368 Pine Ridge Dr · Cleveland, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COUNTRY LIVING! Take a look at this fenced-in 2 bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home available in The Preserve community! This is the perfect place to get away from the city life. The property itself features a spacious floorplan with a lovely family room, a gorgeous kitchen with wooden cabinets and laminate countertops, and ample yard space outside. There is also a detached garage and carport. It is truly an ideal home for anyone seeking living. The Preserve offers an OUTDOOR ATMOSPHERE WITH TONS OF AMENITIES like the 4 pools, outdoor pavilion, splash pad, equestrian center, parks, natural lakes, fishing, and more! It features new interior/exterior paint, new vinyl flooring and new lighting throughout. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home. Want more space? You can also add the lot next door for $40,000!
Key facts
- Spacious floorplan
- Gorgeous kitchen
- Wooden cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 5.0% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,013 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Tarkington ISD (rural): math 43% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tarkington Early Childhood School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 193 students, 66% FRL); Tarkington Middle (math 45% / reading 32%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 414 students, 58% FRL); Tarkington H S (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #821 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 513 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 1804 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.01%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,202
- List price
- $77,999
- Delta
- -41.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 Wood Fern Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 896 (-6%) | 22mo | $64,999 | $73 | 60 |
| 62 Laurel Ct | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (+13%) | 34mo | $137,999 | $128 | 43 |
| 664 Jensen Dr | 1.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 800 (-16%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $138 | 32 |
| 998 Cypress Lakes Cir | 0.85mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+22%) | 2mo | $184,999 | $159 | 29 |
| 1048 Cypress Lakes Cir | 0.91mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+22%) | 10mo | $183,999 | $159 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $20,020
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $63,385
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77327
- Home prices YoY
- -5.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 1804
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$97 /mo · $1,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $492
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $546 | -5% $519 | +0% $492 | +5% $465 | +10% $438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $389 | -5% $440 | +0% $492 | +5% $543 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $531 | -0.5pp $511 | base $492 | +0.5pp $471 | +1.0pp $451 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $77,999 Active 348 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $77,999 Active 346 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $77,999 Active 345 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $77,999 Active 344 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $77,999 Active 343 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $77,999 Active 340 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $77,999 Active 338 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $77,999 Active 337 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $77,999 Active 335 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $77,999 Active 333 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $77,999 Active 332 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $77,999 Active 331 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $77,999 Active 330 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $77,999 Active 329 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $77,999 Active 327 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $77,999 Active 326 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $77,999 Active 325 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $77,999 Active 324 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $77,999 Active 323 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $77,999 Active 322 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $77,999 Active 321 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $77,999 Active 320 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $77,999 Active 319 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $77,999 Active 318 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $77,999 Active 316 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $77,999 Active 315 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $77,999 Active 314 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $77,999 Active 313 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $77,999 Active 312 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $77,999 Active 311 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $77,999 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $77,999 Active 309 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $77,999 Active 308 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $77,999 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $77,999 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $77,999 Active 305 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $77,999 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $77,999 Active 300 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $77,999 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $77,999 Active 296 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $77,999 Active 295 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $77,999 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $77,999 Active 292 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $77,999 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $77,999 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $77,999 Active 286 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $77,999 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $77,999 Active 282 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $77,999 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $77,999 Active 280 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$1,170
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $4,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,189
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good roof, exterior, and interior, and a good kitchen and bathroom. The deck has some minor wear, and the home needs painting and landscaping to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck — The deck has some visible wear and tear, but it is not severe enough to require extensive repairs.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Landscaping — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can make the home more appealing to renters and increase its rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tarkington ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842210
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,895
- Composite
- 35.02/100
- National rank
- #5044
- State rank
- #373 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1013
- US rank
- #17943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Liberty County · 87,956 people
- City population
- 17,208
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,685
- Household income
- $62,219
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,956 people
- By 2030
- 92,161 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 100,784 · +14.6%
- By 2050
- 109,471 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 133,470 · +51.7%
- By 2100
- 147,372 · +67.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 0%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Liberty
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.39%
- Current HPI
- 224.9222
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-25 Listed $77,999 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…