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3738 Dreyfus St
B+ Composite 76.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,950

3738 Dreyfus St · Houston, TX 77021
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,113 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1951 3,750 sqft lot Est $135k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfect location!!!! Close to Pearland, the medical center, major freeways.

Key facts

  • Medical center
  • Major freeways
  • Close to pearland

Tags

CLOSE TO PEARLANDMEDICAL CENTERMAJOR FREEWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: Gated community with attendant (community access/fees not specified)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport for 2 vehicles
  • Security: Gated with attendant
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One‑story (all main rooms listed on first floor); Entry level and facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Built in 1951; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Gated community with attendant; Lot features: Other

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (approx. 11x10); Electric oven, electric range, free‑standing range
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first floor (approx. 14x13, 13x9, 12x10, 9x9)
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Electric oven and electric range (free‑standing range)
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cullen Middle (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,641 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Yates H S (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 851 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 467 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,950

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.16%
Cash-on-cash
20.94%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,673
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3825 Seabrook St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,062 (-5%) 4mo $109,900 $103 76
3646 Mainer St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,048 (-6%) 3mo $120,000 $115 74
3521 Mount Pleasant St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,168 (+5%) 8mo $125,000 $107 68
3631 Wyoming St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,090 (-2%) 5mo $265,000 $243 66
3846 Lydia St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,164 (+5%) 7mo $165,000 $142 66
7338 England St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,045 (-6%) 3mo $76,500 $73 63
7129 Foster St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,107 (-0%) 5mo $120,000 $108 61
6911 Sherwood Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,052 (-6%) 9mo $140,000 $133 60
6719 Goforth St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,075 (-3%) 3mo $130,000 $121 58
3731 Alberta St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,002 (-10%) 7mo $110,000 $110 51
1026 Theresa St 0.59mi 3/2.0 960 (-14%) 5mo $209,900 $219 42
6741 Goforth St 0.70mi 3/2.0 976 (-12%) 8mo $139,000 $142 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$13,668
Equity at exit
$14,903
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$46,945
Equity at exit
$8,642

Cash invested: $27,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77021

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
467
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,579 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$193 /mo · $2,318/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $99,950
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,988
Closing costs
$2,998
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3603 Alice St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 4d 1 0.25mi
3603 Alice St Unit 15 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $999 $1.18 8d 1 0.26mi
4007 Corder St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 814 $885 $1.09 24d 1 0.34mi
7032 Conley St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1220 $2,850 $2.34 44d 1 0.43mi
7812 Tierwester St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 16d 2 0.57mi
3360 Alice St Unit 3174 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1154 $1,129 $0.98 3d 1 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 3387 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 968 $1,315 $1.36 3d 1 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $966 $1.02 16d 1 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 968 $1,323 $1.37 8d 1 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 510 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1154 $1,172 $1.02 12d 1 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2292 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $998 $1.06 44d 1 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $991 $1.05 14d 1 0.61mi
1600 Jester St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 707 $1,395 $1.97 2d 4 0.61mi
3360 Alice St Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 968 $1,347 $1.39 3d 1 0.62mi
3360 Alice St Unit 3047 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1154 $1,172 $1.02 11d 1 0.62mi
7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,600 $1.88 44d 1 0.75mi
7373 Ardmore St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1095 $1,887 $1.72 4d 24 0.82mi
7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,967 $1.36 44d 1 0.85mi
7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,967 $1.36 22d 1 0.85mi
7110 Ardmore St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 831 $2,354 $2.83 3d 19 0.91mi
8010 Livingston St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 44d 1 0.94mi
4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,800 $1.38 44d 1 0.99mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,402 $1.06 3d 1 1.01mi
3560 Dixie Dr Apt 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,410 $1.07 8d 1 1.01mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,410 $1.07 5d 1 1.01mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3617 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,435 $1.09 44d 1 1.01mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3597 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,434 $1.08 11d 1 1.01mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1241 $2,041 $1.64 24d 18 1.09mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1356 $2,262 $1.67 2d 47 1.09mi
2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 796 $2,000 $2.51 44d 10 1.12mi
2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 704 $2,000 $2.84 2d 12 1.12mi
7103 Grand Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 930 $1,382 $1.49 24d 1 1.13mi
3426 Tampa St Unit 4272026 Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1046 $1,500 $1.43 44d 1 1.15mi
4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,149 $1.32 24d 1 1.18mi
2909 Dupree St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1027 $1,495 $1.46 44d 1 1.18mi
8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,800 $1.87 20d 1 1.20mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,300 $1.34 11d 1 1.21mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 2112 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,257 $1.30 3d 1 1.21mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 8357 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,289 $1.33 11d 1 1.21mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,265 $1.30 5d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,950 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,950 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,950 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,950 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,950 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    remarks 75-char remark
  7. 2026-06-10
    listed $99,950 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,318 · $193/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,318 · $193/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,947
− Mortgage interest
−$5,599
− Property taxes
−$2,318
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,516
− Management
−$1,516
− Depreciation
−$2,908
Taxable income
$4,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,102
After-tax cash flow
$4,759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,153
Household income
$45,574
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
2532.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.22%
Current HPI
230.2869
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $99,950 HARMLS
  • 2011-07-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-11-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-10-13 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2003-07-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2003-07-30 Listed $63,000 HARMLS
  • 2003-01-23 Listed $62,900 HARMLS
  • 2002-12-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2002-07-31 Listed $64,900 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,318 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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