115 Belt Ln · Moultrie, GA 31788

$165,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 41 Days on market

Built 2021 Good condition 0.50 ac lot $105/sqft · 10% below area Est $183k · 10% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.3/30.0
• ARV discount +12.0/15.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

2021 manufactured home in like-new condition with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, sitting on a wide, open lot with plenty of space to enjoy. The backyard is lined with pecan trees and has a full privacy fence, giving you a quiet, peaceful setting. Inside, the layout is open and comfortable. The living room flows into the kitchen and dining area with good natural light. The home features beautiful flooring throughout with no carpet. The master bedroom is spacious and includes a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom offers a double vanity and a large walk-in shower, with plenty of room to move around. There's also a dedicated laundry area and good storage throughout. Out back, the screened porch i

Key facts

• 0.5 acre lot
• Built 2021
• Listed 40 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (5.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $156k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.4% in Moultrie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#374 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
• Colquitt County (town): math 29% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 174 in GA (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Colquitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Colquitt County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $155,746 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.95%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.34%
• DSCR: 1.10
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $183,138
• List price: $165,000
• Delta: -9.90%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-20,974
• Equity at exit: $24,602

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-10,778
• Equity at exit: $14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31788

• Home prices YoY: -20.6%
• Active inventory: 34
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,557 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$327
• Net cashflow: $90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-08
   days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
2. 2026-06-07
   days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
5. 2026-06-02
   days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
6. 2026-06-01
   days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
7. 2026-05-31
   days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
9. 2026-04-29
   listed $165,000 Active 1072-char remark
10. 2026-01-24
    listed $184,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,690
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$2,475
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,495
• − Management: −$1,495
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable loss: −$1,643
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$394
• After-tax cash flow: $1,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2021 manufactured home is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It offers a spacious and open floor plan with beautiful hardwood flooring and modern appliances. The home is move-in ready with a good curb appeal and ample storage.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
• Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs for tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
• Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs for tenants. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Colquitt County
• NCES district ID: 1301380
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $32,950
• Composite: 22.11/100
• National rank: #8176
• State rank: #117 of 174 in GA

Livability — Moultrie

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #374
• US rank: #18973

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 11,071

Population outlook (Colquitt County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,043 people
• By 2030: 45,757 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 44,929 · -2.4%
• By 2050: 43,901 · -4.7%
• By 2075: 40,831 · -11.3%
• By 2100: 37,986 · -17.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 48% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 16% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Scottish 1%
• Foreign-born: 24% · Canada
• Languages at home: 70% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Colquitt

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.8% · R 75.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -50.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+39.6 2008: R+37.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -53.65%
• Current HPI: 206.4102
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-01-24 Listed $184,900 MBOR