4738 Molina Dr · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor and Handyman- special offer- SELLER IS LOOKING AT ALL OFFERS- great rental area or fix and flip it. Property does need work. Super large yard. Home has a detached 1 car garage . Home is located near highway and quick access to stores. More pictures to come. Till then. If you want a great deal . Add this one to the list. Call today for more details.
Key facts
- Large yard
- Detached garage
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Common grounds/area
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with 2 covered spaces; Additional rear/side/off-street parking; Front entry; On-street parking (total parking for about 6 vehicles)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof; Wood siding construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Construction: Built with wood siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Landscaped yard; Subdivided lot; Chain link and wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Unfinished areas
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window heating unit; Window cooling unit
- Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level; One shared/attached wall (townhome/duplex style possible); Additional interior features present
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $53k (29.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- West Oso ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #712 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Kennedy El (545 students, 96% FRL); West Oso J H (math 16% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 434 students, 83% FRL); West Oso H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 575 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 40% district-wide (49 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $75k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.27%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,640
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4313 Molina Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 904 (+3%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $111 | 65 |
| 4618 Ramona Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+6%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $128 | 65 |
| 1710 Darcey Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (-4%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $130 | 55 |
| 4549 Elvira Dr | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 969 (+10%) | 18mo | $116,975 | $121 | 53 |
| 1725 Rockford Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (+12%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $152 | 52 |
| 917 Mendoza St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 763 (-13%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $111 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $7,078
- Equity at exit
- $39,700
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $30,240
- Equity at exit
- $66,304
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78416
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,297/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $-124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-82 | -5% $-103 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-145 | +10% $-167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-216 | -5% $-170 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-78 | +10% $-32 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-87 | -0.5pp $-105 | base $-124 | +0.5pp $-144 | +1.0pp $-163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4313 Molina Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1458 W Point Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $800 | $1.03 | 15d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 4702 Old Brownsville Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $764 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-22$75,000 Active
-
2022-02-25soldstatus
-
1998-09-15soldstatus $17,231
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,297 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,297 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,948
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,297
- − Insurance
- −$5,494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable loss
- −$2,457
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $-902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Oso ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845120
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,193
- Composite
- 21.52/100
- National rank
- #8320
- State rank
- #712 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,480
- Household income
- $43,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 386.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 79% Two or more races 38% Black 16% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 49%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.38%
- Current HPI
- 139.6557
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+335.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $75,000 CBMLS
- 2022-02-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $17,231 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,297 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…