19445 State Route 550 · Amesville, OH
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.9/10.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,449
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a great opportunity to own a beautiful country property! This 2-acre farmhouse offers tons of potential and features a large pole barn, an additional barn, a mother-in-law suite, and an old barn full of character. With a little TLC, this property could truly shine. Priced to sell & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; this one won & acirc; & euro; & trade; t last long! If you want, I can make a shorter version for Zillow/ Facebook or add details like location, bedrooms, or features to make it even stronger.
Key facts
- Mother-in-law suite
- Large pole barn
- Additional barn
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#659 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Federal Hocking Local (rural): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #552 of 656 in OH (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Athens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
- Athens County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (7.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $66k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.67%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $45,943
- Equity at exit
- $66,256
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.01×
- Total profit
- $125,465
- Equity at exit
- $129,928
Cash invested: $25,046 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45711
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,066 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,361/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $218 | -5% $192 | +0% $167 | +5% $142 | +10% $116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $83 | -5% $125 | +0% $167 | +5% $209 | +10% $251 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $190 | base $167 | +0.5pp $144 | +1.0pp $120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,362
- Closing costs
- $2,683
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
1999-05-13soldstatus $66,000
-
1994-06-28soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,361 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,378 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$17/yr (+$1/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,797
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,011
- − Property taxes
- −$1,361
- − Insurance
- −$1,114
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,024
- − Management
- −$1,024
- − Depreciation
- −$2,602
- Taxable income
- $661
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$159
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,846/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Federal Hocking Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904591
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,037
- Composite
- 31.2/100
- National rank
- #6042
- State rank
- #552 of 656 in OH
Livability — Amesville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #659
- US rank
- #11649
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Athens · 60,466 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,039
- Household income
- $67,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.3
Population outlook (Athens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,867 people
- By 2030
- 73,556 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 74,528 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 74,947 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 77,996 · +8.5%
- By 2100
- 81,619 · +13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Lithuanian 4% Danish 1%
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Athens
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 54.9% · R 44.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.5pp toward R · 2008: 35.3pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.0 2016: D+16.9 2012: D+35.0 2008: D+35.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.72%
- Current HPI
- 189.1561
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+127.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 1999-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1994-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,361 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…