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444 68th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 82.81
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$1,080,000

444 68th St · New York, NY 11220
None bd · None ba · 5,250 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1931 2,500 sqft lot Est $1533k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 6 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Prime Bay Ridge 6-Family Investment Opportunity. Located in the heart of Bay Ridge, this well-maintained six-family building features six units, each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. The property is ideally situated close to the subway, restaurants, shops, and everyday conveniences. Currently, five units are tenant-occupied, with one unit delivered vacant, providing flexibility for end-users or investors. A large basement offers ample storage space. A solid income-producing property in one of Brooklyn’s most desirable neighborhoods.

Key facts

  • Close to subway
  • Close to restaurants
  • Tenant occupied

Tags

WELL MAINTAINEDLARGE BASEMENTTENANT OCCUPIEDINCOME PRODUCINGCLOSE TO SUBWAYCLOSE TO RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water available; Trash collection service available
  • Home design: Triplex; Total building area approx. 5,250 sq ft
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom
  • Bathrooms: First-floor full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,080,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$1,533,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.08M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive. Per door: $481/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $1.08M).
  • Recommended offer: $950k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $14,094/mo this rent would consume 242% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 6563% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $68k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $61k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $302k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$109k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($950k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $1.08M implies a 1443% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $950,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.46%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,533,000
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
618 67th St 0.25mi 12/6.0 5,232 (-0%) 0mo $1,450,000 $277 87
352 63rd St 0.34mi 12/6.0 5,549 (+6%) 9mo $1,380,000 $249 67
8301 4th Ave 0.73mi 6/3.0 5,200 (-1%) 1mo $1,920,000 $369 64
6001 5th Ave 0.45mi 10/5.0 6,000 (+14%) 1mo $2,450,000 $408 54
729 59th St 0.65mi 11/7.0 4,800 (-9%) 2mo $1,400,000 $292 54
247 Senator St 0.32mi 10/6.0 4,500 (-14%) 20mo $1,120,000 $249 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.63% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$547,543
Equity at exit
$654,049
10-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$1,659,403
Equity at exit
$1,165,181

Cash invested: $302,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11220

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
11.0%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
38.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$14,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,664
Tax from tax record
$2,133 /mo · $25,592/yr
Insurance
$450
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,960
Net cashflow
$2,888

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,438
Max offer price $1,080,000
Occupancy floor 75%

6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (6 units) $14,094

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$270,000
Closing costs
$32,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 86th St Unit 3 Brooklyn, NY 2.0 1.0 4950 $3,058 $0.62 24d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 141 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,080,000 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-05-15
    price $1,080,000
  12. 2026-01-11
    listed $1,180,000 Active
  13. 1983-04-01
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$25,592 · $2,133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$25,592 · $2,133/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$169,128
− Mortgage interest
−$60,497
− Property taxes
−$25,592
− Insurance
−$5,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$13,530
− Management
−$13,530
− Depreciation
−$31,418
Taxable income
$19,161
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,599
After-tax cash flow
$30,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
90,652
Household income
$69,883
Rent vs Own
73.3% rent · 26.7% own
Severe rent burden
6563.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 40% Hispanic / Latino 40% White 16% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
52% · China, Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
20% English-only · Spanish 35% Chinese 35% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.63%
Current HPI
226.624
Rent YoY
▲ 11.02%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1442.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $1,080,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $1,180,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1983-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $25,592 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…