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2356 Gardner Dr
A- Composite 80.44
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$89,900

2356 Gardner Dr · Moline Acres, MO 63136
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1955 6,695 sqft lot Est $106k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2356 Gardner DR, STLS MO 63136, a 1955 single-family residence. This inviting home offers a comfortable foundation for creating new memories and enjoying a relaxed lifestyle. The property features three thoughtfully arranged bedrooms, providing ample private space. Complementing these are two well-appointed bathrooms, designed for both convenience and ease. This charming ranch-style home also includes an attached carport, offering practical shelter for your vehicle. Discover the potential and comfort that awaits within this delightful residence.

Key facts

  • 6,695 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Has a 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other)
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; House with slab foundation
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Central air; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#480 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Meadows Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 333 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $90k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.01%
Cash-on-cash
16.84%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,470
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9850 Monarch Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,014 (0%) 2mo $99,900 $99 88
9984 Duke Dr 0.11mi 3/1.0 960 (-5%) 1mo $54,000 $56 83
10127 Monarch Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,015 (+0%) 1mo $155,000 $153 80
9742 Wendell Dr 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,014 (0%) 2mo $69,900 $69 80
2442 Gardner Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,054 (+4%) 2mo $59,900 $57 78
9828 Omega Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 988 (-3%) 0mo $100,000 $101 75
10231 Monarch Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,073 (+6%) 1mo $189,999 $177 63
10417 Prince Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+3%) 2mo $120,000 $115 60
2225 Kerwin Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,135 (+12%) 2mo $135,900 $120 60
10117 Royal Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 864 (-15%) 1mo $35,000 $41 59
10228 Viscount Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 925 (-9%) 2mo $155,000 $168 58
10139 Edgefield Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+12%) 0mo $119,900 $105 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$39,804
Equity at exit
$44,481
10-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$109,816
Equity at exit
$71,890

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,292 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,904/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $845
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $404 -5% $379 +0% $353 +5% $328 +10% $302
Rent -10% $251 -5% $302 +0% $353 +5% $404 +10% $455
Rate -1.0pp $399 -0.5pp $376 base $353 +0.5pp $330 +1.0pp $306

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 24d 1 0.08mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 24d 1 0.09mi
2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 0.25mi
10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 770 $1,325 $1.72 44d 1 0.27mi
10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 8d 1 0.27mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 44d 1 0.28mi
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,345 $1.33 44d 1 0.31mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 44d 1 0.33mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,450 $1.43 8d 1 0.42mi
9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,650 $1.33 20d 1 0.51mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 24d 1 0.61mi
10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 2d 1 0.64mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 0.66mi
10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 770 $1,100 $1.43 4d 1 0.67mi
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,200 $1.13 24d 1 0.67mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 22d 1 0.68mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,275 $1.25 24d 1 0.73mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 0.73mi
10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1380 $1,380 $1.00 44d 1 0.78mi
2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 858 $1,175 $1.37 24d 1 0.79mi
10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,090 $0.96 44d 1 0.80mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 8d 1 0.82mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 15d 1 0.83mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,575 $1.47 11d 1 0.83mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 44d 1 0.85mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 24d 1 0.85mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 8d 1 0.88mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 15d 1 0.92mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,040 $1.16 22d 1 0.93mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,300 $1.27 15d 1 0.95mi
10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,400 $1.77 3d 1 0.96mi
9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 8d 1 0.97mi
9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 788 $900 $1.14 44d 1 0.97mi
9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,495 $1.00 22d 1 1.00mi
1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,275 $1.24 44d 1 1.02mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 795 $1,295 $1.63 18d 1 1.05mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 795 $1,295 $1.63 15d 1 1.05mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 1.05mi
10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,395 $1.38 24d 1 1.08mi
10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,450 $1.59 17d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 562-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,904 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,904 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,506
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,904
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,240
− Management
−$1,240
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,021
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$725
After-tax cash flow
$3,514/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Moline Acres

Score
60/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#18899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moline Acres, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+444.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,750 Public Records
  • 2018-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $28,450 Public Records
  • 2018-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
  • 2016-08-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,904 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…