8033 Michigan St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming home offers a fantastic chance to restore it to its original beauty. With solid potential to increase its value, it features hardwood flooring and a spacious front lawn on a corner lot, investors or anyone looking to rehab and create their dream home. Owner Financing is available!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Spacious front lawn
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $64k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.79%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,103
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -45.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7625 Lehigh St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+0%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $141 | 69 |
| 7638 Lady Gray St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (+0%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $144 | 65 |
| 7524 Michigan St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+6%) | 2mo | $183,715 | $129 | 59 |
| 7531 Berg Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-7%) | 3mo | $163,153 | $132 | 57 |
| 7930 Oneida St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,355 (+2%) | 12mo | $189,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 7552 Michigan St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,254 (-6%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $40 | 55 |
| 7542 Lehigh St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,375 (+3%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $109 | 54 |
| 64 Marywood Ct | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (+9%) | 13mo | $189,000 | $130 | 51 |
| 7840 Wave Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,272 (-5%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 7921 Branch Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,477 (+11%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $34 | 40 |
| 7920 Oneida St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+12%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $117 | 38 |
| 10450 Heritage | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,138 (-15%) | 10mo | $42,000 | $37 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $8,042
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $33,401
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70128
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,306 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,710/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $336 | +0% $315 | +5% $294 | +10% $272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $263 | +0% $315 | +5% $366 | +10% $418 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $334 | base $315 | +0.5pp $295 | +1.0pp $276 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8038 Lacombe St Apt A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 11967 Curran Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10680 Hayne Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 10680 Hayne Blvd Apt B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 7937 Read Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7901 Read Blvd Unit 206 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7800 Read Blvd Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 931 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7830 Means Ave Unit D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7861 Symmes Ave Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,280 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6937 Barrington Ct New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1306 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 11040 Roger Dr Unit C New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1505 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10940 Roger Dr Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10821 Roger Dr Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10704 Roger Dr Unit D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 8002 Trapier Ave Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 9408 Hayne Blvd Unit G New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9411 Dinkins St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 12345 I 10 Service Rd New Orleans, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 746 | $1,125 | $1.51 | 2d | 200 | 1.13mi |
| 9002 Morrison Rd New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7201 Salem Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $1,650 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7501 Briarwood Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-31status $75,000 Pending 141 DOM
-
2026-02-06price $75,000 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This charming home offers a fantastic chance to restore it to its original beauty. With solid potential to increase its value, it features hardwood flooring and a spacious front lawn on a corner lot, investors or anyone looking to rehab and create their dream home. Owner Financing is available!
-
2026-02-06price $75,000 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This charming home offers a fantastic chance to restore it to its original beauty. With solid potential to increase its value, it features hardwood flooring and a spacious front lawn on a corner lot, investors or anyone looking to rehab and create their dream home. Owner Financing is available!
-
2026-01-09$89,000 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This charming home offers a fantastic chance to restore it to its original beauty. With solid potential to increase its value, it features hardwood flooring and a spacious front lawn on a corner lot, investors or anyone looking to rehab and create their dream home. Owner Financing is available!
-
2026-01-09$89,000 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This charming home offers a fantastic chance to restore it to its original beauty. With solid potential to increase its value, it features hardwood flooring and a spacious front lawn on a corner lot, investors or anyone looking to rehab and create their dream home. Owner Financing is available!
-
2025-12-16price $89,000
-
2025-12-16price $89,000
-
2025-10-10$94,999 Active
-
2025-09-04price $95,000
-
2025-09-04price $95,000
-
2025-08-16$99,000 Active
-
2025-07-14price $99,000
-
2025-07-14price $99,000
-
2025-05-29$100,000 Active
-
2025-04-15soldstatus $64,000
-
2025-02-05$20,000 Active
-
2025-01-12price $79,000
-
2025-01-12price $79,000
-
2025-01-03price $84,000
-
2025-01-03price $84,000
-
2024-12-05$89,000 Active
-
2024-10-07$20,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,710 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,710 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,671
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,710
- − Insurance
- −$1,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,254
- − Management
- −$1,254
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,899
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$696
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- City population
- 338,817
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,973
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Asian 5% White 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Vietnamese 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.51%
- Current HPI
- 247.7131
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $75,000 GSREIN
- 2026-01-09 Listed $89,000 GSREIN
- 2026-01-09 Listed $89,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $89,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $89,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-10 Listed $94,999 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $95,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $95,000 GSREIN
- 2025-08-16 Listed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $99,000 GSREIN
- 2025-05-29 Listed $100,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-05 Listed $20,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-12 Price Changed $79,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-12 Price Changed $79,000 GSREIN
- 2025-01-03 Price Changed $84,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-03 Price Changed $84,000 GSREIN
- 2024-12-05 Listed $89,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-07 Listed $20,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+20.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,710 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…