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368 Pine Ridge Dr
B+ Composite 79.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$77,999

368 Pine Ridge Dr · Cleveland, TX 77327
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily · 348 Days on market
Built 1977 Good condition 0.69 ac lot $82/sqft · 42% below area Est $134k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

COUNTRY LIVING! Take a look at this fenced-in 2 bedrooms, 1 bath mobile home available in The Preserve community! This is the perfect place to get away from the city life. The property itself features a spacious floorplan with a lovely family room, a gorgeous kitchen with wooden cabinets and laminate countertops, and ample yard space outside. There is also a detached garage and carport. It is truly an ideal home for anyone seeking living. The Preserve offers an OUTDOOR ATMOSPHERE WITH TONS OF AMENITIES like the 4 pools, outdoor pavilion, splash pad, equestrian center, parks, natural lakes, fishing, and more! It features new interior/exterior paint, new vinyl flooring and new lighting throughout. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home. Want more space? You can also add the lot next door for $40,000!

Key facts

  • Spacious floorplan
  • Gorgeous kitchen
  • Wooden cabinets

Tags

SPACIOUS FLOORPLANGORGEOUS KITCHENWOODEN CABINETSLAMINATE COUNTERTOPSAMPLE YARD SPACEDETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 5.0% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,013 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tarkington ISD (rural): math 43% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Tarkington Early Childhood School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 193 students, 66% FRL); Tarkington Middle (math 45% / reading 32%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 414 students, 58% FRL); Tarkington H S (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #821 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 513 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 1804 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $68,639 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.86%
Cash-on-cash
27.01%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,202
List price
$77,999
Delta
-41.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
184 Wood Fern Dr 0.15mi 2/2.0 896 (-6%) 22mo $64,999 $73 60
62 Laurel Ct 0.32mi 2/1.0 1,080 (+13%) 34mo $137,999 $128 43
664 Jensen Dr 1.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 800 (-16%) 1mo $110,000 $138 32
998 Cypress Lakes Cir 0.85mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (+22%) 2mo $184,999 $159 29
1048 Cypress Lakes Cir 0.91mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (+22%) 10mo $183,999 $159 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$20,020
Equity at exit
$11,630
10-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$63,385
Equity at exit
$6,744

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
0 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
0.0 mo

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77327

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
1804
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax est. 1.5%
$97 /mo · $1,170/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $682
Max offer price $77,999
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $546 -5% $519 +0% $492 +5% $465 +10% $438
Rent -10% $389 -5% $440 +0% $492 +5% $543 +10% $595
Rate -1.0pp $531 -0.5pp $511 base $492 +0.5pp $471 +1.0pp $451

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $77,999 Active 348 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $77,999 Active 346 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $77,999 Active 345 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $77,999 Active 344 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $77,999 Active 343 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $77,999 Active 340 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $77,999 Active 338 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $77,999 Active 337 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $77,999 Active 335 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $77,999 Active 333 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $77,999 Active 332 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $77,999 Active 331 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $77,999 Active 330 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $77,999 Active 329 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $77,999 Active 327 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $77,999 Active 326 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $77,999 Active 325 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $77,999 Active 324 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $77,999 Active 323 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $77,999 Active 322 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $77,999 Active 321 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $77,999 Active 320 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $77,999 Active 319 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $77,999 Active 318 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $77,999 Active 316 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $77,999 Active 315 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $77,999 Active 314 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $77,999 Active 313 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $77,999 Active 312 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $77,999 Active 311 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $77,999 Active 310 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $77,999 Active 309 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $77,999 Active 308 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $77,999 Active 307 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $77,999 Active 306 DOM
  36. 2026-06-26
    days on market $77,999 Active 305 DOM
  37. 2026-06-24
    days on market $77,999 Active 303 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $77,999 Active 300 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $77,999 Active 297 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $77,999 Active 296 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $77,999 Active 295 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,999 Active 294 DOM
  43. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,999 Active 292 DOM
  44. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,999 Active 288 DOM
  45. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,999 Active 287 DOM
  46. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,999 Active 286 DOM
  47. 2026-06-04
    days on market $77,999 Active 283 DOM
  48. 2026-06-03
    days on market $77,999 Active 282 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    days on market $77,999 Active 281 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $77,999 Active 280 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,656
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$1,170
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,252
− Management
−$1,252
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$4,953
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,189
After-tax cash flow
$4,711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,760–$14,280 screening

This mobile home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good roof, exterior, and interior, and a good kitchen and bathroom. The deck has some minor wear, and the home needs painting and landscaping to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Deck — The deck has some visible wear and tear, but it is not severe enough to require extensive repairs.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can make the home more appealing to renters and increase its rental value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Tarkington Early Childhood School F TX #1,769/4,322 Nat'l #21,438/41,679 Middle Tarkington Middle F TX #704/1,662 Nat'l #6,453/14,009 High Tarkington H S F TX #821/1,632 Nat'l #8,293/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tarkington ISD
NCES district ID
4842210
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,895
Composite
35.02/100
National rank
#5044
State rank
#373 of 826 in TX
C Composite livability gradescore 61/100

Livability — Cleveland

Score
61/100
State rank
#1013
US rank
#17943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Liberty County · 87,956 people
City population
17,208
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,685
Household income
$62,219
Rent vs Own
14.4% rent · 85.6% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,956 people
By 2030
92,161 · +4.8%
By 2040
100,784 · +14.6%
By 2050
109,471 · +24.5%
By 2075
133,470 · +51.7%
By 2100
147,372 · +67.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Liberty

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $77,999 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…