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1707 1400th Ave
C+ Composite 64.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,500

1707 1400th Ave · Lincoln, IL 62656
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 812 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1910

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached, paved parking; One-car garage
  • Utilities: Paved road surface
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1910
  • Exterior features: Shed(s); Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 14 x 14)
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Primary/bedroom 1 on upper level (approx. 14 x 12); Bedroom 2 on upper level (approx. 13 x 12); Bedroom 3 on upper level (approx. 12 x 9); Bedroom 4 on main level (approx. 12 x 12); Additional finished/usable rooms on lower level, basement, and another level
  • Flooring: Flooring listed as 'Other' in primary rooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Cable available; One fireplace; Unfinished basement; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($874 rent vs $62k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.1% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#509 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lincoln Chsd 404 (town): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #367 of 620 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $62,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
9.95%
Cash-on-cash
13.08%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$2,072
Equity at exit
$9,319
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$17,665
Equity at exit
$5,404

Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62656

Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$874 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$328
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,751/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $633
Max offer price $62,500
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,625
Closing costs
$1,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,500 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,500 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,500 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,500 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,500 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    listed $62,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,751 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,751 · $146/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,487
− Mortgage interest
−$3,501
− Property taxes
−$1,751
− Insurance
−$312
− Repairs & maintenance
−$839
− Management
−$839
− Depreciation
−$1,818
Taxable income
$1,426
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$342
After-tax cash flow
$1,946/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Chsd 404
NCES district ID
1723050
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$41,489
Composite
20.4/100
National rank
#8590
State rank
#367 of 620 in IL

Livability — Lincoln

Score
67/100
State rank
#509
US rank
#10514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
18,364
Population (ZIP)
18,364

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,066 people
By 2030
27,370 · -2.5%
By 2040
26,078 · -7.1%
By 2050
24,908 · -11.3%
By 2075
22,504 · -19.8%
By 2100
19,226 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.2% · R 69.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.8 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+16.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.45%
Current HPI
133.9499
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $62,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,751 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…