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600 S 29th St
C+ Composite 60.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

600 S 29th St · Belleville, IL 62226
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 540 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1875 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Better than rent! This 3 bed house on a nice sized lot can be a great option if you are looking for a new home. Good bones and a lot of the big ticket repairs have been taken care of. With a little of your own design and flare, you can make it your own.

Key facts

  • Generously sized lot
  • Private garage
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

WELL-ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODGENEROUSLY SIZED LOTPRIVATE GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $80k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
8.96%
Cash-on-cash
9.52%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$50,760
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
500 S 29th St 0.03mi 4/1.0 (+1) 480 (-11%) 7mo $45,000 $94 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$59
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$21,792
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62226

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,024 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,153/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $800
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
104 N 27th St Unit 8 Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 515 $800 $1.55 3d 1 0.51mi
104 N 27th St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 515 $825 $1.60 3d 2 0.51mi
4516 W Main St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 607 $850 $1.40 23d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    listed $79,900 Active
  3. 2024-07-10
    soldstatus Closed 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Better than rent! This 3 bed house on a nice sized lot can be a great option if you are looking for a new home. Good bones and a lot of the big ticket repairs have been taken care of. With a little of your own design and flare, you can make it your own.

  4. 2024-06-22
    status Pending 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Better than rent! This 3 bed house on a nice sized lot can be a great option if you are looking for a new home. Good bones and a lot of the big ticket repairs have been taken care of. With a little of your own design and flare, you can make it your own.

  5. 2024-03-04
    listed $59,500 Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Better than rent! This 3 bed house on a nice sized lot can be a great option if you are looking for a new home. Good bones and a lot of the big ticket repairs have been taken care of. With a little of your own design and flare, you can make it your own.

  6. 2001-12-05
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,153 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,153 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,293
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$2,153
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$983
− Management
−$983
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$973
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$234
After-tax cash flow
$1,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
28,255
Household income
$70,797
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.57%
Current HPI
133.9028
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-10 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-22 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-04 Listed $59,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,153 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…