7915 103rd St #501 · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a picnic area / pavilion / grill, a clubhouse, and a playground, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Picnic area
- Clubhouse
- Playground
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $29,400
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric heating and central air
- Home design: Condominium (unit at 7915 103rd St #501, Jacksonville, FL 32210); Spec inventory, plan 92423; Active listing
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living area approximately 832
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gregory Drive Elementary School (math 26% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,037 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 530 students, 76% FRL); Charger Academy (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 961 students, 71% FRL); Westside High School (math 26% / reading 19%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 1,583 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $203 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $882 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 107.21%
- DSCR
- 5.77
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $43,264
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8252 Buttercup St | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+11%) | 2mo | $48,000 | $52 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.99×
- Total profit
- $41,042
- Equity at exit
- $4,384
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.16×
- Total profit
- $91,877
- Equity at exit
- $2,542
Cash invested: $8,232 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,188 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $441/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $735
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $756 | -5% $746 | +0% $735 | +5% $725 | +10% $715 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $642 | -5% $689 | +0% $735 | +5% $782 | +10% $829 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $750 | -0.5pp $743 | base $735 | +0.5pp $728 | +1.0pp $720 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,350
- Closing costs
- $882
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5150 Playpen Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 0d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 5224 Westchase Ct #3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $896 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5144 Westchase Ct Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5136 Westchase Ct Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $950 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5324 Westchase Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $995 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8050 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,250 | $1.22 | 3d | 11 | 0.25mi |
| 5332 Westchase Ct Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 16d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5120 Westchase Ct #1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 729 | $945 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5018 Westchase Ct Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $995 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5147 Westchase Ct Apt 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $950 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5327 Westchase Ct Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,150 | $1.58 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5035 Westchase Ct Apt 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 9d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5128 Indian Lakes Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $995 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5143 Indian Lakes Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $995 | $1.07 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5143 Indian Lakes Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $995 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5122 Ricker Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $995 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7607 Indian Lakes Dr #1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $986 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7978 Renault Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,850 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5521 Ricker Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 0d | 16 | 0.52mi |
| 5770 Brannon Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 9d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4448 Jade Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,329 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4463 Melvin Cir W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,780 | $2.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5937 Camaro Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7262 Kivler Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,499 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7656 Mailes Ct Unit 202 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,225 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7650 Mailes Ct #101 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1051 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7632 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,290 | $1.24 | 9d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7655 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,365 | $1.31 | 9d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7655 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,365 | $1.31 | 6d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 7619 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,365 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5928 Firestone Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 969 | $1,325 | $1.37 | 0d | 12 | 1.05mi |
| 5816 Sonora Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,580 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8368 Geoffrey Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,730 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6418 Ricker Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,150 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3670 Kirkpatrick Cir Unit 14 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3680 Kirkpatrick Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,222 | $1.19 | 13d | 2 | 1.32mi |
| 3680 Kirkpatrick Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,245 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3680 Kirkpatrick Cir Unit 16-13 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,195 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6870 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 825 | $1,075 | $1.30 | 5d | 14 | 1.36mi |
| 3631 Kirkpatrick Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,250 | $1.10 | 9d | 2 | 1.38mi |
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,647
- − Property taxes
- −$441
- − Insurance
- −$147
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,141
- − Management
- −$1,141
- − Depreciation
- −$855
- Taxable income
- $8,887
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…