8068 Hwy 11 N · Picayune, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious manufactured home on 1.79 acres offering room to grow, and great potential. The home features an open floor plan with a living area that includes sliding glass doors leading to the back deck, along with a decorative-only fireplace for added charm. The septic system was installed approximately 2 years ago, and the roof and porches were new about 4 years ago. With a little TLC, this property could make an excellent rental investment or a comfortable family home. Will need to be a cash sale. Will not finance. The property is being sold As-Is, and the seller will not make repairs or pay for inspections. Utilities and water will not be turned on for inspections; buyers may use a generat
Key facts
- New porches
- Open floor plan
- Sliding glass doors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One level; Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Construction: Double wide mobile home; Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Asphalt road frontage (county road)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans; Window AC units; Has heating
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.3% in Picayune — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in MS, #3,748 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Pearl River County School District (rural): math 44% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #35 of 130 in MS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pearl River Central Elementar (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #118 of 375 statewide, top 32%, 1,501 students, 100% FRL); Pearl River Central Junior High (math 46% / reading 35%, grade F, #60 of 179 statewide, top 37%, 772 students, 100% FRL); Pearl River Central High School (math 50% / reading 41%, grade D-, #33 of 197 statewide, top 16%, 1,011 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 59% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 321 active listings in the ZIP; 326 units permitted in Pearl River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pearl River County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.89%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,500
- List price
- $84,000
- Delta
- -41.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $14,936
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $49,702
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39426
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $450/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $496 | -5% $472 | +0% $449 | +5% $425 | +10% $401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $352 | -5% $401 | +0% $449 | +5% $497 | +10% $545 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $491 | -0.5pp $470 | base $449 | +0.5pp $427 | +1.0pp $405 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $84,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $84,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$89,000 Active 828-char remark
-
2021-03-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $450 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $664 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$213/yr (+$18/mo · 47.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$450
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $4,251
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,020
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pearl River County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803540
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,916
- Composite
- 35.44/100
- National rank
- #4931
- State rank
- #35 of 130 in MS
Livability — Picayune
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #3748
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,555
Population outlook (Pearl River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,426 people
- By 2030
- 51,663 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 47,611 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 43,286 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 32,859 · -38.5%
- By 2100
- 22,476 · -57.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pearl River
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.1% · R 82.8% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -60.4pp · 2024: -66.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.7 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+66.8 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+60.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.24%
- Current HPI
- 158.3694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-5.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $84,000 PRCBOR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $89,000 PRCBOR
- 2021-03-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $450 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…