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818 E Mccarty St
B Composite 70.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

818 E Mccarty St · Jefferson City, MO 65101
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,209 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1920 3,049 sqft lot Est $164k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Beautiful Fixer Upper is blessed with SO MUCH potential and for ONE INCREDIBLE PRICE!! Can you just imagine the finished product? With Beautiful Arched Entryways, Gorgeous Original Hardwood Floors, High Ceilings with Original Crown Molding, Large Kitchen with Tiled Flooring, Formal Dining, 2 Upstairs Bedrooms with Full Bath, Full Basement, and a Great Fenced Yard with Private Sun Porch. If you overlook this property you will truly miss out on one incredible opportunity that the price just simply cannot be beat!

Key facts

  • Convenient location
  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: 0.07-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane and electric heating sources; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Interior entry full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Jefferson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#7 in MO, #838 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Jefferson City (urban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #121 of 324 in MO (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 173 units permitted in Cole County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cole County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.28%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,424
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
718 Houchin St 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,241 (+3%) 23mo $160,000 $129 45
1118 Cordell St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,066 (-12%) 22mo $145,000 $136 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,225
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$27,669
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65101

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,259 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $682/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $860
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $378 -5% $346 +0% $315 +5% $284 +10% $253
Rent -10% $216 -5% $266 +0% $315 +5% $365 +10% $415
Rate -1.0pp $371 -0.5pp $343 base $315 +0.5pp $287 +1.0pp $258

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    status $115,000 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  18. 2026-04-26
    price $115,000
  19. 2026-03-26
    listed $119,900 Active
  20. 2018-11-02
    soldstatus 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    This Beautiful Fixer Upper is blessed with SO MUCH potential and for ONE INCREDIBLE PRICE!! Can you just imagine the finished product? With Beautiful Arched Entryways, Gorgeous Original Hardwood Floors, High Ceilings with Original Crown Molding, Large Kitchen with Tiled Flooring, Formal Dining, 2 Upstairs Bedrooms with Full Bath, Full Basement, and a Great Fenced Yard with Private Sun Porch. If you overlook this property you will truly miss out on one incredible opportunity that the price just simply cannot be beat!

  21. 2018-11-02
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    This Beautiful Fixer Upper is blessed with SO MUCH potential and for ONE INCREDIBLE PRICE!! Can you just imagine the finished product? With Beautiful Arched Entryways, Gorgeous Original Hardwood Floors, High Ceilings with Original Crown Molding, Large Kitchen with Tiled Flooring, Formal Dining, 2 Upstairs Bedrooms with Full Bath, Full Basement, and a Great Fenced Yard with Private Sun Porch. If you overlook this property you will truly miss out on one incredible opportunity that the price just simply cannot be beat!

  22. 2018-09-24
    listed $30,000 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    This Beautiful Fixer Upper is blessed with SO MUCH potential and for ONE INCREDIBLE PRICE!! Can you just imagine the finished product? With Beautiful Arched Entryways, Gorgeous Original Hardwood Floors, High Ceilings with Original Crown Molding, Large Kitchen with Tiled Flooring, Formal Dining, 2 Upstairs Bedrooms with Full Bath, Full Basement, and a Great Fenced Yard with Private Sun Porch. If you overlook this property you will truly miss out on one incredible opportunity that the price just simply cannot be beat!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$682 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,067 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$385/yr (+$32/mo · 56.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,110
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$682
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,209
− Management
−$1,209
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,099
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$504
After-tax cash flow
$3,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson City
NCES district ID
2916190
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$51,903
Composite
35.45/100
National rank
#4930
State rank
#121 of 324 in MO

Livability — Jefferson City

Score
83/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#838

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jefferson City, MO
City population
41,145
Population (ZIP)
29,777

Population outlook (Cole County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,107 people
By 2030
78,089 · +-0.0%
By 2040
76,814 · -1.7%
By 2050
74,515 · -4.6%
By 2075
67,687 · -13.3%
By 2100
55,023 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cole

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.4) · D 32.1% · R 66.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-7.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -34.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.4 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.16%
Current HPI
209.3832
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+283.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending JCMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $115,000 JCMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $119,900 JCMLS
  • 2018-11-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-11-02 Sold (MLS) JCMLS
  • 2018-09-24 Listed $30,000 JCMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $682 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…