88-21 208th St · New York, NY 11427

$720,000

6 bd · 6.0 ba · 1,476 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 218 Days on market

Built 1940 2,300 sqft lot Est $968k · 26% under ↓ 12% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.1/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

One of kind home off Hillside Ave- 2 family home for sale- All BRICK - Full basement with outside entrance - near public transportation- looking for an income potential home or a property to call home- This one is it Across for the school and near major highways. , Additional information: Appearance:Good, Separate Hotwater Heater:y

Key facts

• Brick exterior
• Full basement
• Adjacent to school

Tags

• BRICK EXTERIOR
• FULL BASEMENT
• NEAR PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION
• ADJACENT TO SCHOOL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $720k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $116/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $623k (13.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $623k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $6,234/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 811% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($634k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $623,400 (13.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.68%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.38%
• DSCR: 1.06
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $968,256
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
89-11 207th St	0.13mi	5/3.0 (-1)	1,379 (-7%)	0mo	$905,000	$656	66
88-46 213th St	0.36mi	5/2.0 (-1)	1,500 (+2%)	15mo	$925,000	$617	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-101,951
• Equity at exit: $107,354

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.65×
• Total profit: $-70,045
• Equity at exit: $62,252

Cash invested: $201,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11427

• Active inventory: 115
• Price-to-rent: 19.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $6,234 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,776
• Tax from tax record: −$617 /mo · $7,401/yr
• Insurance: −$300
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,309
• Net cashflow: $232

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,940

Max offer price $720,000

Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $640	-5% $436	+0% $232	+5% $29	+10% $-175
Rent	-10% $-260	-5% $-14	+0% $232	+5% $479	+10% $725
Rate	-1.0pp $595	-0.5pp $415	base $232	+0.5pp $46	+1.0pp $-144

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	3	3	$6,234
Total (2 units)			$6,234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $180,000
• Closing costs: $21,600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2025-03-31
   status Pending
2. 2024-10-27
   price $720,000
3. 2024-08-25
   listed $820,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $7,401 · $617/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $9,784 · $815/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,384/yr (+$199/mo · 32.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $74,808
• − Mortgage interest: −$40,331
• − Property taxes: −$7,401
• − Insurance: −$3,600
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,985
• − Management: −$5,985
• − Depreciation: −$20,945
• Taxable loss: −$9,439
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,265
• After-tax cash flow: $5,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 24,607
• Household income: $88,980
• Rent vs Own: 37.0% rent · 63.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 811.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
• Race & ethnicity: Asian 37% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 14% Two or more races 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 51% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 49% English-only · Other Indo-European 16% Spanish 14% Tagalog/Filipino 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -436.66%
• Current HPI: 297.7969
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-12.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-03-31 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-10-27 Price Changed $720,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-08-25 Listed $820,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,401 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.