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4009 NW 2nd Pl
D- Composite 37.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.8/30.0
  • Livability +4.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

4009 NW 2nd Pl · Ankeny, IA 50023
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,810 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 2000 0.34 ac lot $174/sqft · 13% below area Est $364k · 13% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home in Ankeny offering space, functionality, and room to grow. Step inside to find a versatile front den—perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. The main level features a convenient half bath, spacious kitchen, dining area, and a comfortable living room complete with a gas fireplace. A main floor laundry room adds everyday ease. Upstairs, you’ll find four bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a practical layout for a variety of lifestyles. The unfinished lower level offers endless potential for future finish or added storage. Enjoy the large backyard—ideal for entertaining, play, or relaxing outdoors. Schedule your private showing today! All information obtained from seller and public records.

Key facts

  • Front den
  • Half bath
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

FRONT DENHALF BATHSPACIOUS KITCHENDINING AREAGAS FIREPLACEMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-627 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (35.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (37.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (37.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.9% in Ankeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 92/100 on livability (#3 in IA, #29 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute C-.
  • Ankeny Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #15 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 491 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $197,851 (37.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
3.90%
Cash-on-cash
-8.54%
DSCR
0.62
GRM
13.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$363,616
List price
$315,000
Delta
-13.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4206 NW 2nd Ct 0.15mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,818 (+0%) 0mo $421,000 $232 83
3914 NW Windbrooke Ct 0.12mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,722 (-5%) 3mo $362,000 $210 79
330 NW Watercrest Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,758 (-3%) 3mo $375,000 $213 79
402 NW Winterberry St 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,882 (+4%) 0mo $353,000 $188 77
414 NW Winterberry St 0.35mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,924 (+6%) 0mo $344,500 $179 68
4006 SW 5th Ct 0.33mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,902 (+5%) 1mo $670,000 $352 66
525 NW Somerset Ct 0.42mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,756 (-3%) 9mo $600,000 $342 62
4416 SW 5th St 0.37mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,679 (-7%) 2mo $550,000 $328 62
4717 NW 10th St 0.68mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,789 (-1%) 9mo $590,000 $330 52
3912 NW 11th St 0.65mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,661 (-8%) 6mo $509,000 $306 42
9079 NW 31st St 0.51mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,012 (+11%) 10mo $550,000 $273 40
5001 NW 7th St 0.73mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,556 (-14%) 10mo $395,000 $254 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.9%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-95,349
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
-58.7%
Equity multiple
-0.72×
Total profit
$-151,515
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50023

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
491
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,979 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$407 /mo · $4,888/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$-627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,773
Max offer price $204,157
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-449 -5% $-538 +0% $-627 +5% $-717 +10% $-806
Rent -10% $-784 -5% $-706 +0% $-627 +5% $-549 +10% $-471
Rate -1.0pp $-469 -0.5pp $-547 base $-627 +0.5pp $-709 +1.0pp $-792

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1106 NW Rockcrest Rd Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.0 1422 $2,125 $1.49 24d 1 0.74mi
2724 NW Casey Jones Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0 2.5 1450 $1,700 $1.17 15d 1 1.40mi
2720 NW Casey Jones Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1550 $1,800 $1.16 44d 1 1.41mi
2613 NW Lois Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1550 $1,850 $1.19 22d 1 1.41mi
202 NW Sharmin Dr Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 2052 $1,990 $0.97 44d 1 1.48mi
2517 NW Woodbury Dr Ankeny, IA 4.0 3.0 2084 $2,795 $1.34 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $315,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $315,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-05-09
    status Active 791-char remark
    Show marketing remark (791 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home in Ankeny offering space, functionality, and room to grow. Step inside to find a versatile front den—perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. The main level features a convenient half bath, spacious kitchen, dining area, and a comfortable living room complete with a gas fireplace. A main floor laundry room adds everyday ease. Upstairs, you’ll find four bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a practical layout for a variety of lifestyles. The unfinished lower level offers endless potential for future finish or added storage. Enjoy the large backyard—ideal for entertaining, play, or relaxing outdoors. Schedule your private showing today! All information obtained from seller and public records.

  12. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 791-char remark
    Show marketing remark (791 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home in Ankeny offering space, functionality, and room to grow. Step inside to find a versatile front den—perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. The main level features a convenient half bath, spacious kitchen, dining area, and a comfortable living room complete with a gas fireplace. A main floor laundry room adds everyday ease. Upstairs, you’ll find four bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a practical layout for a variety of lifestyles. The unfinished lower level offers endless potential for future finish or added storage. Enjoy the large backyard—ideal for entertaining, play, or relaxing outdoors. Schedule your private showing today! All information obtained from seller and public records.

  13. 2026-04-29
    price $315,000 791-char remark
    Show marketing remark (791 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home in Ankeny offering space, functionality, and room to grow. Step inside to find a versatile front den—perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. The main level features a convenient half bath, spacious kitchen, dining area, and a comfortable living room complete with a gas fireplace. A main floor laundry room adds everyday ease. Upstairs, you’ll find four bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a practical layout for a variety of lifestyles. The unfinished lower level offers endless potential for future finish or added storage. Enjoy the large backyard—ideal for entertaining, play, or relaxing outdoors. Schedule your private showing today! All information obtained from seller and public records.

  14. 2026-04-18
    listed $325,000 Active 791-char remark
    Show marketing remark (791 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained two-story home in Ankeny offering space, functionality, and room to grow. Step inside to find a versatile front den—perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. The main level features a convenient half bath, spacious kitchen, dining area, and a comfortable living room complete with a gas fireplace. A main floor laundry room adds everyday ease. Upstairs, you’ll find four bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a practical layout for a variety of lifestyles. The unfinished lower level offers endless potential for future finish or added storage. Enjoy the large backyard—ideal for entertaining, play, or relaxing outdoors. Schedule your private showing today! All information obtained from seller and public records.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,888 · $407/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,917 · $410/mo
Expected delta
+$29/yr (+$2/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,742
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$4,888
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,899
− Management
−$1,899
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$13,328
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,199
After-tax cash flow
$-4,331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ankeny Community School District
NCES district ID
1903690
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$75,384
Composite
70.91/100
National rank
#246
State rank
#15 of 289 in IA

Livability — Ankeny

Score
92/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#29

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C- Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ankeny, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
76,589
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
46,306
Household income
$117,826
Rent vs Own
28.5% rent · 71.5% own
Severe rent burden
617.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
548,042 people
By 2030
588,557 · +7.4%
By 2040
670,629 · +22.4%
By 2050
752,830 · +37.4%
By 2075
955,069 · +74.3%
By 2100
1,115,436 · +103.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.67%
Current HPI
215.1034
Rent YoY
▲ 0.75%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted DMMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Pending DMMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $315,000 DMMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $325,000 DMMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,888 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…