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,615 (+7%) 20mo $260,000 $161 57
15643 SE 90th Ct 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,648 (+9%) 23mo $375,000 $228 52
9365 SE 152nd Ln 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,377 (-9%) 24mo $288,000 $209 52
15828 SE 98th Ter 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,349 (-11%) 12mo $287,000 $213 39
8660 SE 159th Pl 0.72mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,716 (+14%) 8mo $205,000 $119 30
8880 SE 161st St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,729 (+14%) 24mo $335,000 $194 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-45,624
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-45,098
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34491

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
705
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,202 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$365 /mo · $4,376/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,289
Max offer price $242,895
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9393 SE 158th Pl Summerfield, FL 4.0 3.0 1990 $2,500 $1.26 21d 1 0.34mi
8721 SE 157th St Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,650 $1.33 21d 1 0.54mi
9871 SE 161st Lane Rd Unit 0 Summerfield, FL 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,200 $1.20 21d 1 0.76mi
9195 SE 163rd St Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,800 $1.28 21d 1 0.76mi
16475 SE 89th Ter Summerfield, FL 4.0 3.0 1942 $2,700 $1.39 13d 1 0.93mi
8364 SE 158th Pl Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1374 $2,000 $1.46 13d 1 0.93mi
8352 SE 158th Pl Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $2,000 $1.62 13d 1 0.94mi
10326 SE 162nd Place Rd Summerfield, FL 3.0 2.0 1419 $2,300 $1.62 13d 1 1.29mi
9523 SE 168th Maplesong Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,975 $1.56 21d 1 1.36mi
8198 SE 164th Pl Summerfield, FL 3.0 1.5 1965 $2,650 $1.35 21d 1 1.40mi
16962 SE 94th Sunnybrook Cir The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1160 $2,000 $1.72 21d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  2. 2026-05-11
    historical $1,900
  3. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-21
    price $255,000
  5. 2026-04-14
    price $1,900
  6. 2026-04-13
    price $264,500
  7. 2026-03-19
    price $264,900
  8. 2026-03-08
    price $1,950
  9. 2026-02-20
    price $269,900
  10. 2026-02-06
    listed $1,995
  11. 2026-01-19
    listed $274,900 Active
  12. 2025-05-02
    soldstatus $287,571
  13. 2023-03-25
    price $292,000
  14. 2023-02-20
    listed $295,000 Active
  15. 2005-11-01
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,376 · $365/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,376 · $365/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,426
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$4,376
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,114
− Management
−$2,114
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$5,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,237
After-tax cash flow
$415/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — The Villages

Score
70/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#7363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
83,973
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,318
Household income
$66,679
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
256.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.67%
Current HPI
200.0792
Rent YoY
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-94.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Rental Removed $1,900 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $1,900 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $264,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $264,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $1,950 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $269,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listed for Rent $1,995 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $274,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $287,571 Public Records
  • 2023-03-25 Price Changed $292,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-20 Listed $295,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+38.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,376 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…