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16329 Hermitage Ave
C+ Composite 64.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$164,900

16329 Hermitage Ave · Markham, IL 60428
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1957 Est $140k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautiful brick ranch featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a bright, functional layout. This move-in-ready home offers an updated kitchen, spacious living area, central air, and a detached 2-car garage with a side driveway for extra parking. Located on a quiet residential street close to schools, parks, shopping, and expressways, this property is perfect for homeowners or investors alike. A great opportunity in a convenient Markham location! Sold as is. Seller does not provide survey. Buyer to take subject to municipal requirements, if any. * Property not for rent - beware of rental scams. *

Key facts

  • Side driveway
  • Spacious living area
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

BRICK RANCHUPDATED KITCHENSPACIOUS LIVING AREACENTRAL AIRDETACHED GARAGESIDE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built more than 60 years ago (built before 1978)
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 5,940

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $165k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.28%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,896
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16221 Hermitage Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,044 (0%) 1mo $192,000 $184 86
16300 Winchester Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,012 (-3%) 2mo $97,500 $96 75
16444 Wolcott Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,080 (+3%) 3mo $112,500 $104 72
16607 Winchester Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,053 (+1%) 5mo $226,000 $215 66
16628 Winchester Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,134 (+9%) 1mo $84,000 $74 63
16019 Myrtle Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-3%) 3mo $70,000 $69 62
16807 Wood St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 985 (-6%) 0mo $90,000 $91 58
16735 Dixie Hwy 0.62mi 2/1.0 965 (-8%) 1mo $153,000 $159 58
1924 169th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,086 (+4%) 3mo $189,900 $175 56
1945 W 163rd St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,188 (+14%) 4mo $159,500 $134 56
16768 Bulger Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 954 (-9%) 4mo $125,000 $131 49
16727 Head Ave 0.75mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,150 (+10%) 1mo $157,000 $137 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$120,047
Equity at exit
$148,555
10-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
8.15×
Total profit
$330,125
Equity at exit
$320,364

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60428

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,256 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$376 /mo · $4,518/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$474
Net cashflow
$473

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,658
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $566 -5% $519 +0% $473 +5% $426 +10% $379
Rent -10% $294 -5% $383 +0% $473 +5% $562 +10% $651
Rate -1.0pp $556 -0.5pp $515 base $473 +0.5pp $430 +1.0pp $386

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL 3.0 1.0 1043 $2,400 $2.30 0d 1 0.27mi
16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 0d 1 0.84mi
16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 867 $2,500 $2.88 0d 1 1.05mi
2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1158 $2,300 $1.99 0d 1 1.09mi
2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 0d 1 1.10mi
2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1159 $2,350 $2.03 0d 1 1.14mi
16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,650 $1.51 25d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $164,900 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,900 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,900 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,900 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $164,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $164,900 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,900 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $164,900 Active
  17. 2025-12-31
    historical
  18. 2025-02-26
    listed Active
  19. 2006-05-03
    soldstatus $78,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,518 · $376/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,518 · $376/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,076
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$4,518
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,166
− Management
−$2,166
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable income
$3,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$808
After-tax cash flow
$4,863/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Markham

Score
76/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#3539

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Markham, IL
City population
10,980
Population (ZIP)
10,980

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.63%
Current HPI
302.333
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $164,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-26 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,518 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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