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B+ Composite 78.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,400

7915 103rd St #501 · Jacksonville, FL 32210
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · Manufactured · 194 Days on market
Built 2025 Est $43k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a picnic area / pavilion / grill, a clubhouse, and a playground, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Clubhouse
  • Playground

Tags

PICNIC AREACLUBHOUSEPLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $29,400

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric heating and central air
  • Home design: Condominium (unit at 7915 103rd St #501, Jacksonville, FL 32210); Spec inventory, plan 92423; Active listing

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living area approximately 832

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $29k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Gregory Drive Elementary School (math 26% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,037 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 530 students, 76% FRL); Charger Academy (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 961 students, 71% FRL); Westside High School (math 26% / reading 19%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 1,583 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $203 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $882 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $25,872 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.04%
Cap rate
36.31%
Cash-on-cash
107.21%
DSCR
5.77
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,264
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8252 Buttercup St 0.46mi 2/2.0 924 (+11%) 2mo $48,000 $52 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.99×
Total profit
$41,042
Equity at exit
$4,384
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.16×
Total profit
$91,877
Equity at exit
$2,542

Cash invested: $8,232 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32210

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,188 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$154
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $441/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$735

Break-even live

Break-even rent $257
Max offer price $29,400
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $756 -5% $746 +0% $735 +5% $725 +10% $715
Rent -10% $642 -5% $689 +0% $735 +5% $782 +10% $829
Rate -1.0pp $750 -0.5pp $743 base $735 +0.5pp $728 +1.0pp $720

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,350
Closing costs
$882
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5150 Playpen Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1137 $1,200 $1.05 0d 2 0.07mi
5224 Westchase Ct #3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 776 $896 $1.15 22d 1 0.24mi
5144 Westchase Ct Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 25d 1 0.24mi
5136 Westchase Ct Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 729 $950 $1.30 25d 1 0.25mi
5324 Westchase Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 729 $995 $1.36 6d 1 0.25mi
8050 103rd St Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $1,250 $1.22 3d 11 0.25mi
5332 Westchase Ct Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 16d 1 0.25mi
5120 Westchase Ct #1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 729 $945 $1.30 25d 1 0.25mi
5018 Westchase Ct Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 729 $995 $1.36 25d 1 0.27mi
5147 Westchase Ct Apt 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 729 $950 $1.30 25d 1 0.29mi
5327 Westchase Ct Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 728 $1,150 $1.58 16d 1 0.29mi
5035 Westchase Ct Apt 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,195 $1.49 9d 1 0.29mi
5128 Indian Lakes Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 926 $995 $1.07 14d 1 0.32mi
5143 Indian Lakes Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 926 $995 $1.07 0d 1 0.36mi
5143 Indian Lakes Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $995 $1.08 14d 1 0.36mi
5122 Ricker Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 926 $995 $1.07 25d 1 0.40mi
7607 Indian Lakes Dr #1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 926 $986 $1.06 18d 1 0.41mi
7978 Renault Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,850 $1.71 25d 1 0.47mi
5521 Ricker Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 0d 16 0.52mi
5770 Brannon Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 9d 1 0.65mi
4448 Jade Dr E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1048 $1,329 $1.27 5d 1 0.82mi
4463 Melvin Cir W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 782 $1,780 $2.28 23d 1 0.88mi
5937 Camaro Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1052 $1,595 $1.52 25d 1 0.93mi
7262 Kivler Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 759 $1,499 $1.97 25d 1 0.93mi
7656 Mailes Ct Unit 202 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,225 $1.18 25d 1 0.98mi
7650 Mailes Ct #101 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1051 $1,200 $1.14 25d 1 0.99mi
7632 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,290 $1.24 9d 1 1.00mi
7655 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,365 $1.31 9d 1 1.01mi
7655 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,365 $1.31 6d 2 1.01mi
7619 Mailes Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,365 $1.31 6d 1 1.04mi
5928 Firestone Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 969 $1,325 $1.37 0d 12 1.05mi
5816 Sonora Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 975 $1,580 $1.62 19d 1 1.17mi
8368 Geoffrey Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1104 $1,730 $1.57 25d 1 1.18mi
6418 Ricker Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 732 $1,150 $1.57 5d 1 1.24mi
3670 Kirkpatrick Cir Unit 14 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1118 $1,350 $1.21 19d 1 1.31mi
3680 Kirkpatrick Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1029 $1,222 $1.19 13d 2 1.32mi
3680 Kirkpatrick Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1118 $1,245 $1.11 25d 1 1.32mi
3680 Kirkpatrick Cir Unit 16-13 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $1,195 $1.27 25d 1 1.32mi
6870 103rd St Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 825 $1,075 $1.30 5d 14 1.36mi
3631 Kirkpatrick Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1137 $1,250 $1.10 9d 2 1.38mi

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,258
− Mortgage interest
−$1,647
− Property taxes
−$441
− Insurance
−$147
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,141
− Management
−$1,141
− Depreciation
−$855
Taxable income
$8,887
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,133
After-tax cash flow
$6,693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
65,729
Household income
$61,050
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
3605.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -314.81%
Current HPI
281.2688
Rent YoY
▲ 2.11%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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