2107 S 34th St · Fort Pierce South, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
0$ - HOA. The house has finished its extended renovation: New kitchen. Brand new bathroom. Complete renovation of the old bathroom. New wood flooring. The whole house has been painted
Key facts
- New kitchen
- Brand new bathroom
- Complete renovation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: No association amenities; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 covered space, 1 garage space)
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east; Resale property
- Construction: Mixed construction materials
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: No notable interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry/utility details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (10.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#322 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Weatherbee Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 672 students, 90% FRL); Dan Mccarty Middle School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #542 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 747 students, 88% FRL); Fort Pierce Westwood Academy The W.E.S.T. Prep Magnet (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 2,010 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Lucie average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,969/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 625% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $259k implies a 354% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.43%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $274,800
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2110 S 31st St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-2%) | 12mo | $290,000 | $247 | 72 |
| 2105 S 37th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-13%) | 19mo | $219,000 | $211 | 48 |
| 2611 S 29th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+14%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $211 | 35 |
| 3109 Kentucky Ave | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,042 (-13%) | 22mo | $239,000 | $229 | 14 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-51,328
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-56,812
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34947
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,834/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $-147
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $0 | -5% $-73 | +0% $-147 | +5% $-220 | +10% $-293 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-302 | -5% $-224 | +0% $-147 | +5% $-69 | +10% $9 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-16 | -0.5pp $-81 | base $-147 | +0.5pp $-214 | +1.0pp $-282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 S 34th St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $2,200 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3005 Tennessee Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,400 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2403 S 25th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,775 | $3.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3208 Louisiana Ave Apt 3 Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1215 Hartman Rd Unit 1215-09 Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 16d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 100 Corner Dr Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,079 | $1.16 | 16d | 32 | 0.92mi |
| 2811 Stoneway Ln Unit 2811A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2820 Stoneway Ln Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2101 Linda Sue Cir Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2516 S 19th St #208 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,700 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1817 Party Pl Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,250 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2513 S 17th St #207 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 201 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 203 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 102 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2517 S 17th St Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,795 | $1.78 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Unit 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,699 | $1.63 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 104 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1830 Nebraska Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 924 | $1,799 | $1.95 | 16d | 5 | 1.19mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Unit 104 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 202 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,749 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 103 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1567 Pheasant Walk Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1850 Nebraska Ave Unit 204 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1717 Linwood Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,800 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1200 Treasure Cay Dr Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,619 | $1.63 | 16d | 10 | 1.30mi |
| 1904 Havana Ave #16 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1439 Captains Walk Unit 20D Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5335 Entertainment Way Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3171 Morning Dew Ln Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 183-char remark
-
2026-05-31$259,000 Active 89 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,834 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,834 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,632
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$2,834
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,891
- − Management
- −$1,891
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable loss
- −$6,321
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,517
- After-tax cash flow
- $-242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Pierce South
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #5656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Pierce South, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,804
- Household income
- $51,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 625.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 22% White 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.68%
- Current HPI
- 356.2528
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+204.7% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-03 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-08 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-01 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $259,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-10 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-14 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-09-30 Listed $267,000 Beaches MLS
- 2019-10-10 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2019-06-18 Listed $132,300 MARMLS
- 2019-06-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2019-03-19 Listed $132,300 MARMLS
- 2018-11-29 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2018-11-07 Listed $135,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-23 Sold (MLS) $57,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-09-30 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2015-09-19 Price Changed $59,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-09-16 Price Changed $63,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-09-15 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2015-09-09 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2015-09-03 Price Changed $68,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-08-28 Price Changed $72,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-08-05 Price Changed $75,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-07-24 Listed $85,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+22.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,834 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…