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338 Juless St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

338 Juless St · Danville, VA 24541
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 776 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1940 7,405 sqft lot $90/sqft · 21% below area Est $88k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property. Current long term tenant paying $600 a month. This property has had some renovations done. Being Sold as-is. Less than a mile from the casino.

Key facts

  • Long term tenant
  • Investment property
  • Renovations

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYLONG TERM TENANTRENOVATIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$88,150) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($927 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.2% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#91 in VA, #2,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
  • Danville City Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #128 of 131 in VA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Schoolfield Elementary (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,108 statewide, top 91%, 500 students, 98% FRL); O. Trent Bonner Middle (math 33% / reading 53%, grade D-, #288 of 342 statewide, top 85%, 678 students, 91% FRL); George Washington High (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #300 of 319 statewide, top 94%, 1,309 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 71% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 249 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Danville city in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Danville County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $70k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.79%
Cash-on-cash
19.64%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,150
List price
$69,900
Delta
-20.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
104 Albert St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (+1) 812 (+5%) 15mo $60,000 $74 72
1031 Lanier Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (+1) 810 (+4%) 0mo $149,900 $185 71
342 Juless St 0.01mi 2/1.0 (+1) 885 (+14%) 23mo $80,000 $90 52
319 Kemper Rd 0.33mi 2/1.0 (+1) 667 (-14%) 12mo $110,000 $165 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$9,042
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$34,019
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24541

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$927 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$16 /mo · $194/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $521
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $360 -5% $340 +0% $320 +5% $300 +10% $281
Rent -10% $247 -5% $284 +0% $320 +5% $357 +10% $393
Rate -1.0pp $355 -0.5pp $338 base $320 +0.5pp $302 +1.0pp $284

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
378 Juless St Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 780 $775 $0.99 45d 1 0.12mi
380 Juless St Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 780 $775 $0.99 45d 1 0.12mi
317 Dudley St Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 840 $914 $1.09 23d 1 0.23mi
732 Hughes St Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 45d 1 0.32mi
219 Montague St Danville, VA 1.0 1.0 747 $850 $1.14 45d 1 0.44mi
345 Flint St Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 888 $1,200 $1.35 45d 1 0.58mi
245 College Park Dr Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 782 $775 $0.99 23d 1 0.76mi
107 Baltimore Ave Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 902 $914 $1.01 23d 1 0.77mi
128 Charles St Unit 5 Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 23d 1 0.77mi
111 Willoughby Pl Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $775 $1.11 23d 1 0.94mi
66 Carlson Ave Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 966 $1,000 $1.04 45d 1 1.37mi
712 Edwin Ct Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 969 $700 $0.72 45d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $69,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 70 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 69 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 68 DOM
  19. 2026-04-20
    price $69,900 169-char remark
    Show marketing remark (169 chars)

    Great investment property. Current long term tenant paying $600 a month. This property has had some renovations done. Being Sold as-is. Less than a mile from the casino.

  20. 2026-03-23
    listed $79,900 Active 169-char remark
    Show marketing remark (169 chars)

    Great investment property. Current long term tenant paying $600 a month. This property has had some renovations done. Being Sold as-is. Less than a mile from the casino.

  21. 2017-07-06
    soldstatus $18,000 103-char remark
    Show marketing remark (103 chars)

    Rental $425.00 Month. New HVAC, Bath & Fixtures, New Kitchen Cabinets. Sold as is-no inspections.

  22. 2016-03-09
    listed $21,900 103-char remark
    Show marketing remark (103 chars)

    Rental $425.00 Month. New HVAC, Bath & Fixtures, New Kitchen Cabinets. Sold as is-no inspections.

  23. 2002-08-02
    soldstatus $237,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$194 · $16/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$573 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$379/yr (+$32/mo · 195.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,121
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$194
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$890
− Management
−$890
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$2,849
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$684
After-tax cash flow
$3,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danville City Public School District
NCES district ID
5101110
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,952
Composite
30.23/100
National rank
#6298
State rank
#128 of 131 in VA

Livability — Danville

Score
77/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#2952

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danville, VA
County
Danville City · 59,055 people
City population
59,055
Metro
Danville, VA
Population (ZIP)
28,042
Household income
$51,427
Rent vs Own
46.3% rent · 53.7% own
Severe rent burden
1399.0

Population outlook (Danville County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,989 people
By 2030
40,432 · -1.4%
By 2040
39,255 · -4.2%
By 2050
38,035 · -7.2%
By 2075
35,612 · -13.1%
By 2100
30,365 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Danville

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.1) · D 60.1% · R 39.0%
2008→2024 swing
+1.9pp toward D · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 21.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.1 2020: D+22.1 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+22.1 2008: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.28%
Current HPI
238.5992
Rent YoY
Metro
Danville, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-70.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $69,900 DRRAR
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $79,900 DRRAR
  • 2017-07-06 Sold (MLS) $18,000 DRRAR
  • 2016-03-09 Listed $21,900 DRRAR
  • 2002-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $237,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $194 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…