149 Vernon Dr · Bolingbrook, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Large family room
- Open-concept kitchen
- Center island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in Bolingbrook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#199 in IL, #3,692 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Valley View CUSD 365U (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #289 of 620 in IL (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,599/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 1149% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $280k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.45%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $326,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 Vernon Dr | 0.00mi | 5/2.0 | 1,672 (0%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $194 | 100 |
| 108 Allison Ct | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,535 (-8%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $153 | 73 |
| 132 N Pinecrest Rd | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,560 (-7%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $157 | 71 |
| 207 Seabury Rd | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,792 (+7%) | 3mo | $339,900 | $190 | 70 |
| 404 Galahad Rd | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,755 (+5%) | 1mo | $389,000 | $222 | 69 |
| 473 Rockhurst Rd | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,792 (+7%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $195 | 67 |
| 461 Rockhurst Rd | 0.23mi | 5/2.0 | 1,850 (+11%) | 5mo | $357,000 | $193 | 67 |
| 168 Thornhurst Rd | 0.08mi | 5/3.5 | 1,904 (+14%) | 0mo | $429,000 | $225 | 67 |
| 156 Monterey Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,690 (+1%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $195 | 62 |
| 234 Malibu Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+8%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $211 | 52 |
| 547 Redwood Rd | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,862 (+11%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $124 | 52 |
| 421 N Ashbury Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,900 (+14%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $221 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-26,911
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $22,034
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60440
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,599 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$666 /mo · $7,990/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$756
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $522 | -5% $430 | +0% $338 | +5% $246 | +10% $154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $53 | -5% $196 | +0% $338 | +5% $480 | +10% $622 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $501 | -0.5pp $420 | base $338 | +0.5pp $254 | +1.0pp $168 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Ironbark Way Bolingbrook, IL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1954 | $3,500 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 160 Camelot Way Bolingbrook, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2002 | $2,950 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-04-01$325,000 Active
-
2021-11-17soldstatus $280,000
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2021-09-23soldstatus $280,000 Closed 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2021-09-17soldstatus $165,300
-
2021-08-27status Pending 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2021-08-14$284,800 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2021-06-25soldstatus $165,300 Closed Sale 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Investors, rehabbers and DIYers - great opportunity for income on this home! 1700 sq foot home on a quiet interior street. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and 2 living areas. New furnace in 2018. New roof in 2014. Home has large drive way offering lots of parking. Cement slab has already been laid and ready to build a 2 car garage on. Home is close to shopping and entertainment. Easy commute to highways (I-55 and I-355). Water damage to the basement level is has been professionally mitigated. Waiting on repairs. This is a short sale but will be worth it! Home being sold "as is" Multiple offers received. Highest and best called for by 5pm, Wednesday January 27th.
-
2021-01-30status Contingent 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Investors, rehabbers and DIYers - great opportunity for income on this home! 1700 sq foot home on a quiet interior street. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and 2 living areas. New furnace in 2018. New roof in 2014. Home has large drive way offering lots of parking. Cement slab has already been laid and ready to build a 2 car garage on. Home is close to shopping and entertainment. Easy commute to highways (I-55 and I-355). Water damage to the basement level is has been professionally mitigated. Waiting on repairs. This is a short sale but will be worth it! Home being sold "as is" Multiple offers received. Highest and best called for by 5pm, Wednesday January 27th.
-
2021-01-26$150,000 New 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Investors, rehabbers and DIYers - great opportunity for income on this home! 1700 sq foot home on a quiet interior street. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and 2 living areas. New furnace in 2018. New roof in 2014. Home has large drive way offering lots of parking. Cement slab has already been laid and ready to build a 2 car garage on. Home is close to shopping and entertainment. Easy commute to highways (I-55 and I-355). Water damage to the basement level is has been professionally mitigated. Waiting on repairs. This is a short sale but will be worth it! Home being sold "as is" Multiple offers received. Highest and best called for by 5pm, Wednesday January 27th.
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2020-01-31historical Contingent
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2020-01-31historical
-
2020-01-27status Reactivated
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2019-02-26historical Contingent
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2019-02-15New
-
2005-08-10soldstatus $190,000
-
2003-11-19soldstatus $179,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,990 · $666/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,990 · $666/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$7,990
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,455
- − Management
- −$3,455
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$995
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$239
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley View CUSD 365U
- NCES district ID
- 1740070
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,424
- Composite
- 23.48/100
- National rank
- #7875
- State rank
- #289 of 620 in IL
Livability — Bolingbrook
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #3692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bolingbrook, IL
- County
- Will County · 412,448 people
- City population
- 74,096
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,940
- Household income
- $93,494
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1149.0
Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 705,368 people
- By 2030
- 708,154 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 702,692 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 680,249 · -3.6%
- By 2075
- 611,990 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 516,215 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 5% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Will
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -256.14%
- Current HPI
- 246.1906
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.10%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+81.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $325,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-23 Sold (MLS) $280,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $165,300 Public Records
- 2021-08-27 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-14 Listed $284,800 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-25 Sold (MLS) $165,300 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-30 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-26 Listed $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-31 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-27 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-26 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2003-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2024): $7,990 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…