805 Kettering Ave · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 951 sq ft of comfortable living space! Built in 1966, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors looking for a solid opportunity. Enjoy a functional layout with spacious bedrooms, a cozy living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The property offers great potential to personalize and add value. Conveniently located in Pontiac near local amenities, shopping, and major roadways for easy commuting. Don't miss your chance to own a great home at an attractive price - schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Asbestos construction material; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Front and back yard fenced; Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $123k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.94%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,498
- List price
- $123,000
- Delta
- -3.53%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710 Melrose St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+0%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $149 | 85 |
| 725 Emerson Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 902 (-5%) | 5mo | $136,000 | $151 | 80 |
| 674 Parkwood Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 961 (+1%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $104 | 73 |
| 811 Robinwood St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 907 (-5%) | 9mo | $77,000 | $85 | 69 |
| 506 Emerson Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-5%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $150 | 66 |
| 1005 Emerson Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (+8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $146 | 66 |
| 536 Emerson Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 883 (-7%) | 9mo | $138,300 | $157 | 59 |
| 509 Cameron Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 860 (-10%) | 6mo | $42,000 | $49 | 55 |
| 414 Kenilworth Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-7%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $175 | 51 |
| 483 Lynch Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (+8%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $145 | 50 |
| 428 Jordon Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 887 (-7%) | 7mo | $153,000 | $172 | 49 |
| 667 Raskob St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 866 (-9%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $110 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $712
- Equity at exit
- $18,340
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $34,534
- Equity at exit
- $10,635
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48340
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,397 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $285
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $355 | -5% $320 | +0% $285 | +5% $250 | +10% $216 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $230 | +0% $285 | +5% $340 | +10% $396 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $347 | -0.5pp $317 | base $285 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $221 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 Scottwood St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 957 Perry St Pontiac, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $1,099 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1173 Featherstone Rd Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 970 | $1,495 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 695 1st Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 611 E Madison Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 672 Linda Vista Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 505 Old Oak Ct Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,299 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 505 Old Oak Ct Unit 7 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,279 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 860 Walton Blvd Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 0d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 1221 Colony Ln Pontiac, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 0d | 3 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 33 events
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2026-06-21days on market $123,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $123,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $123,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $123,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $123,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $123,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $123,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $123,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $123,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $123,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $123,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-05-10price $124,999 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 951 sq ft of comfortable living space! Built in 1966, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors looking for a solid opportunity. Enjoy a functional layout with spacious bedrooms, a cozy living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The property offers great potential to personalize and add value. Conveniently located in Pontiac near local amenities, shopping, and major roadways for easy commuting. Don't miss your chance to own a great home at an attractive price - schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-09price $124,999 604-char remark
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2026-05-02$129,999 Active 604-char remark
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2026-05-01$129,999 Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 951 sq ft of comfortable living space! Built in 1966, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors looking for a solid opportunity. Enjoy a functional layout with spacious bedrooms, a cozy living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The property offers great potential to personalize and add value. Conveniently located in Pontiac near local amenities, shopping, and major roadways for easy commuting. Don't miss your chance to own a great home at an attractive price - schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-01historical $129,999 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 951 sq ft of comfortable living space! Built in 1966, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors looking for a solid opportunity. Enjoy a functional layout with spacious bedrooms, a cozy living area, and plenty of natural light throughout. The property offers great potential to personalize and add value. Conveniently located in Pontiac near local amenities, shopping, and major roadways for easy commuting. Don't miss your chance to own a great home at an attractive price - schedule your showing today!
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2022-02-26soldstatus $65,000
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2022-02-17soldstatus $65,000 Closed
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2022-02-08historical
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2022-01-24status Pending
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2022-01-24status Pending
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2022-01-20price $85,000
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2022-01-20price $85,000
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2022-01-18price $105,000
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2022-01-17price $105,000
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2022-01-14$120,000 Active
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2022-01-14$120,000 Active
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2003-06-16historical
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2003-05-01$67,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,463 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,678 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- +$216/yr (+$18/mo · 14.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,761
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$1,463
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,341
- − Management
- −$1,341
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable income
- $1,533
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$368
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,669
- Household income
- $47,891
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1460.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.80%
- Current HPI
- 177.961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+81.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $123,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $123,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $124,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $124,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-02 Listed $129,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-01 Listed $129,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $129,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-17 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-20 Price Changed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-20 Price Changed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-01-18 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-17 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-01-14 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-14 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-06-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-05-01 Listed $67,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,463 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…