3738 Dreyfus St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect location!!!! Close to Pearland, the medical center, major freeways.
Key facts
- Medical center
- Major freeways
- Close to pearland
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: Gated community with attendant (community access/fees not specified)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport for 2 vehicles
- Security: Gated with attendant
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One‑story (all main rooms listed on first floor); Entry level and facing direction not specified
- Construction: Built in 1951; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Gated community with attendant; Lot features: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (approx. 11x10); Electric oven, electric range, free‑standing range
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first floor (approx. 14x13, 13x9, 12x10, 9x9)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Window cooling units
- Interior features: Electric oven and electric range (free‑standing range)
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cullen Middle (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,641 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Yates H S (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 851 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 467 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.94%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,673
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3825 Seabrook St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,062 (-5%) | 4mo | $109,900 | $103 | 76 |
| 3646 Mainer St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (-6%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $115 | 74 |
| 3521 Mount Pleasant St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,168 (+5%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $107 | 68 |
| 3631 Wyoming St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,090 (-2%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $243 | 66 |
| 3846 Lydia St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (+5%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $142 | 66 |
| 7338 England St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,045 (-6%) | 3mo | $76,500 | $73 | 63 |
| 7129 Foster St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,107 (-0%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 6911 Sherwood Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (-6%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 6719 Goforth St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-3%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $121 | 58 |
| 3731 Alberta St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (-10%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $110 | 51 |
| 1026 Theresa St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-14%) | 5mo | $209,900 | $219 | 42 |
| 6741 Goforth St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 976 (-12%) | 8mo | $139,000 | $142 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $13,668
- Equity at exit
- $14,903
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $46,945
- Equity at exit
- $8,642
Cash invested: $27,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77021
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 467
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,579 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,318/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $488
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,988
- Closing costs
- $2,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3603 Alice St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3603 Alice St Unit 15 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $999 | $1.18 | 8d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4007 Corder St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $885 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 7032 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,850 | $2.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 7812 Tierwester St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 16d | 2 | 0.57mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3174 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,129 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3387 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,315 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $966 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,323 | $1.37 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,172 | $1.02 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2292 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $998 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $991 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1600 Jester St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,395 | $1.97 | 2d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,347 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3047 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,172 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7373 Ardmore St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $1,887 | $1.72 | 4d | 24 | 0.82mi |
| 7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,967 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,967 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7110 Ardmore St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 831 | $2,354 | $2.83 | 3d | 19 | 0.91mi |
| 8010 Livingston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,402 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Apt 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,410 | $1.07 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,410 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3617 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,435 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3597 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,434 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1241 | $2,041 | $1.64 | 24d | 18 | 1.09mi |
| 8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1356 | $2,262 | $1.67 | 2d | 47 | 1.09mi |
| 2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $2,000 | $2.51 | 44d | 10 | 1.12mi |
| 2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 704 | $2,000 | $2.84 | 2d | 12 | 1.12mi |
| 7103 Grand Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,382 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3426 Tampa St Unit 4272026 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1046 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,149 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2909 Dupree St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $1,495 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,300 | $1.34 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,257 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 8357 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,289 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,265 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,950 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,950 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,950 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,950 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,950 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 75-char remark
-
2026-06-10$99,950 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,318 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,318 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,599
- − Property taxes
- −$2,318
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,516
- − Management
- −$1,516
- − Depreciation
- −$2,908
- Taxable income
- $4,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,102
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,153
- Household income
- $45,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2532.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.22%
- Current HPI
- 230.2869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+54.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $99,950 HARMLS
- 2011-07-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-11-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-10-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2003-07-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2003-07-30 Listed $63,000 HARMLS
- 2003-01-23 Listed $62,900 HARMLS
- 2002-12-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2002-07-31 Listed $64,900 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,318 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…