4700 Boulder Ave #1503 · Midland, TX 79707

$98,000

2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,064 sqft · Condo public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1980 $535/mo HOA · 33% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.9/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.9/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Centrally located Condo, easy access to Loop 250 and HWY 191. Affordable living, Very spacious and slightly remodeled. Come take a look

Key facts

• $535 HOA
• Built 1980
• Listed 5 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $98k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
• Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, commute D+.
• Midland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 314 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $98,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.65% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.36%
• DSCR: 1.19
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.75×
• Total profit: $-6,809
• Equity at exit: $14,612

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.50×
• Total profit: $13,680
• Equity at exit: $8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79707

• Rents YoY: 4.5%
• Active inventory: 314
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,612 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$514
• Tax from tax record: −$84 /mo · $1,011/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$535
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$339
• Net cashflow: $100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486

Max offer price $98,000

Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,500
• Closing costs: $2,940
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 24 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4700 Boulder Dr Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	823	$1,500	$1.82	21d	2	0.01mi
3609 Caldera Blvd Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	850	$1,599	$1.88	13d	67	0.26mi
4301 Raleigh Ct Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	766	$1,490	$1.94	13d	18	0.40mi
3316 Caldera Blvd #104 Midland, TX	1.0	1.5	818	$1,450	$1.77	44d	1	0.60mi
4601 Lanham St #11 Midland, TX	3.0	2.5	1420	$2,500	$1.76	21d	1	0.79mi
3315 Godfrey St Midland, TX	1.0–3.0	1.5–4.0	1764	$2,125	$1.20	13d	8	0.80mi
3600 N Midland Dr Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	900	$1,425	$1.58	13d	9	0.81mi
4415 Northcrest Dr Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	804	$1,594	$1.98	13d	17	0.83mi
2818 West Loop 250 N Midland, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1176	$1,779	$1.51	13d	16	0.90mi
2811 West Loop 250 N Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	967	$1,396	$1.44	13d	13	0.91mi
4805 Briarwood Ave Midland, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1028	$1,860	$1.81	13d	18	0.96mi
3417 N Midland Dr Midland, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	887	$1,317	$1.48	13d	13	1.03mi
2600 West Loop 250 N Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	800	$1,326	$1.66	13d	28	1.11mi
3705 Dentcrest Dr Midland, TX	3.0	2.0	1402	$1,800	$1.28	13d	1	1.14mi
3101 Midland Dr Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	765	$1,285	$1.68	44d	1	1.16mi
2438 Whitmire Blvd Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0	800	$1,275	$1.59	44d	1	1.27mi
5200 Briarwood Ave Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	893	$2,124	$2.38	13d	24	1.33mi
4229 Siesta Ln Midland, TX	2.0	1.5	1290	$1,600	$1.24	13d	1	1.34mi
4715 W Wadley Ave Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	872	$1,514	$1.74	13d	10	1.39mi
4704 Dentcrest Dr Unit A Midland, TX	2.0	2.0	1500	$1,850	$1.23	44d	1	1.39mi
5244 West Loop 250 N Midland, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	791	$1,749	$2.21	13d	34	1.44mi
4800 Dentcrest Dr Midland, TX	2.0	2.0	1148	$1,999	$1.74	44d	1	1.46mi
4713 Dentcrest Dr Unit A Midland, TX	2.0	2.0	1400	$3,250	$2.32	21d	1	1.46mi
3200 Bromley Pl Midland, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	873	$1,644	$1.88	13d	10	1.49mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $535 · $6,420/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-05-16
   listed $98,000 Active 135-char remark
2. 2026-05-15
   listed $98,000 Active 135-char remark
3. 2020-01-31
   soldstatus
4. 2013-04-08
   soldstatus
5. 2009-07-24
   soldstatus
6. 2005-02-01
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,011 · $84/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,793 · $149/mo
• Expected delta: +$782/yr (+$65/mo · 77.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 69% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,349
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,490
• − Property taxes: −$1,011
• − Insurance: −$490
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,548
• − Management: −$1,548
• − HOA: −$6,420
• − Depreciation: −$2,851
• Taxable loss: −$8
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2
• After-tax cash flow: $1,200/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Midland ISD
• NCES district ID: 4830570
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $63,457
• Composite: 31.63/100
• National rank: #5938
• State rank: #477 of 826 in TX

Livability — Midland

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #57
• US rank: #2192

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Midland, TX
• County: Midland County · 168,494 people
• City population: 168,494
• Metro: Midland, TX
• Population (ZIP): 40,010
• Household income: $99,886
• Rent vs Own: 40.0% rent · 60.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1919.0

Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 220,895 people
• By 2030: 253,667 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 325,498 · +47.4%
• By 2050: 404,168 · +83.0%
• By 2075: 609,802 · +176.1%
• By 2100: 760,172 · +244.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China, Philippines
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Midland

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.3% · R 79.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.3pp · 2024: -60.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+57.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -208.65%
• Current HPI: 198.7489
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.45%
• Metro: Midland, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,011 · -5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.