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6919 Winthrop St
C- Composite 51.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

6919 Winthrop St · Detroit, MI 48228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,183 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1931 5,227 sqft lot Est $124k · at est. ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THREE BEDROOM BRICK TUDOR/BUNGALOW LOCATED IN WEST WARREN AVE ESTATES NO. 1 SUB. THIS ALL BRICK TUDOR HOME HAS 2 FULL BATHROOMS, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, DINING ROOM AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. NICE LARGE FRONT PORCH, SIDE ENTRANCE GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS. SELLER IS PROVIDING A 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY FROM AMERICAN HOME SHIELD.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1931

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 131 (0.12 acres)
  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the neighborhood; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Alley access; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built with brick; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Porch; Exterior lighting; Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access; Paver block at driveway/alley access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Unfurnished; Finished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,298/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.90%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,215
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7304 Saint Marys St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,215 (+3%) 5mo $50,000 $41 76
7483 Mettetal St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,124 (-5%) 5mo $86,000 $77 64
6857 Woodmont Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,234 (+4%) 7mo $129,000 $105 61
6128 Yinger Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,188 (+0%) 6mo $167,500 $141 60
6400 Payne Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,119 (-5%) 7mo $185,000 $165 60
7904 Mead St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-9%) 6mo $160,000 $148 53
6303 Grandmont Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,230 (+4%) 4mo $90,000 $73 53
6324 Montrose St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,042 (-12%) 9mo $76,000 $73 52
8040 Coyle St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+6%) 10mo $150,000 $120 52
7484 Clayburn St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-7%) 7mo $80,000 $73 48
6463 Payne Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (+14%) 6mo $320,000 $237 41
8201 Saint Marys St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-14%) 10mo $58,000 $57 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-11,236
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,004
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,298 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,404/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,043
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7312 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 16d 1 0.26mi
7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 981 $1,150 $1.17 15d 1 0.30mi
6474 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1237 $1,350 $1.09 43d 1 0.39mi
6406 Mead St Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 904 $1,100 $1.22 24d 1 0.58mi
8047 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,200 $1.01 43d 1 0.69mi
6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,100 $1.04 24d 1 0.69mi
8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,350 $1.37 43d 1 0.85mi
8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,350 $1.01 22d 1 0.87mi
8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,150 $1.12 43d 1 0.88mi
6225 Middlesex St Unit 5 Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 4d 1 0.99mi
6225 Middlesex St Unit 5 Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 12d 1 0.99mi
8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,300 $1.26 43d 1 1.00mi
8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 836 $1,200 $1.44 5d 1 1.27mi
5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 667 $1,540 $2.31 3d 10 1.34mi
4900 Heather Dr Dearborn, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 921 $1,980 $2.15 1d 1 1.36mi
6490 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,299 $1.35 16d 1 1.36mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 43d 1 1.36mi
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 16d 1 1.39mi
9220 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 43d 1 1.40mi
9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    THREE BEDROOM BRICK TUDOR/BUNGALOW LOCATED IN WEST WARREN AVE ESTATES NO. 1 SUB. THIS ALL BRICK TUDOR HOME HAS 2 FULL BATHROOMS, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, DINING ROOM AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. NICE LARGE FRONT PORCH, SIDE ENTRANCE GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS. SELLER IS PROVIDING A 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY FROM AMERICAN HOME SHIELD.

  2. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    THREE BEDROOM BRICK TUDOR/BUNGALOW LOCATED IN WEST WARREN AVE ESTATES NO. 1 SUB. THIS ALL BRICK TUDOR HOME HAS 2 FULL BATHROOMS, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, DINING ROOM AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. NICE LARGE FRONT PORCH, SIDE ENTRANCE GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS. SELLER IS PROVIDING A 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY FROM AMERICAN HOME SHIELD.

  3. 2026-05-04
    listed $124,900 Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    THREE BEDROOM BRICK TUDOR/BUNGALOW LOCATED IN WEST WARREN AVE ESTATES NO. 1 SUB. THIS ALL BRICK TUDOR HOME HAS 2 FULL BATHROOMS, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, DINING ROOM AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. NICE LARGE FRONT PORCH, SIDE ENTRANCE GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS. SELLER IS PROVIDING A 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY FROM AMERICAN HOME SHIELD.

  4. 2026-05-04
    listed $124,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    THREE BEDROOM BRICK TUDOR/BUNGALOW LOCATED IN WEST WARREN AVE ESTATES NO. 1 SUB. THIS ALL BRICK TUDOR HOME HAS 2 FULL BATHROOMS, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, KITCHEN, DINING ROOM AND A FINISHED BASEMENT. HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. NICE LARGE FRONT PORCH, SIDE ENTRANCE GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS. SELLER IS PROVIDING A 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY FROM AMERICAN HOME SHIELD.

  5. 2003-08-06
    historical
  6. 2003-05-06
    listed $124,500
  7. 2003-05-01
    historical
  8. 2003-02-23
    listed $124,900
  9. 2003-02-03
    historical
  10. 2003-01-25
    listed $154,500
  11. 2003-01-23
    historical
  12. 2002-09-05
    listed $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,404 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,664 · $139/mo
Expected delta
+$260/yr (+$22/mo · 18.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,572
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,404
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,246
− Management
−$1,246
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$422
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$101
After-tax cash flow
$2,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-08-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-05-06 Listed $124,500 REALCOMP
  • 2003-05-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-23 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-01-25 Listed $154,500 REALCOMP
  • 2003-01-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2002-09-05 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,404 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…