6980 Kenny Lundy Rd · Tillmans Corner, AL 36582

$149,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1972 1.49 ac lot Est $139k · 8% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.3/30.0
• DSCR +8.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• ARV discount +3.9/15.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

1.5 ACRES ON CORNER OF KENNY LUNDY RD AND DAUGHTRY LANE. CUTE FARMHOUSE, MOVE IN READY! NEW TIN ROOF (2011), HEATING AND AIR REPLACED IN 2004, ALL APPLIANCES (FRIDGE, DW, MICROWAVE, STOVE, WASHER, AND DRYER) ALL STAY, AND WORK, BUT ARE NOT WARRANTED. 2 STORAGE BUILDINGS, COVERED PATIO, QUIET PEACEFUL LIVING! OUTSIDE PAINTED 2016. EAST ACCESS TO I-10 FOR FAST WAY TO MS OR DOWNTOWN MOBILE. USDA. (ANY/ALL UPDATES LISTED ARE PER SELLER).

Key facts

• Spacious corner lot
• Metal roof replaced
• 1.49 acre lot

Tags

• APPROXIMATELY 1.5 ACRES
• SPACIOUS CORNER LOT
• METAL ROOF REPLACED

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No designated parking
• Utilities: Underground utilities; Public sewer; No electric service listed
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1972; Metal roof
• Construction: Other construction materials; No listed foundation details; Metal roof
• Exterior features: No notable exterior features; No fencing; Corner lot with a view

Interior

• Kitchen: Other appliances
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Other interior features
• Laundry & utility: No basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.9% in Tillmans Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#260 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Pearl Haskew Elementary (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #296 of 627 statewide, top 49%, 502 students, 68% FRL); Grand Bay Middle School (math 8% / reading 38%, grade F, #176 of 257 statewide, top 70%, 794 students, 64% FRL); Alma Bryant High School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #184 of 305 statewide, top 61%, 1,617 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $85k; list at $150k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.38%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.02%
• DSCR: 1.49
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $138,880
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
9936 March Pointe Dr	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,190 (+6%)	13mo	$150,000	$126	70
7241 Whispering Meadows Dr	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,140 (+2%)	13mo	$141,500	$124	65
6878 March Pointe Dr E	0.17mi	3/2.0	1,215 (+8%)	11mo	$146,000	$120	64
6960 March Pointe Ct	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,271 (+14%)	8mo	$126,500	$100	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.00×
• Total profit: $189
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.75×
• Total profit: $31,481
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36582

• Home prices YoY: -19.1%
• Active inventory: 253
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,598 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$28 /mo · $340/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$336
• Net cashflow: $385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,110

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $470	-5% $428	+0% $385	+5% $343	+10% $301
Rent	-10% $259	-5% $322	+0% $385	+5% $449	+10% $512
Rate	-1.0pp $461	-0.5pp $424	base $385	+0.5pp $347	+1.0pp $307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   remarks 642-char remark
3. 2026-06-18
   listed $149,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $340 · $28/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $615 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: +$275/yr (+$23/mo · 81.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,175
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$340
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,534
• − Management: −$1,534
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $2,260
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$542
• After-tax cash flow: $4,083/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tillmans Corner

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #260
• US rank: #18090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Mobile County · 246,577 people
• City population: 14,550
• Metro: Mobile, AL
• Population (ZIP): 23,705
• Household income: $64,763
• Rent vs Own: 20.1% rent · 79.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 431.0

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -49.61%
• Current HPI: 209.7621
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Mobile, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+87.6% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $149,900 GCMLS AL
• 2016-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,460 Public Records
• 2016-05-03 Sold (MLS) $85,000 BCAR
• 2016-02-15 Listed $79,900 BCAR

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $340 · +24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.