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4738 Molina Dr
A- Composite 83.24
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$75,000

4738 Molina Dr · Corpus Christi, TX 78416
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1960 10,001 sqft lot Est $113k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor and Handyman- special offer- SELLER IS LOOKING AT ALL OFFERS- great rental area or fix and flip it. Property does need work. Super large yard. Home has a detached 1 car garage . Home is located near highway and quick access to stores. More pictures to come. Till then. If you want a great deal . Add this one to the list. Call today for more details.

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Detached garage
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

LARGE YARDDETACHED GARAGEQUICK ACCESS TO STORES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Common grounds/area

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with 2 covered spaces; Additional rear/side/off-street parking; Front entry; On-street parking (total parking for about 6 vehicles)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof; Wood siding construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Construction: Built with wood siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Landscaped yard; Subdivided lot; Chain link and wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Unfinished areas
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window heating unit; Window cooling unit
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level; One shared/attached wall (townhome/duplex style possible); Additional interior features present
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $53k (29.3% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • West Oso ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #712 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Kennedy El (545 students, 96% FRL); West Oso J H (math 16% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 434 students, 83% FRL); West Oso H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 575 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 40% district-wide (49 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $75k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,047 (29.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
11.13%
Cash-on-cash
17.27%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$112,640
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4313 Molina Dr 0.57mi 2/1.0 904 (+3%) 4mo $100,000 $111 65
4618 Ramona Dr 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+6%) 2mo $119,900 $128 65
1710 Darcey Dr 0.54mi 2/1.0 848 (-4%) 17mo $110,000 $130 55
4549 Elvira Dr 0.31mi 2/1.0 969 (+10%) 18mo $116,975 $121 53
1725 Rockford Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 984 (+12%) 7mo $149,900 $152 52
917 Mendoza St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (+1) 763 (-13%) 8mo $85,000 $111 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$7,078
Equity at exit
$39,700
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$30,240
Equity at exit
$66,304

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78416

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,297/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$-124

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,320
Max offer price $53,047
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-82 -5% $-103 +0% $-124 +5% $-145 +10% $-167
Rent -10% $-216 -5% $-170 +0% $-124 +5% $-78 +10% $-32
Rate -1.0pp $-87 -0.5pp $-105 base $-124 +0.5pp $-144 +1.0pp $-163

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4313 Molina Dr Corpus Christi, TX 2.0 1.0 904 $1,250 $1.38 45d 1 0.59mi
1458 W Point Rd Corpus Christi, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 777 $800 $1.03 15d 2 0.62mi
4702 Old Brownsville Rd Corpus Christi, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $764 $1.09 45d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $75,000 Active
  17. 2022-02-25
    soldstatus
  18. 1998-09-15
    soldstatus $17,231

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,297 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,297 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,948
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,297
− Insurance
−$5,494
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,116
− Management
−$1,116
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable loss
−$2,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$590
After-tax cash flow
$-902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Oso ISD
NCES district ID
4845120
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$36,193
Composite
21.52/100
National rank
#8320
State rank
#712 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

Score
78/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corpus Christi, TX
County
Nueces County · 296,836 people
City population
296,836
Metro
Corpus Christi, TX
Population (ZIP)
12,480
Household income
$43,198
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
386.0

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 79% Two or more races 38% Black 16% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 72%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 49%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.38%
Current HPI
139.6557
Rent YoY
Metro
Corpus Christi, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+335.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $75,000 CBMLS
  • 2022-02-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $17,231 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,297 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…