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14773 Kilbourne St
B- Composite 67.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

14773 Kilbourne St · Detroit, MI 48213
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1941 4,356 sqft lot $30/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's Eastside. 2BR Brick Colonial with the full basement. Living room with fireplace. Spacious primary bedroom with original hardwood floors. Good candidate to fix up and rent.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Fireplace
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

FULL BASEMENTFIREPLACEORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $743 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $35k implies a 1650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $32,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.56%
Cap rate
31.78%
Cash-on-cash
91.03%
DSCR
5.05
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,549
List price
$35,000
Delta
-51.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14750 Lannette St 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,099 (-5%) 3mo $78,000 $71 81
14728 Wilfred St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (-10%) 3mo $30,500 $29 69
14210 Wilfred St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,264 (+9%) 0mo $17,000 $13 63
13124 Flanders St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (-1%) 0mo $115,000 $100 63
10904 N Mogul St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,045 (-10%) 0mo $113,000 $108 61
9500 Lakepointe St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,130 (-3%) 0mo $125,000 $111 58
13334 Elmdale St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,221 (+5%) 3mo $89,254 $73 55
10441 Roxbury St 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,127 (-3%) 3mo $59,000 $52 53
15411 Young St St 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,240 (+7%) 2mo $95,000 $77 52
15419 Young St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,250 (+8%) 3mo $54,500 $44 52
9768 Manistique St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 986 (-15%) 0mo $35,000 $35 47
10696 Stratman St 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (-14%) 3mo $53,000 $53 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
91.7%
Equity multiple
5.25×
Total profit
$41,694
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
94.6%
Equity multiple
10.93×
Total profit
$97,349
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$743

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 0.37mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 0.47mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 17d 1 0.49mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.53mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.55mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 0.55mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 0.58mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 3d 1 0.60mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 17d 1 0.63mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.65mi
9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 17d 1 0.67mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.69mi
14103 Rochelle Ave Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 43d 1 0.69mi
9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 14d 1 0.73mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 0.79mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 4d 1 0.80mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 14d 1 0.80mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 43d 1 0.84mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 20d 1 0.87mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 4d 1 0.88mi
9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 797 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 0.91mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 43d 1 0.92mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 0.99mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 1.05mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 1.05mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 43d 1 1.08mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 1.08mi
13503 E McNichols Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 17d 1 1.09mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 4d 1 1.09mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 1.14mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 43d 1 1.15mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 17d 1 1.15mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 1.19mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 43d 1 1.19mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 17d 1 1.21mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 17d 1 1.24mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 1.27mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 1.28mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 1.28mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 12d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $35,000 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-05-08
    price $39,000 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's Eastside. 2BR Brick Colonial with the full basement. Living room with fireplace. Spacious primary bedroom with original hardwood floors. Good candidate to fix up and rent.

  14. 2026-05-08
    price $39,000 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's Eastside. 2BR Brick Colonial with the full basement. Living room with fireplace. Spacious primary bedroom with original hardwood floors. Good candidate to fix up and rent.

  15. 2026-04-10
    price $43,000 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's Eastside. 2BR Brick Colonial with the full basement. Living room with fireplace. Spacious primary bedroom with original hardwood floors. Good candidate to fix up and rent.

  16. 2026-04-10
    price $43,000 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's Eastside. 2BR Brick Colonial with the full basement. Living room with fireplace. Spacious primary bedroom with original hardwood floors. Good candidate to fix up and rent.

  17. 2026-03-23
    listed $48,000 Active 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's Eastside. 2BR Brick Colonial with the full basement. Living room with fireplace. Spacious primary bedroom with original hardwood floors. Good candidate to fix up and rent.

  18. 2026-03-23
    listed $48,000 Active 218-char remark
    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's Eastside. 2BR Brick Colonial with the full basement. Living room with fireplace. Spacious primary bedroom with original hardwood floors. Good candidate to fix up and rent.

  19. 2010-03-01
    soldstatus $2,000
  20. 2010-03-01
    soldstatus $2,000
  21. 2009-12-09
    historical
  22. 2009-12-04
    listed $2,500
  23. 2009-05-15
    listed $2,500
  24. 2004-03-31
    soldstatus $77,000
  25. 2002-07-24
    soldstatus $40,000
  26. 2002-05-07
    soldstatus $42,000
  27. 2002-03-15
    listed $39,900
  28. 2001-05-18
    soldstatus $43,153
  29. 1996-04-26
    soldstatus $20,000
  30. 1993-07-12
    soldstatus $9,000
  31. 1993-07-12
    soldstatus $11,300
  32. 1993-07-12
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,966
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$8,893
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,134
After-tax cash flow
$6,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+333.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $39,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $43,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $43,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $48,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-03-01 Sold (MLS) $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-03-01 Sold (MLS) $2,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-12-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-12-04 Listed $2,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-05-15 Listed $2,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 2002-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-07 Sold (MLS) $42,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-03-15 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $43,153 Public Records
  • 1996-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1993-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1993-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $11,300 Public Records
  • 1993-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,879 · -54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…