Duplex
202 Malta St · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.55%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$650,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
2 Family House In East New York . 3 Bedroom Over 3 Bedroom, with basement. Property needs work, lots of upgrades are needed. Once done, can become a marvelous property. Close To Transportation And Shopping. Negotiable, Seller Motivated To Sell.
Key facts
- 2,783 sq ft lot
- Listed 421 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $741/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $650k).
- Recommended offer: $572k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,054/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 7510% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 421 days — a 12% lower offer ($572k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 44% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 421 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.77%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $5,570
- Equity at exit
- $96,917
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $197,346
- Equity at exit
- $56,200
Cash invested: $182,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11207
- Home prices YoY
- -26.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 15.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,409
- Tax from tax record
- −$411 /mo · $4,929/yr
- Insurance
- −$271
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,481
- Net cashflow
- $1,482
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,850 | -5% $1,666 | +0% $1,482 | +5% $1,298 | +10% $1,114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $925 | -5% $1,204 | +0% $1,482 | +5% $1,761 | +10% $2,040 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,810 | -0.5pp $1,648 | base $1,482 | +0.5pp $1,314 | +1.0pp $1,143 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $7,054 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,527 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,527 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,054 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,500
- Closing costs
- $19,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2020-09-14historical
-
2020-05-03$450,000 Active
-
2020-04-08status Pending
-
2019-10-18historical
-
2019-07-16price $650,000
-
2019-02-14historical
-
2019-02-12$710,000 Active
-
2018-03-30status Under Contract
-
2017-12-11price $750,000
-
2017-12-08price $750,000
-
2017-11-28price $775,000
-
2017-11-28price $775,000
-
2017-09-18$799,000 New
-
2006-11-15soldstatus $590,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,929 · $411/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,957 · $663/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,028/yr (+$252/mo · 61.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $84,648
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,410
- − Property taxes
- −$4,929
- − Insurance
- −$3,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,772
- − Management
- −$6,772
- − Depreciation
- −$18,909
- Taxable income
- $7,606
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,825
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 93,198
- Household income
- $56,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7510.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 10% White 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.76%
- Current HPI
- 388.434
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-23.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2020-09-14 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-03 Listed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-08 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2019-10-18 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2019-07-16 Price Changed $650,000 BNYMLS
- 2019-02-14 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-12 Listed $710,000 BNYMLS
- 2018-03-30 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-11 Price Changed $750,000 BNYMLS
- 2017-12-08 Price Changed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-28 Price Changed $775,000 BNYMLS
- 2017-11-28 Price Changed $775,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-18 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $590,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,929 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…