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39 Perry St
D Composite 44.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,900

39 Perry St · Auburn, NY 13021
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,472 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1885 0.26 ac lot ↓ 45% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located close to Hoopes Park and the college, this home has a lot to offer. Walk in the front door to a mudroom that leads into a beautiful open living room/dining room. Off of the formal dining room there is a big eat-in kitchen with ample cupboard space. There is a screened in back porch off of the kitchen that leads out to a nice sized back yard with two storage sheds. On the second floor, there are 4 bedrooms and a full bathroom. This is a perfect starter home located on the east side of Auburn.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1885
  • Listed 5 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
  • Cap rate 71.0% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $24,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.70%
Cap rate
70.97%
Cash-on-cash
230.97%
DSCR
11.28
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$207,552
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18 Paul St 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,516 (+3%) 4mo $65,000 $43 63
160 S Seward Ave 0.41mi 4/1.5 1,352 (-8%) 5mo $190,000 $141 62
34 Liberty St 0.73mi 4/1.5 1,464 (-0%) 3mo $135,000 $92 61
445 N Seward Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,288 (-12%) 6mo $185,000 $144 59
121 Capitol Street Ext 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (-2%) 7mo $260,000 $180 56
69 Lansing St 0.53mi 4/1.5 1,608 (+9%) 7mo $204,000 $127 52
138 Owasco St 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,392 (-5%) 2mo $205,000 $147 50
126 N Fulton St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,568 (+6%) 6mo $162,500 $104 47
244 E Genesee St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,660 (+13%) 6mo $345,000 $208 41
3 Parsons St 0.65mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,624 (+10%) 3mo $39,000 $24 41
150 Osborne St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,303 (-12%) 2mo $201,000 $154 38
136 Osborne St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,252 (-15%) 4mo $110,000 $88 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.68×
Total profit
$81,464
Equity at exit
$3,713
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.98×
Total profit
$181,112
Equity at exit
$2,153

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13021

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$1,342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $218
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 25%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Sheridan St Auburn, NY 4.0 2.0 1788 $1,995 $1.12 44d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-02-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-18
    listed $24,900 Active
  3. 2021-04-07
    soldstatus $72,500 Closed Sale or Rented 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Located close to Hoopes Park and the college, this home has a lot to offer. Walk in the front door to a mudroom that leads into a beautiful open living room/dining room. Off of the formal dining room there is a big eat-in kitchen with ample cupboard space. There is a screened in back porch off of the kitchen that leads out to a nice sized back yard with two storage sheds. On the second floor, there are 4 bedrooms and a full bathroom. This is a perfect starter home located on the east side of Auburn.

  4. 2021-02-25
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Located close to Hoopes Park and the college, this home has a lot to offer. Walk in the front door to a mudroom that leads into a beautiful open living room/dining room. Off of the formal dining room there is a big eat-in kitchen with ample cupboard space. There is a screened in back porch off of the kitchen that leads out to a nice sized back yard with two storage sheds. On the second floor, there are 4 bedrooms and a full bathroom. This is a perfect starter home located on the east side of Auburn.

  5. 2020-10-20
    listed $99,900 Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Located close to Hoopes Park and the college, this home has a lot to offer. Walk in the front door to a mudroom that leads into a beautiful open living room/dining room. Off of the formal dining room there is a big eat-in kitchen with ample cupboard space. There is a screened in back porch off of the kitchen that leads out to a nice sized back yard with two storage sheds. On the second floor, there are 4 bedrooms and a full bathroom. This is a perfect starter home located on the east side of Auburn.

  6. 1992-05-18
    soldstatus $45,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,998
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,840
− Management
−$1,840
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$16,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,008
After-tax cash flow
$12,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn City School District
NCES district ID
3603480
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,567
Composite
29.71/100
National rank
#6452
State rank
#558 of 590 in NY

Livability — Auburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, NY
County
Cayuga County · 37,247 people
City population
37,247
Metro
Auburn, NY
Population (ZIP)
37,247
Household income
$60,712
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1449.0

Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,820 people
By 2030
72,402 · -3.2%
By 2040
66,917 · -10.6%
By 2050
61,007 · -18.5%
By 2075
48,047 · -35.8%
By 2100
34,512 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

2024 margin
R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.53%
Current HPI
338.5537
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $24,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-04-07 Sold (MLS) $72,500 CNYIS
  • 2021-02-25 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-10-20 Listed $99,900 CNYIS
  • 1992-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,590 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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