CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1013 S Silver St
D Composite 41.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1013 S Silver St · Deming, NM 88030
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,350 sqft · Other public records · 281 Days on market
Built 1960 0.33 ac lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Easy access to i-10
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS EAT IN KITCHENFENCED YARDEASY ACCESS TO I-10PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RV PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($714/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#73 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, schools F.
  • Deming Public Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #63 of 95 in NM (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Luna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luna County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 4→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,263 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.89%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-18,139
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,131
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88030

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
375
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $663/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $98 +0% $59 +5% $21 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-28 -5% $16 +0% $59 +5% $103 +10% $147
Rate -1.0pp $127 -0.5pp $94 base $59 +0.5pp $25 +1.0pp $-11

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1108 S Santa Catalina St Deming, NM 2.0 1.0 1232 $900 $0.73 45d 1 0.69mi
2108 S Shelly Dr Deming, NM 3.0 2.0 1817 $1,800 $0.99 45d 1 1.18mi
715 N Lead St Deming, NM 3.0 2.0 1440 $900 $0.62 14d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 281 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 280 DOM
  3. 2026-05-05
    status Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

  4. 2026-04-01
    historical 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

  5. 2026-02-11
    status Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

  6. 2025-12-14
    historical 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

  7. 2025-10-17
    status Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

  8. 2025-10-17
    price $135,000 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

  9. 2025-09-02
    historical 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

  10. 2025-04-07
    listed $149,000 Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    4 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home on 4 lots on Silver Ave. Built in 1960, this property features 1,890 Sq Ft, a spacious eat in kitchen with appliances, washer, dryer, evaporative cooling, vinyl and tile flooring, spacious fenced yard, needs updating, some repairs and one bedroom needs flooring, located in the heart of town close to schools, park, stores and business area, easy access to I-10, property is fenced with plenty of room for RV Parking, a must see! Call us to schedule your viewing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$663 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$417/yr (+$35/mo · 62.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 4 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,352
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$663
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,068
− Management
−$1,068
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$387
After-tax cash flow
$1,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Deming Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500690
Math proficiency
18%
Reading proficiency
27%
Median HH income
$28,092
Composite
21.02/100
National rank
#13708
State rank
#63 of 95 in NM

Livability — Deming

Score
63/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#15165

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Deming, NM
Population (ZIP)
24,270

Population outlook (Luna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,859 people
By 2030
22,105 · -3.3%
By 2040
20,738 · -9.3%
By 2050
19,336 · -15.4%
By 2075
15,439 · -32.5%
By 2100
9,313 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 32% White 30% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 63%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Luna

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.4% · R 58.3% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.2pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+3.9 2012: R+1.1 2008: D+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.37%
Current HPI
114.8626
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-9.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted NMMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Delisted NMMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Relisted NMMLS
  • 2025-12-14 Delisted NMMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Relisted NMMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $135,000 NMMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Delisted NMMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Listed $149,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2021): $663 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…