161 La Plaza Way #161 · Mira Monte, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Peace, tranquility and beautiful mountain views define this lovely home! Perfectly situated at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac and just steps from the community clubhouse, pool and spa, this well-kept 2 bedroom, 2 bath home is waiting to welcome you. Enjoy expansive mountain views from the comfort of your living room equipped with a cozy electric fireplace. The kitchen has ample cabinet space, an island and built in breakfast counter. The roomy floorplan also features a family room, laundry room and primary bedroom with en suite bathroom. Enjoy the great outdoors on your private covered porch and there is room in the yard for those who enjoy a bit of gardening. The carport is large enough to fit 3 cars and the park offers RV parking. Located near shopping and restaurants, and adjacent to the Ojai trolley stop and the Ojai bike/walking trail. Home is in the desirable Ojai Villas gated 55+ community and offers a low monthly space rent of $869. Affordable senior living at its finest!
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Community clubhouse
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $279k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $279k).
- Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.2% in Mira Monte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#401 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Ojai Unified (suburban): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #257 of 517 in CA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,591/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 723% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $225k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.96%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $305,415
- List price
- $279,000
- Delta
- -8.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Don Antonio Way #56 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-2%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $188 | 92 |
| 16 Don Antonio Way #16 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,521 (+4%) | 6mo | $405,000 | $266 | 80 |
| 16 Don Antonio Way | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,521 (+4%) | 6mo | $405,000 | $266 | 80 |
| 110 Don Carlos Way #110 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $223 | 76 |
| 1273 S Rice Rd #72 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+2%) | 7mo | $450,000 | $300 | 68 |
| 11 Don Antonio Way | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-15%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $248 | 65 |
| 65 Don Antonio Way #65 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-11%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $269 | 65 |
| 11 Don Antonio Way #11 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-15%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $248 | 63 |
| 950 Woodland Ave #115 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+2%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $218 | 62 |
| 950 Woodland Ave #123 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (-1%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $224 | 62 |
| 1273 S Rice Rd #53 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (-13%) | 5mo | $425,000 | $334 | 60 |
| 1273 S Rice Rd #12 | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-15%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $329 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $12,742
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $85,868
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93023
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,591 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$754
- Net cashflow
- $909
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714 S La Luna Ave Unit A Ojai, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,600 | $2.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 718 S La Luna Ave Ojai, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,600 | $2.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 511 S La Luna Ave Ojai, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $3,700 | $3.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 218 Barbara St Oak View, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $3,500 | $1.96 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 223 S Padre Juan Ave Ojai, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $3,400 | $3.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $279,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $279,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $279,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $279,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $279,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $279,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $279,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $279,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $279,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $279,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $279,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $279,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-03-16price $279,000 994-char remark
Show marketing remark (994 chars)
Peace, tranquility and beautiful mountain views define this lovely home! Perfectly situated at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac and just steps from the community clubhouse, pool and spa, this well-kept 2 bedroom, 2 bath home is waiting to welcome you. Enjoy expansive mountain views from the comfort of your living room equipped with a cozy electric fireplace. The kitchen has ample cabinet space, an island and built in breakfast counter. The roomy floorplan also features a family room, laundry room and primary bedroom with en suite bathroom. Enjoy the great outdoors on your private covered porch and there is room in the yard for those who enjoy a bit of gardening. The carport is large enough to fit 3 cars and the park offers RV parking. Located near shopping and restaurants, and adjacent to the Ojai trolley stop and the Ojai bike/walking trail. Home is in the desirable Ojai Villas gated 55+ community and offers a low monthly space rent of $869. Affordable senior living at its finest!
-
2026-01-08$289,000 Active 994-char remark
Show marketing remark (994 chars)
Peace, tranquility and beautiful mountain views define this lovely home! Perfectly situated at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac and just steps from the community clubhouse, pool and spa, this well-kept 2 bedroom, 2 bath home is waiting to welcome you. Enjoy expansive mountain views from the comfort of your living room equipped with a cozy electric fireplace. The kitchen has ample cabinet space, an island and built in breakfast counter. The roomy floorplan also features a family room, laundry room and primary bedroom with en suite bathroom. Enjoy the great outdoors on your private covered porch and there is room in the yard for those who enjoy a bit of gardening. The carport is large enough to fit 3 cars and the park offers RV parking. Located near shopping and restaurants, and adjacent to the Ojai trolley stop and the Ojai bike/walking trail. Home is in the desirable Ojai Villas gated 55+ community and offers a low monthly space rent of $869. Affordable senior living at its finest!
-
2023-09-11soldstatus $225,000 Closed Sale 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Wonderful mountain views and a cul de sac location define this special property. Located in one of Ojai's premier senior parks, this home offers a sunny open floor plan and plenty of windows from which to enjoy the shadowed mountains and sunset views. Enjoy the numerous activities and park amenities just steps away. This home has been well maintained throughout the years and the seller has made it sparkle for the new owner. Upgrades include, fresh paint, copper plumbing, two earthquake bracing systems, and double siding for better insulation. A new washer and dryer and existing refrigerator are included. Reasonable space rent makes this home truly affordable. Come see for yourself!
-
2023-09-08status Pending Sale 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Wonderful mountain views and a cul de sac location define this special property. Located in one of Ojai's premier senior parks, this home offers a sunny open floor plan and plenty of windows from which to enjoy the shadowed mountains and sunset views. Enjoy the numerous activities and park amenities just steps away. This home has been well maintained throughout the years and the seller has made it sparkle for the new owner. Upgrades include, fresh paint, copper plumbing, two earthquake bracing systems, and double siding for better insulation. A new washer and dryer and existing refrigerator are included. Reasonable space rent makes this home truly affordable. Come see for yourself!
-
2023-08-23historical Active Under Contract 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Wonderful mountain views and a cul de sac location define this special property. Located in one of Ojai's premier senior parks, this home offers a sunny open floor plan and plenty of windows from which to enjoy the shadowed mountains and sunset views. Enjoy the numerous activities and park amenities just steps away. This home has been well maintained throughout the years and the seller has made it sparkle for the new owner. Upgrades include, fresh paint, copper plumbing, two earthquake bracing systems, and double siding for better insulation. A new washer and dryer and existing refrigerator are included. Reasonable space rent makes this home truly affordable. Come see for yourself!
-
2023-08-08$225,000 Active 690-char remark
Show marketing remark (690 chars)
Wonderful mountain views and a cul de sac location define this special property. Located in one of Ojai's premier senior parks, this home offers a sunny open floor plan and plenty of windows from which to enjoy the shadowed mountains and sunset views. Enjoy the numerous activities and park amenities just steps away. This home has been well maintained throughout the years and the seller has made it sparkle for the new owner. Upgrades include, fresh paint, copper plumbing, two earthquake bracing systems, and double siding for better insulation. A new washer and dryer and existing refrigerator are included. Reasonable space rent makes this home truly affordable. Come see for yourself!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$4,185
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,448
- − Management
- −$3,448
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable income
- $6,876
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,650
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathroom, flooring, and interior walls.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and need updating
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and need replacement
- Minor exterior siding — slight wear
- Major flooring — carpeted areas need replacement
- Major interior walls — dated wallpaper and paint need updating
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
- Resale replace flooring — new flooring improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both landscape and improve curb appeal — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and need updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and need replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| flooring · carpeted areas need replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · dated wallpaper and paint need updating | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $48,500–168,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace flooring — new flooring improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both landscape and improve curb appeal — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ojai Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628270
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,618
- Composite
- 31.97/100
- National rank
- #5839
- State rank
- #257 of 517 in CA
Livability — Mira Monte
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #401
- US rank
- #13701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mira Monte, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,036
- Household income
- $80,927
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 723.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -942.31%
- Current HPI
- 331.6103
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+24.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $279,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $289,000 CRMLS
- 2023-09-11 Sold (MLS) $225,000 CRMLS
- 2023-09-08 Pending — CRMLS
- 2023-08-23 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2023-08-08 Listed $225,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…