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149 Vernon Dr
C- Composite 50.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

149 Vernon Dr · Bolingbrook, IL 60440
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1963 8,276 sqft lot Est $326k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There are no remarks available.

Key facts

  • Large family room
  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Center island

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENCENTER ISLANDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESABUNDANT COUNTER SPACELARGE FAMILY ROOMDEDICATED LAUNDRY UTILITY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in Bolingbrook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#199 in IL, #3,692 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Valley View CUSD 365U (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #289 of 620 in IL (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,599/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 1149% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $280k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $325,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.45%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$326,040
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
149 Vernon Dr 0.00mi 5/2.0 1,672 (0%) 0mo $325,000 $194 100
108 Allison Ct 0.13mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,535 (-8%) 2mo $235,000 $153 73
132 N Pinecrest Rd 0.22mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,560 (-7%) 1mo $245,000 $157 71
207 Seabury Rd 0.18mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,792 (+7%) 3mo $339,900 $190 70
404 Galahad Rd 0.35mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,755 (+5%) 1mo $389,000 $222 69
473 Rockhurst Rd 0.24mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,792 (+7%) 3mo $350,000 $195 67
461 Rockhurst Rd 0.23mi 5/2.0 1,850 (+11%) 5mo $357,000 $193 67
168 Thornhurst Rd 0.08mi 5/3.5 1,904 (+14%) 0mo $429,000 $225 67
156 Monterey Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,690 (+1%) 5mo $330,000 $195 62
234 Malibu Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (+8%) 1mo $380,000 $211 52
547 Redwood Rd 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,862 (+11%) 2mo $230,000 $124 52
421 N Ashbury Ave 0.64mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,900 (+14%) 2mo $420,000 $221 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-26,911
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$22,034
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60440

Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,599 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$666 /mo · $7,990/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$756
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,172
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $522 -5% $430 +0% $338 +5% $246 +10% $154
Rent -10% $53 -5% $196 +0% $338 +5% $480 +10% $622
Rate -1.0pp $501 -0.5pp $420 base $338 +0.5pp $254 +1.0pp $168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
216 Ironbark Way Bolingbrook, IL 5.0 2.5 1954 $3,500 $1.79 2d 1 0.73mi
160 Camelot Way Bolingbrook, IL 4.0 2.5 2002 $2,950 $1.47 25d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-01
    listed $325,000 Active
  3. 2021-11-17
    soldstatus $280,000
  4. 2021-09-23
    soldstatus $280,000 Closed 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  5. 2021-09-17
    soldstatus $165,300
  6. 2021-08-27
    status Pending 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  7. 2021-08-14
    listed $284,800 Active 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  8. 2021-06-25
    soldstatus $165,300 Closed Sale 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Investors, rehabbers and DIYers - great opportunity for income on this home! 1700 sq foot home on a quiet interior street. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and 2 living areas. New furnace in 2018. New roof in 2014. Home has large drive way offering lots of parking. Cement slab has already been laid and ready to build a 2 car garage on. Home is close to shopping and entertainment. Easy commute to highways (I-55 and I-355). Water damage to the basement level is has been professionally mitigated. Waiting on repairs. This is a short sale but will be worth it! Home being sold "as is" Multiple offers received. Highest and best called for by 5pm, Wednesday January 27th.

  9. 2021-01-30
    status Contingent 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Investors, rehabbers and DIYers - great opportunity for income on this home! 1700 sq foot home on a quiet interior street. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and 2 living areas. New furnace in 2018. New roof in 2014. Home has large drive way offering lots of parking. Cement slab has already been laid and ready to build a 2 car garage on. Home is close to shopping and entertainment. Easy commute to highways (I-55 and I-355). Water damage to the basement level is has been professionally mitigated. Waiting on repairs. This is a short sale but will be worth it! Home being sold "as is" Multiple offers received. Highest and best called for by 5pm, Wednesday January 27th.

  10. 2021-01-26
    listed $150,000 New 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Investors, rehabbers and DIYers - great opportunity for income on this home! 1700 sq foot home on a quiet interior street. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and 2 living areas. New furnace in 2018. New roof in 2014. Home has large drive way offering lots of parking. Cement slab has already been laid and ready to build a 2 car garage on. Home is close to shopping and entertainment. Easy commute to highways (I-55 and I-355). Water damage to the basement level is has been professionally mitigated. Waiting on repairs. This is a short sale but will be worth it! Home being sold "as is" Multiple offers received. Highest and best called for by 5pm, Wednesday January 27th.

  11. 2020-01-31
    historical Contingent
  12. 2020-01-31
    historical
  13. 2020-01-27
    status Reactivated
  14. 2019-02-26
    historical Contingent
  15. 2019-02-15
    listed New
  16. 2005-08-10
    soldstatus $190,000
  17. 2003-11-19
    soldstatus $179,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,990 · $666/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,990 · $666/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,190
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$7,990
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,455
− Management
−$3,455
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$995
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$239
After-tax cash flow
$4,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley View CUSD 365U
NCES district ID
1740070
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$69,424
Composite
23.48/100
National rank
#7875
State rank
#289 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bolingbrook

Score
76/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#3692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living B- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bolingbrook, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
74,096
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
51,940
Household income
$93,494
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
1149.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 5% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -256.14%
Current HPI
246.1906
Rent YoY
▲ 4.10%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $325,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-23 Sold (MLS) $280,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $165,300 Public Records
  • 2021-08-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-14 Listed $284,800 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-25 Sold (MLS) $165,300 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-30 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-26 Listed $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-31 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-27 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-26 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-15 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2003-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $7,990 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…