719 Beatrice St · Fordyce, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Completely remodeled 3BR/2BA home on a corner lot. All-electric with new HVAC, new wiring, new insulation, LED lighting, vinyl plank flooring throughout, updated kitchen and bathrooms, updated breaker box with fault breakers, and whole-house surge protector. Move-in ready with quality upgrades throughout.
Key facts
- New wiring
- Led lighting
- New hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 100 x 140 (0.32 acre); Lot size source: Tax records; Square footage source: Tax records; Subdivision: HOLDERNESS & SENYARD ADD; County: Dallas, City: Fordyce
- HOA & community: HOA frequency: Annual
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (including Entergy)
- Home design: Single-family property; Approx. 1,198 square feet; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Metal roof; Metal/vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Built year not provided
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Paved road access; Level lot; Inside city limits
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Vinyl flooring; Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (1.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#313 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fordyce School District (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #203 of 238 in AR (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fordyce Elementary Schools (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #340 of 454 statewide, top 75%, 371 students, 30% FRL); Fordyce High School (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #228 of 292 statewide, top 79%, 361 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools average 27% FRL vs 61% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Dallas County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.64%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,830
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719 Beatrice St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,198 (0%) | 0mo | $101,500 | $85 | 96 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $32,494
- Equity at exit
- $56,677
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $90,122
- Equity at exit
- $93,471
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71742
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,080 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $422/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $227 | +0% $196 | +5% $165 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $111 | -5% $153 | +0% $196 | +5% $239 | +10% $281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $251 | -0.5pp $224 | base $196 | +0.5pp $167 | +1.0pp $138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-17status Under Contract
-
2026-03-25price $109,900
-
2025-12-23$115,000 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $422 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $703 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$282/yr (+$23/mo · 66.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,959
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$422
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,037
- − Management
- −$1,037
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $561
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,216/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fordyce School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506210
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,339
- Composite
- 18.68/100
- National rank
- #8884
- State rank
- #203 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fordyce
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #20808
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fordyce, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,424
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,895 people
- By 2030
- 6,470 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 5,655 · -18.0%
- By 2050
- 5,012 · -27.3%
- By 2075
- 4,179 · -39.4%
- By 2100
- 3,906 · -43.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 41% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.3% · R 63.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -29.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.4 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+10.6 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.15%
- Current HPI
- 98.2933
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-4.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $109,900 CARMLS
- 2025-12-23 Listed $115,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $422 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…