Triplex
3819 Cypress Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$949,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to a fully detached three-family residence nestled in the exclusive, gated community of Seagate. Just moments from a private beach, this well-maintained property currently has 2 apartments occupied with short-term tenants. The top-floor apartment, 2 bedrooms, is vacant, offering excellent income potential. Whether you're seeking a savvy investment or a spacious home with income-producing units, this property checks all the boxes. Enjoy the charm of seaside living with the security and amenities of a private community—all while collecting steady rental income.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fully detached
- Income potential
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Three residential units total; Total of 13 rooms across the property
- Financial info: Financing options include cash, bank mortgage, or exchange considered; Unit-level rents: Unit 1 (3BR) currently $2,200, projected $2,500; Unit 2 (2BR) currently $2,200, projected $2,500; Unit 3 (1BR) currently $1,900
Exterior
- Parking: Private drive; Space for 3 vehicles
- Utilities: 200 Amp electric service; Gas for hot water and heating
- Home design: Detached residential building; Pitched roof; Block foundation; Building footprint approximately 748 (units); Building dimensions about 34.00 x 22.00
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Back yard; Side yard; Aluminum siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Three-unit property with units configured as: one 3-bedroom, one 2-bedroom, and one 1-bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms total (each unit has one full bath)
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas hot water and heating; Two AC units
- Interior features: Deck; Refrigerator; Stove; Hardwood floors; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Utility expense reported (approx. $400)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $949k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($55k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $949k).
- Recommended offer: $892k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,581/mo this rent would consume 373% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 4426% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $54k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $266k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($892k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.62%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $988,283
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3735 Oceanic Ave | 0.26mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,053 (-10%) | 1mo | $885,000 | $431 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.98% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $565,863
- Equity at exit
- $536,748
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.99×
- Total profit
- $1,591,930
- Equity at exit
- $925,498
Cash invested: $265,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11224
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 17.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,581 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,977
- Tax from tax record
- −$790 /mo · $9,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$395
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,852
- Net cashflow
- $4,567
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $5,104 | -5% $4,835 | +0% $4,567 | +5% $4,298 | +10% $4,029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,494 | -5% $4,030 | +0% $4,567 | +5% $5,103 | +10% $5,639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5,044 | -0.5pp $4,808 | base $4,567 | +0.5pp $4,321 | +1.0pp $4,070 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $13,581 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $4,527 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $4,527 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $4,527 |
| Total (3 units) | $13,581 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $237,250
- Closing costs
- $28,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $949,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $949,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $949,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $949,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $949,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $998,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $998,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $998,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $998,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $998,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $998,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $998,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-07$998,000 Active
-
2025-07-09price $998,000
-
2022-04-26price $1,100,000
-
2022-03-21price $1,150,000
-
2022-02-16price $1,175,000
-
2020-06-30soldstatus $999,000
-
2020-04-15soldstatus $635,000 Sold
-
2016-03-18soldstatus $635,520
-
2016-03-03historical
-
2016-03-03status Pending
-
2015-08-11price $700,000
-
2015-06-10price $750,000
-
2015-04-30$799,000 Active
-
2012-05-15$298,000
-
2007-02-02soldstatus $825,000
-
2004-07-26soldstatus $450,500
-
2003-08-28soldstatus $410,000
-
1999-05-11soldstatus $390,000
-
1999-05-11soldstatus $214,000
-
1985-03-22soldstatus $84,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,484 · $790/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,761 · $1,063/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,277/yr (+$273/mo · 34.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $162,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$53,159
- − Property taxes
- −$9,484
- − Insurance
- −$4,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$13,038
- − Management
- −$13,038
- − Depreciation
- −$27,607
- Taxable income
- $41,901
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,056
- After-tax cash flow
- $44,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,822
- Household income
- $43,648
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4426.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 10% Subsaharan African 7% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 32% Spanish 11% Chinese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.98%
- Current HPI
- 505.1405
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+1081.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $998,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $998,000 BNYMLS
- 2022-04-26 Price Changed $1,100,000 BNYMLS
- 2022-03-21 Price Changed $1,150,000 BNYMLS
- 2022-02-16 Price Changed $1,175,000 BNYMLS
- 2020-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $999,000 Public Records
- 2020-04-15 Sold (MLS) $635,000 BNYMLS
- 2016-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $635,520 Public Records
- 2016-03-03 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2016-03-03 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2015-08-11 Price Changed $700,000 BNYMLS
- 2015-06-10 Price Changed $750,000 BNYMLS
- 2015-04-30 Listed $799,000 BNYMLS
- 2012-05-15 Listed $298,000 BNYMLS
- 2007-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $825,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $450,500 Public Records
- 2003-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $410,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $214,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $390,000 Public Records
- 1985-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $9,484 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…