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142 Morton St
C- Composite 53.71
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$87,500

142 Morton St · Wheatland, PA 16161
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily · 71 Days on market
Built 1930 0.56 ac lot $109/sqft · 8% below area Est $95k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable one story home with ample outside storage and a large fenced garden area.

Key facts

  • Fenced garden area
  • 0.56 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

FENCED GARDEN AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,436 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Farrell Area SD (suburban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #492 of 539 in PA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 91% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mercer County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,250 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.06%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,924
List price
$87,500
Delta
-7.82%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
142 Morton St 0.00mi 1/2.0 800 (0%) 1mo $87,000 $109 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-7,609
Equity at exit
$13,047
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$1,820
Equity at exit
$7,565

Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16161

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$459
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $968/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $729
Max offer price $87,500
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $153 -5% $128 +0% $103 +5% $78 +10% $54
Rent -10% $35 -5% $69 +0% $103 +5% $137 +10% $171
Rate -1.0pp $147 -0.5pp $125 base $103 +0.5pp $81 +1.0pp $57

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,875
Closing costs
$2,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 82-char remark
    Show marketing remark (82 chars)

    Adorable one story home with ample outside storage and a large fenced garden area.

  2. 2026-02-23
    listed $87,500 Active 82-char remark
    Show marketing remark (82 chars)

    Adorable one story home with ample outside storage and a large fenced garden area.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$968 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,175 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$207/yr (+$17/mo · 21.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,317
− Mortgage interest
−$4,901
− Property taxes
−$968
− Insurance
−$438
− Repairs & maintenance
−$825
− Management
−$825
− Depreciation
−$2,545
Taxable loss
−$186
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$45
After-tax cash flow
$1,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farrell Area SD
NCES district ID
4209690
Math proficiency
15% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,101
Composite
17.21/100
National rank
#9102
State rank
#492 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wheatland

Score
61/100
State rank
#1436
US rank
#18370

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wheatland, PA
City population
703
Population (ZIP)
703

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,341 people
By 2030
104,269 · -3.8%
By 2040
94,624 · -12.7%
By 2050
84,891 · -21.6%
By 2075
65,094 · -39.9%
By 2100
47,657 · -56.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 23% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.2) · D 34.5% · R 64.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -30.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.2 2020: R+26.0 2016: R+25.0 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.81%
Current HPI
86.7962
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending GEBOR
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $87,500 GEBOR

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $968 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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