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818 Loa St
B Composite 70.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

818 Loa St · Lansing, MI 48910
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,578 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1939 10,454 sqft lot Est $172k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors and Value-Add Buyers! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio with this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,398 sq ft on a generous 0.26-acre lot in Lansing. This property features a fenced yard with gated driveway, detached one-car garage with newly updated electrical, and several major improvements already completed.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Major improvements
  • Gated driveway

Tags

FENCED YARDGATED DRIVEWAYDETACHED GARAGENEWLY UPDATED ELECTRICALMAJOR IMPROVEMENTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.24 acres (76 x 135); Subdivision: LOGANCREST

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Disposal
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in electric oven; Disposal; Unfinished basement; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $100k implies a 316% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.60%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$172,002
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3115 Palmer St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,584 (+0%) 3mo $160,000 $101 80
3430 Palmer St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-1%) 3mo $170,000 $109 70
114 W Berry Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,540 (-2%) 2mo $190,000 $123 66
3437 Harold St 0.46mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,504 (-5%) 5mo $153,500 $102 61
2418 Forest Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-1%) 3mo $145,000 $93 60
1208 Gordon Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,451 (-8%) 0mo $179,900 $124 60
2016 Pattengill Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,502 (-5%) 3mo $215,900 $144 53
116 E Greenlawn Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,670 (+6%) 7mo $178,000 $107 52
1703 Holly Way 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,368 (-13%) 2mo $195,000 $143 50
1414 Cooper Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,713 (+9%) 2mo $200,000 $117 48
2112 Stirling Ave 0.57mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,430 (-9%) 6mo $155,000 $108 48
3815 Walton Dr 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,342 (-15%) 2mo $111,000 $83 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,004
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$32,433
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48910

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,032/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$247

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,036
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $304 -5% $275 +0% $247 +5% $219 +10% $190
Rent -10% $141 -5% $194 +0% $247 +5% $300 +10% $354
Rate -1.0pp $297 -0.5pp $272 base $247 +0.5pp $221 +1.0pp $195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2528 Forest Ave Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1175 $1,699 $1.45 44d 1 0.63mi
1913 Stirling Ave Unit 1 Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 0.66mi
1317 Lenore Ave Lansing, MI 2.0 1.5 1442 $850 $0.59 44d 1 0.71mi
2612 Fielding Dr Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,095 $1.00 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Attention Investors and Value-Add Buyers! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio with this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,398 sq ft on a generous 0.26-acre lot in Lansing. This property features a fenced yard with gated driveway, detached one-car garage with newly updated electrical, and several major improvements already completed.

  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    Attention Investors and Value-Add Buyers! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio with this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,398 sq ft on a generous 0.26-acre lot in Lansing. This property features a fenced yard with gated driveway, detached one-car garage with newly updated electrical, and several major improvements already completed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,032 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,032 · $253/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,181
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$3,032
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,294
− Management
−$1,294
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$374
After-tax cash flow
$2,591/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,800
Household income
$54,712
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.82%
Current HPI
196.8087
Rent YoY
▲ 4.71%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-08-02 Sold (MLS) $24,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2013-06-25 Listed $26,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2001-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $85,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,032 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…