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2013 Roberson St SW
B Composite 71.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

2013 Roberson St SW · Jacksonville, AL 36265
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1976 0.28 ac lot $93/sqft · 16% below area Est $146k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely one level 3 bedroom, 2 full bath brick home centrally located in Jacksonville near shopping, JSU, and restaurants. Neutral paint colors and floors throughout. Large fenced-in yard with a covered patio. HVAC replaced in 2018 and water heater in 2019.

Key facts

  • Brick rancher
  • Level yard
  • Living room

Tags

BRICK RANCHERLIVING ROOMEAT IN KITCHENDEN OR GAMEROOMLEVEL YARDPORCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved/asphalt driveway
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property; Not new construction
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Covered porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.6% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jacksonville City (urban): math 23% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #24 of 129 in AL (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kitty Stone Elementary School (math 29% / reading 64%, grade D-, #159 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 970 students, 65% FRL); Jacksonville High School (math 16% / reading 54%, grade F, #46 of 305 statewide, top 15%, 782 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 44% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.82%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,620
List price
$120,000
Delta
-17.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
917 Mitchell Dr SW 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,230 (-5%) 2mo $75,000 $61 83
1001 SW Kay Dr 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (0%) 4mo $61,000 $47 80
925 Henry Ct SW 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,286 (-1%) 7mo $170,000 $132 69
628 Alexandria Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,275 (-2%) 10mo $245,000 $192 68
260 Greenleaf St SW 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,154 (-11%) 10mo $133,000 $115 63
79 C St SW 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,403 (+8%) 6mo $135,000 $96 61
200 Church Hill Pl SE 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,327 (+2%) 4mo $195,000 $147 61
908 Ivan Dr SW 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,442 (+11%) 5mo $108,000 $75 59
1204 Quail Run Dr SW 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,298 (+0%) 6mo $179,700 $138 58
920 Henry Ct SW 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,396 (+8%) 8mo $182,500 $131 57
217 Belmont Cir SE 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,192 (-8%) 4mo $195,000 $164 50
201 Church Hill Pl SE 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,374 (+6%) 10mo $199,900 $145 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$7,008
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$51,113
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36265

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $421/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $904
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $427 -5% $393 +0% $359 +5% $325 +10% $291
Rent -10% $252 -5% $305 +0% $359 +5% $413 +10% $466
Rate -1.0pp $419 -0.5pp $389 base $359 +0.5pp $328 +1.0pp $296

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 Bundrum Dr NW Unit 1 Jacksonville, AL 3.0 3.0 1300 $1,900 $1.46 45d 1 1.07mi
7030 Alexandria-Jacksonville Hwy Unit 18 Jacksonville, AL 2.0 2.0 900 $925 $1.03 45d 1 1.11mi
1585 Church Ave SE Jacksonville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0 865 $850 $0.98 45d 1 1.19mi
204 Alabama St NW Unit 204 Jacksonville, AL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $120,000 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-04-23
    listed $159,000 Active 219-char remark
  13. 2023-06-20
    soldstatus $130,000
  14. 2023-06-09
    soldstatus $130,000 Sold 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Lovely one level 3 bedroom, 2 full bath brick home centrally located in Jacksonville near shopping, JSU, and restaurants. Neutral paint colors and floors throughout. Large fenced-in yard with a covered patio. HVAC replaced in 2018 and water heater in 2019.

  15. 2023-05-09
    historical Contingent 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Lovely one level 3 bedroom, 2 full bath brick home centrally located in Jacksonville near shopping, JSU, and restaurants. Neutral paint colors and floors throughout. Large fenced-in yard with a covered patio. HVAC replaced in 2018 and water heater in 2019.

  16. 2023-04-28
    price $139,900 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Lovely one level 3 bedroom, 2 full bath brick home centrally located in Jacksonville near shopping, JSU, and restaurants. Neutral paint colors and floors throughout. Large fenced-in yard with a covered patio. HVAC replaced in 2018 and water heater in 2019.

  17. 2023-04-14
    listed $149,900 Active 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Lovely one level 3 bedroom, 2 full bath brick home centrally located in Jacksonville near shopping, JSU, and restaurants. Neutral paint colors and floors throughout. Large fenced-in yard with a covered patio. HVAC replaced in 2018 and water heater in 2019.

  18. 2013-10-30
    soldstatus $50,000
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Jacksonville. 1 side brick and vinyl siding, fenced in yard with extra lot, new gutters and vinyl siding, metal roof, 2 storage building. Stove and refrigerator 5 years old per owner, laundry room, eat in kitchen.

  19. 2013-09-06
    listed $55,000
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home located in Jacksonville. 1 side brick and vinyl siding, fenced in yard with extra lot, new gutters and vinyl siding, metal roof, 2 storage building. Stove and refrigerator 5 years old per owner, laundry room, eat in kitchen.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$421 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$492 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$71/yr (+$6/mo · 16.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,303
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$421
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,304
− Management
−$1,304
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$2,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$590
After-tax cash flow
$3,716/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksonville City
NCES district ID
0101860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$37,233
Composite
34.37/100
National rank
#5215
State rank
#24 of 129 in AL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
70/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#7385

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, AL
County
Calhoun County · 71,763 people
City population
22,452
Metro
Anniston-Oxford, AL
Population (ZIP)
22,452
Household income
$55,294
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
476.0

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,765 people
By 2030
105,708 · -3.7%
By 2040
96,192 · -12.4%
By 2050
86,413 · -21.3%
By 2075
63,467 · -42.2%
By 2100
44,704 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.38%
Current HPI
167.7493
Rent YoY
▲ 5.60%
Metro
Anniston-Oxford, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $120,000 VMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $159,000 VMLS
  • 2023-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-09 Sold (MLS) $130,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-05-09 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-04-28 Price Changed $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-04-14 Listed $149,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2013-10-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2013-09-06 Listed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $421 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…